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Houston at Dallas: Recap

Saturday Jan 3, 2026 8:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Houston by 8.5, Total Points: 228.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Houston HOU 77.5%
DAL 22.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
HOU -8.5 HOU 50.1%
DAL 49.9%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 228.5 Over 46.7%
Under 53.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
HOU -300 HOU +2.5%
DAL -6.9%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
HOU 117.7 118.5 104
DAL 109.1 110.0 110

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat HOU DAL
Points/Game 114.1 114.1
Avg Score Margin +4.7 -5.5
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 14.1 17.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 52.7 52.8
Assists/Game 25.1 25.3
Total Rebounds/Gm 57.2 54.3
Effective FG % 53.8% 52.7%
Off Rebound % 34.4% 23.2%
FTA/FGA 0.262 0.287
Turnover % 13.2% 12.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat HOU DAL
Opp Points/Game 109.4 119.6
Opp Effective FG % 53.1% 54.6%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 48.9 56.2
Off Rebounds/Gm 14.9 10.5
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.7 34.2
Blocks/Game 5.7 5.2
Steals/Game 8.8 7.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.5 18.4