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Detroit at Sacramento: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Dec 23, 2025 10:00 pm - Sacramento, CA
Odds: Detroit by 9.5, Total Points: 226.5

Matchup Menu: DET @ SAC

More Games From Dec 23, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 227.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 227.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Over 227.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	DET	SAC
Season	45-50-1	43-39-0
vs Division	13-10-0	10-6-0
vs Conference	32-34-0	25-27-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 2
Last 5	4-1-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	6-4-0
Home	23-25-0	22-19-0
Away	22-25-1	21-20-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Detroit Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Chicago	236.5	111-115	Under	-10.5
10/24	Away	Houston	226.0	115-111	Push	0.0
10/26	Home	Boston	227.0	119-113	Over	+5.0
10/27	Home	Cleveland	231.0	95-116	Under	-20.0
10/29	Home	Orlando	227.5	135-116	Over	+23.5
11/01	Neutral	Dallas	227.0	122-110	Over	+5.0
11/03	Away	Memphis	236.0	114-106	Under	-16.0
11/05	Home	Utah	233.5	114-103	Under	-16.5
11/07	Away	Brooklyn	227.5	125-107	Over	+4.5
11/09	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	111-108	Under	-15.5
11/10	Home	Washington	236.5	137-135	Over	+35.5
11/12	Home	Chicago	229.5	124-113	Over	+7.5
11/14	Home	Philadelphia	228.5	114-105	Under	-9.5
11/17	Home	Indiana	230.5	127-112	Over	+8.5
11/18	Away	Atlanta	227.5	120-112	Over	+4.5
11/22	Away	Milwaukee	225.5	129-116	Over	+19.5
11/24	Away	Indiana	236.5	122-117	Over	+2.5
11/26	Away	Boston	232.5	114-117	Under	-1.5
11/28	Home	Orlando	230.5	109-112	Under	-9.5
11/29	Away	Miami	239.5	138-135	Over	+33.5
12/01	Home	Atlanta	232.5	99-98	Under	-35.5
12/03	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	109-113	Under	-6.5
12/05	Home	Portland	236.5	122-116	Over	+1.5
12/06	Home	Milwaukee	223.5	124-112	Over	+12.5
12/12	Home	Atlanta	233.5	142-115	Over	+23.5
12/15	Away	Boston	231.5	112-105	Under	-14.5
12/18	Away	Dallas	230.5	114-116	Under	-0.5
12/20	Home	Charlotte	235.5	112-86	Under	-37.5
12/22	Away	Portland	234.5	110-102	Under	-22.5
12/23	Away	Sacramento	226.5	136-127	Over	+36.5
12/26	Away	Utah	245.5	129-131	Over	+14.5
12/28	Away	LA Clippers	224.5	99-112	Under	-13.5
12/30	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	128-106	Over	+1.5
01/01	Home	Miami	236.5	112-118	Under	-6.5
01/04	Away	Cleveland	239.5	114-110	Under	-15.5
01/05	Home	New York	232.5	121-90	Under	-21.5
01/07	Home	Chicago	227.5	108-93	Under	-26.5
01/10	Home	LA Clippers	214.5	92-98	Under	-24.5
01/15	Home	Phoenix	219.5	108-105	Under	-6.5
01/17	Home	Indiana	226.5	121-78	Under	-27.5
01/19	Home	Boston	223.5	104-103	Under	-16.5
01/21	Away	New Orleans	233.5	112-104	Under	-17.5
01/23	Home	Houston	217.5	104-111	Under	-2.5
01/25	Home	Sacramento	226.5	139-116	Over	+28.5
01/27	Away	Denver	215.5	109-107	Over	+0.5
01/29	Away	Phoenix	213.5	96-114	Under	-3.5
01/30	Away	Golden State	225.5	131-124	Over	+29.5
02/01	Home	Brooklyn	213.5	130-77	Under	-6.5
02/03	Home	Denver	229.5	124-121	Over	+15.5
02/05	Home	Washington	227.5	117-126	Over	+15.5
02/06	Home	New York	218.5	118-80	Under	-20.5
02/09	Away	Charlotte	222.5	110-104	Under	-8.5
02/11	Away	Toronto	223.5	113-95	Under	-15.5
02/19	Away	New York	219.5	126-111	Over	+17.5
02/21	Away	Chicago	234.5	126-110	Over	+1.5
02/23	Home	San Antonio	232.5	103-114	Under	-15.5
02/25	Home	Okla City	221.5	124-116	Over	+18.5
02/27	Home	Cleveland	226.5	122-119	Over	+14.5
03/01	Away	Orlando	224.5	106-92	Under	-26.5
03/03	Away	Cleveland	227.5	109-113	Under	-5.5
03/05	Away	San Antonio	228.5	106-121	Under	-1.5
03/07	Home	Brooklyn	214.5	105-107	Under	-2.5
03/08	Away	Miami	231.5	110-121	Under	-0.5
03/10	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	138-100	Over	+21.5
03/12	Home	Philadelphia	223.5	131-109	Over	+16.5
03/13	Home	Memphis	233.5	126-110	Over	+2.5
03/15	Away	Toronto	224.5	108-119	Over	+2.5
03/17	Away	Washington	234.5	130-117	Over	+12.5
03/19	Away	Washington	231.5	117-95	Under	-19.5
03/20	Home	Golden State	219.5	115-101	Under	-3.5
03/23	Home	LA Lakers	224.5	113-110	Under	-1.5
03/25	Home	Atlanta	229.5	129-130	Over	+29.5
03/26	Home	New Orleans	226.5	129-108	Over	+10.5
03/28	Away	Minnesota	222.5	109-87	Under	-26.5
03/30	Away	Okla City	216.5	110-114	Over	+7.5
03/31	Home	Toronto	220.5	127-116	Over	+22.5
04/02	Home	Minnesota	224.5	113-108	Under	-3.5
04/04	Away	Philadelphia	226.5	116-93	Under	-17.5
04/06	Away	Orlando	222.5	107-123	Over	+7.5
04/08	Home	Milwaukee	223.5	137-111	Over	+24.5
04/10	Away	Charlotte	225.5	118-100	Under	-7.5
04/12	Away	Indiana	231.5	133-121	Over	+22.5
04/19	Home	Orlando	221.5	101-112	Under	-8.5
04/22	Home	Orlando	218.5	98-83	Under	-37.5
04/25	Away	Orlando	215.5	105-113	Over	+2.5
04/27	Away	Orlando	214.5	88-94	Under	-32.5
04/29	Home	Orlando	210.5	116-109	Over	+14.5
05/01	Away	Orlando	210.5	93-79	Under	-38.5
05/03	Home	Orlando	201.5	116-94	Over	+8.5
05/05	Home	Cleveland	216.5	111-101	Under	-4.5
05/07	Home	Cleveland	215.5	107-97	Under	-11.5
05/09	Away	Cleveland	212.5	109-116	Over	+12.5
05/11	Away	Cleveland	212.5	103-112	Over	+2.5
05/13	Home	Cleveland	211.5	113-117	Over	+18.5
05/15	Away	Cleveland	209.5	115-94	Under	-0.5
05/17	Home	Cleveland	204.5	94-125	Over	+14.5

Sacramento Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Phoenix	228.5	116-120	Over	+7.5
10/24	Home	Utah	235.0	105-104	Under	-26.0
10/26	Home	LA Lakers	225.0	120-127	Over	+22.0
10/28	Away	Okla City	227.5	101-107	Under	-19.5
10/29	Away	Chicago	237.5	113-126	Over	+1.5
11/01	Away	Milwaukee	233.0	135-133	Over	+35.0
11/03	Away	Denver	237.0	124-130	Over	+17.0
11/05	Home	Golden State	224.5	121-116	Over	+12.5
11/07	Home	Okla City	234.5	101-132	Under	-1.5
11/09	Home	Minnesota	238.5	117-144	Over	+22.5
11/11	Home	Denver	243.5	108-122	Under	-13.5
11/12	Home	Atlanta	230.5	100-133	Over	+2.5
11/14	Away	Minnesota	240.5	110-124	Under	-6.5
11/16	Away	San Antonio	242.5	110-123	Under	-9.5
11/19	Away	Okla City	232.5	99-113	Under	-20.5
11/20	Away	Memphis	234.5	96-137	Under	-1.5
11/22	Away	Denver	239.5	128-123	Over	+11.5
11/24	Home	Minnesota	238.5	117-112	Under	-9.5
11/26	Home	Phoenix	233.5	100-112	Under	-21.5
11/28	Away	Utah	242.5	119-128	Over	+4.5
11/30	Home	Memphis	233.5	107-115	Under	-11.5
12/03	Away	Houston	230.5	95-121	Under	-14.5
12/06	Away	Miami	241.5	127-111	Under	-3.5
12/08	Away	Indiana	232.5	105-116	Under	-11.5
12/11	Home	Denver	239.5	105-136	Over	+1.5
12/14	Away	Minnesota	235.5	103-117	Under	-15.5
12/18	Away	Portland	239.5	133-134	Over	+27.5
12/20	Home	Portland	235.5	93-98	Under	-44.5
12/21	Home	Houston	223.5	125-124	Over	+25.5
12/23	Home	Detroit	226.5	127-136	Over	+36.5
12/27	Home	Dallas	233.5	113-107	Under	-13.5
12/28	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	101-125	Under	-6.5
12/30	Away	LA Clippers	218.5	90-131	Over	+2.5
01/01	Home	Boston	229.5	106-120	Under	-3.5
01/02	Away	Phoenix	223.5	102-129	Over	+7.5
01/04	Home	Milwaukee	227.5	98-115	Under	-14.5
01/06	Home	Dallas	233.5	98-100	Under	-35.5
01/09	Away	Golden State	231.5	103-137	Over	+8.5
01/11	Home	Houston	223.5	111-98	Under	-14.5
01/12	Home	LA Lakers	231.5	124-112	Over	+4.5
01/14	Home	New York	229.5	112-101	Under	-16.5
01/16	Home	Washington	235.5	128-115	Over	+7.5
01/18	Home	Portland	229.5	110-117	Under	-2.5
01/20	Home	Miami	238.5	117-130	Over	+8.5
01/21	Home	Toronto	225.5	109-122	Over	+5.5
01/23	Away	Cleveland	233.5	118-123	Over	+7.5
01/25	Away	Detroit	226.5	116-139	Over	+28.5
01/27	Away	New York	225.5	87-103	Under	-35.5
01/29	Away	Philadelphia	229.5	111-113	Under	-5.5
01/30	Away	Boston	216.5	93-112	Under	-11.5
02/01	Away	Washington	227.5	112-116	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Memphis	235.5	125-129	Over	+18.5
02/06	Home	LA Clippers	222.5	111-114	Over	+2.5
02/07	Home	Cleveland	229.5	126-132	Over	+28.5
02/09	Away	New Orleans	229.5	94-120	Under	-15.5
02/11	Away	Utah	228.5	93-121	Under	-14.5
02/19	Home	Orlando	226.5	94-131	Under	-1.5
02/21	Away	San Antonio	230.5	122-139	Over	+30.5
02/23	Away	Memphis	232.5	123-114	Over	+4.5
02/25	Away	Houston	222.5	97-128	Over	+2.5
02/26	Away	Dallas	235.5	130-121	Over	+15.5
03/01	Away	LA Lakers	235.5	104-128	Under	-3.5
03/03	Home	Phoenix	224.5	103-114	Under	-7.5
03/05	Home	New Orleans	235.5	123-133	Over	+20.5
03/08	Home	Chicago	235.5	126-110	Over	+0.5
03/10	Home	Indiana	236.5	114-109	Under	-13.5
03/11	Home	Charlotte	224.5	109-117	Over	+1.5
03/14	Away	LA Clippers	231.5	118-109	Under	-4.5
03/15	Home	Utah	230.5	116-111	Under	-3.5
03/17	Home	San Antonio	233.5	104-132	Over	+2.5
03/19	Home	Philadelphia	228.5	118-139	Over	+28.5
03/22	Home	Brooklyn	219.5	126-122	Over	+28.5
03/24	Away	Charlotte	233.5	90-134	Under	-9.5
03/26	Away	Orlando	230.5	117-121	Over	+7.5
03/28	Away	Atlanta	234.5	113-123	Over	+1.5
03/29	Away	Brooklyn	217.5	99-116	Under	-2.5
04/01	Away	Toronto	226.5	123-115	Over	+11.5
04/03	Home	New Orleans	232.5	117-113	Under	-2.5
04/05	Home	LA Clippers	228.5	109-138	Over	+18.5
04/07	Away	Golden State	233.5	105-110	Under	-18.5
04/10	Home	Golden State	228.5	124-118	Over	+13.5
04/12	Away	Portland	226.5	110-122	Over	+5.5