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Minnesota at Toronto: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Feb 4, 2026 7:30 pm - Toronto, Ont
Odds: Minnesota by 2.5, Total Points: 228.5

Matchup Menu: MIN @ TOR

More Games From Feb 4, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 228.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 228.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Under 228.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MIN	TOR
Season	43-51-0	37-52-0
vs Division	10-12-0	5-12-0
vs Conference	29-35-0	24-35-0
Streak	Ov 5	Ov 3
Last 5	5-0-0	4-1-0
Last 10	6-4-0	7-3-0
Home	17-30-0	20-24-0
Away	26-21-0	17-28-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Minnesota Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Portland	222.0	118-114	Over	+10.0
10/24	Away	LA Lakers	226.0	110-128	Over	+12.0
10/26	Home	Indiana	228.5	114-110	Under	-4.5
10/27	Home	Denver	229.5	114-127	Over	+11.5
10/29	Home	LA Lakers	224.5	115-116	Over	+6.5
11/01	Away	Charlotte	235.0	122-105	Under	-8.0
11/03	Away	Brooklyn	226.0	125-109	Over	+8.0
11/05	Away	New York	228.5	114-137	Over	+22.5
11/07	Home	Utah	233.5	137-97	Over	+0.5
11/09	Away	Sacramento	238.5	144-117	Over	+22.5
11/10	Away	Utah	234.5	120-113	Under	-1.5
11/14	Home	Sacramento	240.5	124-110	Under	-6.5
11/15	Home	Denver	236.5	112-123	Under	-1.5
11/17	Home	Dallas	232.5	120-96	Under	-16.5
11/19	Home	Washington	239.5	120-109	Under	-10.5
11/21	Away	Phoenix	230.5	113-114	Under	-3.5
11/24	Away	Sacramento	238.5	112-117	Under	-9.5
11/26	Away	Okla City	226.5	105-113	Under	-8.5
11/29	Home	Boston	228.5	119-115	Over	+5.5
11/30	Home	San Antonio	233.5	125-112	Over	+3.5
12/02	Away	New Orleans	229.5	149-142	Over	+61.5
12/04	Away	New Orleans	233.5	125-116	Over	+7.5
12/06	Home	LA Clippers	228.5	109-106	Under	-13.5
12/08	Home	Phoenix	226.5	105-108	Under	-13.5
12/12	Away	Golden State	227.5	127-120	Over	+19.5
12/14	Home	Sacramento	235.5	117-103	Under	-15.5
12/17	Home	Memphis	227.5	110-116	Under	-1.5
12/19	Home	Okla City	232.5	112-107	Under	-13.5
12/21	Home	Milwaukee	226.5	103-100	Under	-23.5
12/23	Home	New York	229.5	115-104	Under	-10.5
12/25	Away	Denver	238.5	138-142	Over	+41.5
12/27	Home	Brooklyn	223.5	107-123	Over	+6.5
12/29	Away	Chicago	243.5	136-101	Under	-6.5
12/31	Away	Atlanta	239.5	102-126	Under	-11.5
01/03	Away	Miami	235.5	125-115	Over	+4.5
01/04	Away	Washington	239.5	141-115	Over	+16.5
01/06	Home	Miami	238.5	122-94	Under	-22.5
01/08	Home	Cleveland	239.5	131-122	Over	+13.5
01/10	Away	Cleveland	240.5	134-146	Over	+39.5
01/11	Home	San Antonio	232.5	104-103	Under	-25.5
01/13	Away	Milwaukee	229.5	139-106	Over	+15.5
01/16	Away	Houston	221.5	105-110	Under	-6.5
01/17	Away	San Antonio	234.5	123-126	Over	+14.5
01/20	Away	Utah	238.5	122-127	Over	+10.5
01/22	Home	Chicago	239.5	115-120	Under	-4.5
01/25	Home	Golden State	237.5	85-111	Under	-41.5
01/26	Home	Golden State	226.5	108-83	Under	-35.5
01/28	Away	Dallas	228.5	118-105	Under	-5.5
01/29	Home	Okla City	227.5	123-111	Over	+6.5
01/31	Away	Memphis	229.5	131-114	Over	+15.5
02/02	Away	Memphis	232.5	128-137	Over	+32.5
02/04	Away	Toronto	228.5	128-126	Over	+25.5
02/06	Home	New Orleans	237.5	115-119	Under	-3.5
02/08	Home	LA Clippers	222.5	96-115	Under	-11.5
02/09	Home	Atlanta	238.5	138-116	Over	+15.5
02/11	Home	Portland	234.5	133-109	Over	+7.5
02/20	Home	Dallas	239.5	122-111	Under	-6.5
02/22	Home	Philadelphia	239.5	108-135	Over	+3.5
02/24	Away	Portland	234.5	124-121	Over	+10.5
02/26	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	94-88	Under	-38.5
03/01	Away	Denver	241.5	117-108	Under	-16.5
03/03	Home	Memphis	237.5	117-110	Under	-10.5
03/05	Home	Toronto	226.5	115-107	Under	-4.5
03/07	Home	Orlando	224.5	92-119	Under	-13.5
03/10	Away	LA Lakers	229.5	106-120	Under	-3.5
03/11	Away	LA Clippers	225.5	128-153	Over	+55.5
03/13	Away	Golden State	224.5	127-117	Over	+19.5
03/15	Away	Okla City	228.5	103-116	Under	-9.5
03/17	Home	Phoenix	220.5	116-104	Under	-0.5
03/18	Home	Utah	231.5	147-111	Over	+26.5
03/20	Home	Portland	231.5	104-108	Under	-19.5
03/22	Away	Boston	222.5	102-92	Under	-28.5
03/25	Home	Houston	223.5	110-108	Under	-5.5
03/28	Home	Detroit	222.5	87-109	Under	-26.5
03/30	Away	Dallas	236.5	124-94	Under	-18.5
04/02	Away	Detroit	224.5	108-113	Under	-3.5
04/03	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	103-115	Under	-16.5
04/05	Home	Charlotte	225.5	108-122	Over	+4.5
04/07	Away	Indiana	233.5	124-104	Under	-5.5
04/08	Away	Orlando	232.5	120-132	Over	+19.5
04/10	Away	Houston	227.5	136-132	Over	+40.5
04/12	Home	New Orleans	238.5	132-126	Over	+19.5
04/18	Away	Denver	233.5	105-116	Under	-12.5
04/20	Away	Denver	233.5	119-114	Under	-0.5
04/23	Home	Denver	232.5	113-96	Under	-23.5
04/25	Home	Denver	228.5	112-96	Under	-20.5
04/27	Away	Denver	225.5	113-125	Over	+12.5
04/30	Home	Denver	223.5	110-98	Under	-15.5
05/04	Away	San Antonio	218.5	104-102	Under	-12.5
05/06	Away	San Antonio	217.5	95-133	Over	+10.5
05/08	Home	San Antonio	216.5	108-115	Over	+6.5
05/10	Home	San Antonio	218.5	114-109	Over	+4.5
05/12	Away	San Antonio	218.5	97-126	Over	+4.5
05/15	Home	San Antonio	218.5	109-139	Over	+29.5

Toronto Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Atlanta	237.0	138-118	Over	+19.0
10/24	Home	Milwaukee	235.5	116-122	Over	+2.5
10/26	Away	Dallas	232.0	129-139	Over	+36.0
10/27	Away	San Antonio	232.5	103-121	Under	-8.5
10/29	Home	Houston	234.5	121-139	Over	+25.5
10/31	Away	Cleveland	236.5	112-101	Under	-23.5
11/02	Home	Memphis	238.5	117-104	Under	-17.5
11/04	Home	Milwaukee	237.5	128-100	Under	-9.5
11/07	Away	Atlanta	235.5	109-97	Under	-29.5
11/08	Away	Philadelphia	236.5	120-130	Over	+13.5
11/11	Away	Brooklyn	231.5	119-109	Under	-3.5
11/13	Away	Cleveland	238.5	126-113	Over	+0.5
11/15	Away	Indiana	236.5	129-111	Over	+3.5
11/17	Home	Charlotte	240.5	110-108	Under	-22.5
11/19	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	121-112	Under	-1.5
11/21	Home	Washington	238.5	140-110	Over	+11.5
11/23	Home	Brooklyn	229.5	119-109	Under	-1.5
11/24	Home	Cleveland	232.5	110-99	Under	-23.5
11/26	Home	Indiana	233.5	97-95	Under	-41.5
11/29	Away	Charlotte	233.5	111-118	Under	-4.5
11/30	Away	New York	229.5	94-116	Under	-19.5
12/02	Home	Portland	230.5	121-118	Over	+8.5
12/04	Home	LA Lakers	228.5	120-123	Over	+14.5
12/05	Home	Charlotte	230.5	86-111	Under	-33.5
12/07	Home	Boston	224.5	113-121	Over	+9.5
12/09	Home	New York	226.5	101-117	Under	-8.5
12/15	Away	Miami	234.5	106-96	Under	-32.5
12/18	Away	Milwaukee	218.5	111-105	Under	-2.5
12/20	Home	Boston	221.5	96-112	Under	-13.5
12/21	Away	Brooklyn	215.5	81-96	Under	-38.5
12/23	Away	Miami	227.5	112-91	Under	-24.5
12/26	Away	Washington	225.5	117-138	Over	+29.5
12/28	Home	Golden State	227.5	141-127	Over	+40.5
12/29	Home	Orlando	220.5	107-106	Under	-7.5
12/31	Home	Denver	229.5	103-106	Under	-20.5
01/03	Home	Atlanta	231.5	134-117	Over	+19.5
01/05	Home	Atlanta	236.5	118-100	Under	-18.5
01/07	Away	Charlotte	229.5	97-96	Under	-36.5
01/09	Away	Boston	224.5	117-125	Over	+17.5
01/11	Home	Philadelphia	220.5	116-115	Over	+10.5
01/12	Home	Philadelphia	221.5	102-115	Under	-4.5
01/14	Away	Indiana	220.5	115-101	Under	-4.5
01/16	Home	LA Clippers	212.5	117-121	Over	+25.5
01/18	Away	LA Lakers	227.5	93-110	Under	-24.5
01/20	Away	Golden State	225.5	145-127	Over	+46.5
01/21	Away	Sacramento	225.5	122-109	Over	+5.5
01/23	Away	Portland	224.5	110-98	Under	-16.5
01/25	Away	Okla City	224.5	103-101	Under	-20.5
01/28	Home	New York	221.5	92-119	Under	-10.5
01/30	Away	Orlando	222.5	120-130	Over	+27.5
02/01	Home	Utah	234.5	107-100	Under	-27.5
02/04	Home	Minnesota	228.5	126-128	Over	+25.5
02/05	Home	Chicago	227.5	123-107	Over	+2.5
02/08	Home	Indiana	226.5	122-104	Under	-0.5
02/11	Home	Detroit	223.5	95-113	Under	-15.5
02/19	Away	Chicago	235.5	110-101	Under	-24.5
02/22	Away	Milwaukee	219.5	122-94	Under	-3.5
02/24	Home	Okla City	217.5	107-116	Over	+5.5
02/25	Home	San Antonio	230.5	107-110	Under	-13.5
02/28	Away	Washington	229.5	134-125	Over	+29.5
03/03	Home	New York	221.5	95-111	Under	-15.5
03/05	Away	Minnesota	226.5	107-115	Under	-4.5
03/08	Home	Dallas	233.5	122-92	Under	-19.5
03/10	Away	Houston	220.5	99-113	Under	-8.5
03/11	Away	New Orleans	235.5	111-122	Under	-2.5
03/13	Home	Phoenix	221.5	122-115	Over	+15.5
03/15	Home	Detroit	224.5	119-108	Over	+2.5
03/18	Away	Chicago	237.5	139-109	Over	+10.5
03/20	Away	Denver	238.5	115-121	Under	-2.5
03/22	Away	Phoenix	219.5	98-120	Under	-1.5
03/23	Away	Utah	231.5	143-127	Over	+38.5
03/25	Away	LA Clippers	226.5	94-119	Under	-13.5
03/27	Home	New Orleans	229.5	119-106	Under	-4.5
03/29	Home	Orlando	226.5	139-87	Under	-0.5
03/31	Away	Detroit	220.5	116-127	Over	+22.5
04/01	Home	Sacramento	226.5	115-123	Over	+11.5
04/03	Away	Memphis	233.5	128-96	Under	-9.5
04/05	Away	Boston	220.5	101-115	Under	-4.5
04/07	Home	Miami	240.5	121-95	Under	-24.5
04/09	Home	Miami	236.5	128-114	Over	+5.5
04/10	Away	New York	219.5	95-112	Under	-12.5
04/12	Home	Brooklyn	219.5	136-101	Over	+17.5
04/18	Away	Cleveland	221.5	113-126	Over	+17.5
04/20	Away	Cleveland	221.5	105-115	Under	-1.5
04/23	Home	Cleveland	221.5	126-104	Over	+8.5
04/26	Home	Cleveland	219.5	93-89	Under	-37.5
04/29	Away	Cleveland	219.5	120-125	Over	+25.5
05/01	Home	Cleveland	219.5	112-110	Over	+2.5
05/03	Away	Cleveland	209.5	102-114	Over	+6.5