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Minnesota at Miami: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 3, 2026 5:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Minnesota by 2.5, Total Points: 235.5

Matchup Menu: MIN @ MIA

More Games From Jan 3, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami +2.5 Official TR Pick Miami 50% odds to cover
Miami +2.5 Power Rating Model Miami 66% odds to cover
Miami +2.5 Decision Tree Miami 50% odds to cover
Miami +2.5 Similar Games Miami 57% odds to cover
Miami +2.5 Predictive Ratings Miami 64% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIN adv MIA
Season 42-52-0 47-36-0
vs Division 11-11-0 12-6-0
vs Conference 29-35-0 30-23-0
Streak L2 W3
Last 5 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 4-6-0
Home 22-25-0 23-18-0
Away 20-27-0 24-18-0

Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Portland -4.5 W by 4 -0.5
10/24 Away LA Lakers -1.5 L by 18 -19.5
10/26 Home Indiana -12.0 W by 4 -8.0
10/27 Home Denver +6.0 L by 13 -7.0
10/29 Home LA Lakers -7.5 L by 1 -8.5
11/01 Away Charlotte -4.5 W by 17 +12.5
11/03 Away Brooklyn -10.0 W by 16 +6.0
11/05 Away New York +3.5 L by 23 -19.5
11/07 Home Utah -12.5 W by 40 +27.5
11/09 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 27 +22.5
11/10 Away Utah -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
11/14 Home Sacramento -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
11/15 Home Denver +1.5 L by 11 -9.5
11/17 Home Dallas -14.5 W by 24 +9.5
11/19 Home Washington -16.5 W by 11 -5.5
11/21 Away Phoenix -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
11/24 Away Sacramento -10.5 L by 5 -15.5
11/26 Away Okla City +10.5 L by 8 +2.5
11/29 Home Boston -5.5 W by 4 -1.5
11/30 Home San Antonio -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
12/02 Away New Orleans -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
12/04 Away New Orleans -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
12/06 Home LA Clippers -8.5 W by 3 -5.5
12/08 Home Phoenix -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
12/12 Away Golden State +5.5 W by 7 +12.5
12/14 Home Sacramento -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
12/17 Home Memphis -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
12/19 Home Okla City +5.5 W by 5 +10.5
12/21 Home Milwaukee -11.5 W by 3 -8.5
12/23 Home New York -7.5 W by 11 +3.5
12/25 Away Denver +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
12/27 Home Brooklyn -12.5 L by 16 -28.5
12/29 Away Chicago -6.5 W by 35 +28.5
12/31 Away Atlanta -5.5 L by 24 -29.5
01/03 Away Miami -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
01/04 Away Washington -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
01/06 Home Miami -5.5 W by 28 +22.5
01/08 Home Cleveland -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
01/10 Away Cleveland +2.5 L by 12 -9.5
01/11 Home San Antonio -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
01/13 Away Milwaukee +1.5 W by 33 +34.5
01/16 Away Houston +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
01/17 Away San Antonio +4.5 L by 3 +1.5
01/20 Away Utah -12.5 L by 5 -17.5
01/22 Home Chicago -9.5 L by 5 -14.5
01/25 Home Golden State -5.5 L by 26 -31.5
01/26 Home Golden State -8.5 W by 25 +16.5
01/28 Away Dallas -8.5 W by 13 +4.5
01/29 Home Okla City +5.5 W by 12 +17.5
01/31 Away Memphis -11.5 W by 17 +5.5
02/02 Away Memphis -7.5 L by 9 -16.5
02/04 Away Toronto -2.5 W by 2 -0.5
02/06 Home New Orleans -8.5 L by 4 -12.5
02/08 Home LA Clippers -8.5 L by 19 -27.5
02/09 Home Atlanta -8.5 W by 22 +13.5
02/11 Home Portland -5.5 W by 24 +18.5
02/20 Home Dallas -14.5 W by 11 -3.5
02/22 Home Philadelphia -8.5 L by 27 -35.5
02/24 Away Portland -6.5 W by 3 -3.5
02/26 Away LA Clippers -8.5 W by 6 -2.5
03/01 Away Denver +2.5 W by 9 +11.5
03/03 Home Memphis -14.5 W by 7 -7.5
03/05 Home Toronto -4.5 W by 8 +3.5
03/07 Home Orlando -6.5 L by 27 -33.5
03/10 Away LA Lakers -2.5 L by 14 -16.5
03/11 Away LA Clippers +1.5 L by 25 -23.5
03/13 Away Golden State -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
03/15 Away Okla City +8.5 L by 13 -4.5
03/17 Home Phoenix -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
03/18 Home Utah -12.5 W by 36 +23.5
03/20 Home Portland -1.5 L by 4 -5.5
03/22 Away Boston +10.5 W by 10 +20.5
03/25 Home Houston +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
03/28 Home Detroit +2.5 L by 22 -19.5
03/30 Away Dallas -8.5 W by 30 +21.5
04/02 Away Detroit +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
04/03 Away Philadelphia +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
04/05 Home Charlotte +3.5 L by 14 -10.5
04/07 Away Indiana -12.5 W by 20 +7.5
04/08 Away Orlando +11.5 L by 12 -0.5
04/10 Away Houston +9.5 W by 4 +13.5
04/12 Home New Orleans -3.5 W by 6 +2.5
04/18 Away Denver +6.5 L by 11 -4.5
04/20 Away Denver +7.5 W by 5 +12.5
04/23 Home Denver -1.5 W by 17 +15.5
04/25 Home Denver +1.5 W by 16 +17.5
04/27 Away Denver +11.5 L by 12 -0.5
04/30 Home Denver +7.5 W by 12 +19.5
05/04 Away San Antonio +9.5 W by 2 +11.5
05/06 Away San Antonio +10.5 L by 38 -27.5
05/08 Home San Antonio +5.5 L by 7 -1.5
05/10 Home San Antonio +5.5 W by 5 +10.5
05/12 Away San Antonio +9.5 L by 29 -19.5
05/15 Home San Antonio +5.5 L by 30 -24.5

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
10/24 Away Memphis +3.0 W by 32 +35.0
10/26 Home New York +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
10/28 Home Charlotte -6.5 W by 27 +20.5
10/30 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/03 Away LA Clippers +8.0 W by 1 +9.0
11/05 Away Denver +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/07 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 18 +10.5
11/08 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/10 Home Cleveland +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
11/12 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 14 -19.5
11/14 Away New York +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
11/17 Home New York -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/19 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
11/21 Away Chicago +2.5 W by 36 +38.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
11/24 Home Dallas -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
11/29 Home Detroit -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers -6.5 W by 17 +10.5
12/03 Away Dallas -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/05 Away Orlando +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
12/06 Home Sacramento -8.5 L by 16 -24.5
12/09 Away Orlando +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
12/15 Home Toronto -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
12/19 Away Boston +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
12/21 Away New York +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
12/23 Home Toronto -5.5 L by 21 -26.5
12/26 Away Atlanta +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
12/27 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 26 +19.5
12/29 Home Denver +1.5 W by 24 +25.5
01/01 Away Detroit +4.5 W by 6 +10.5
01/03 Home Minnesota +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/04 Home New Orleans -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
01/06 Away Minnesota +5.5 L by 28 -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana -6.5 L by 24 -30.5
01/11 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 12 +3.5
01/13 Home Phoenix -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/15 Home Boston +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City +11.5 W by 2 +13.5
01/19 Away Golden State +5.5 L by 23 -17.5
01/20 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
01/22 Away Portland +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
01/24 Away Utah -6.5 W by 31 +24.5
01/25 Away Phoenix +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/28 Home Orlando -3.5 L by 9 -12.5
01/29 Away Chicago -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
01/31 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
02/01 Home Chicago -5.5 W by 43 +37.5
02/03 Home Atlanta -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
02/06 Away Boston +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
02/08 Away Washington -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
02/09 Home Utah -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/11 Away New Orleans +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
02/20 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 31 +27.5
02/21 Home Memphis -11.5 W by 16 +4.5
02/24 Away Milwaukee -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/26 Away Philadelphia +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
02/28 Home Houston +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
03/03 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 26 +13.5
03/05 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 16 +3.5
03/06 Away Charlotte +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
03/08 Home Detroit +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/10 Home Washington -15.5 W by 21 +5.5
03/12 Home Milwaukee -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/14 Home Orlando -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
03/17 Away Charlotte +5.5 L by 30 -24.5
03/19 Home LA Lakers -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
03/21 Away Houston +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
03/23 Home San Antonio +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
03/25 Away Cleveland +2.5 W by 17 +19.5
03/27 Away Cleveland +5.5 L by 21 -15.5
03/29 Away Indiana -8.5 L by 17 -25.5
03/30 Home Philadelphia +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
04/01 Home Boston +4.5 L by 18 -13.5
04/04 Home Washington -17.5 W by 16 -1.5
04/07 Away Toronto +1.5 L by 26 -24.5
04/09 Away Toronto +3.5 L by 14 -10.5
04/10 Away Washington -15.5 W by 23 +7.5
04/12 Home Atlanta -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
04/14 Away Charlotte +6.5 L by 1 +5.5