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New Orleans at Dallas: Recap

Friday Nov 21, 2025 8:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Dallas by 3.5, Total Points: 233.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Dallas NO 40.5%
DAL 59.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
DAL -3.5 NO 49.3%
DAL 50.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 233.5 Over 49.2%
Under 50.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off NO -2.0%
DAL -2.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
NO 114.7 115.0 115
DAL 118.4 118.5 118

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat NO DAL
Points/Game 115.5 114.1
Avg Score Margin -4.5 -5.5
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 17.0 17.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 57.7 52.8
Assists/Game 25.1 25.3
Total Rebounds/Gm 53.0 54.3
Effective FG % 52.7% 52.7%
Off Rebound % 27.0% 23.2%
FTA/FGA 0.284 0.287
Turnover % 12.1% 12.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat NO DAL
Opp Points/Game 120.0 119.6
Opp Effective FG % 55.5% 54.6%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 53.1 56.2
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.2 10.5
Def Rebounds/Gm 31.7 34.2
Blocks/Game 5.2 5.2
Steals/Game 8.9 7.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.9 18.4