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Denver at Sacramento: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Dec 11, 2025 10:00 pm - Sacramento, CA
Odds: Denver by 10.5, Total Points: 239.5

Matchup Menu: DEN @ SAC

More Games From Dec 11, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 239.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 239.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Over 239.5	Similar Games	62% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	DEN	SAC
Season	53-35-0	43-39-0
vs Division	12-10-0	10-6-0
vs Conference	38-20-0	25-27-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 2
Last 5	1-4-0	3-2-0
Last 10	5-5-0	6-4-0
Home	24-20-0	22-19-0
Away	29-15-0	21-20-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Denver Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/23	Away	Golden State	233.0	131-137	Over	+35.0
10/25	Home	Phoenix	233.5	133-111	Over	+10.5
10/27	Away	Minnesota	229.5	127-114	Over	+11.5
10/29	Home	New Orleans	238.0	122-88	Under	-28.0
10/31	Away	Portland	239.5	107-109	Under	-23.5
11/03	Home	Sacramento	237.0	130-124	Over	+17.0
11/05	Home	Miami	242.5	122-112	Under	-8.5
11/07	Home	Golden State	230.5	129-104	Over	+2.5
11/08	Home	Indiana	234.5	117-100	Under	-17.5
11/11	Away	Sacramento	243.5	122-108	Under	-13.5
11/12	Away	LA Clippers	224.5	130-116	Over	+21.5
11/15	Away	Minnesota	236.5	123-112	Under	-1.5
11/17	Home	Chicago	240.5	127-130	Over	+16.5
11/19	Away	New Orleans	235.5	125-118	Over	+7.5
11/21	Away	Houston	234.5	112-109	Under	-13.5
11/22	Home	Sacramento	239.5	123-128	Over	+11.5
11/24	Away	Memphis	235.5	125-115	Over	+4.5
11/28	Home	San Antonio	238.5	136-139	Over	+36.5
11/29	Away	Phoenix	233.5	130-112	Over	+8.5
12/01	Home	Dallas	235.5	121-131	Over	+16.5
12/03	Away	Indiana	238.5	135-120	Over	+16.5
12/05	Away	Atlanta	238.5	134-133	Over	+28.5
12/07	Away	Charlotte	235.5	115-106	Under	-14.5
12/11	Away	Sacramento	239.5	136-105	Over	+1.5
12/15	Home	Houston	236.5	128-125	Over	+16.5
12/18	Home	Orlando	237.5	126-115	Over	+3.5
12/20	Home	Houston	235.5	101-115	Under	-19.5
12/22	Home	Utah	251.5	135-112	Under	-4.5
12/23	Away	Dallas	236.5	130-131	Over	+24.5
12/25	Home	Minnesota	238.5	142-138	Over	+41.5
12/27	Away	Orlando	235.5	126-127	Over	+17.5
12/29	Away	Miami	243.5	123-147	Over	+26.5
12/31	Away	Toronto	229.5	106-103	Under	-20.5
01/02	Away	Cleveland	240.5	108-113	Under	-19.5
01/04	Away	Brooklyn	224.5	115-127	Over	+17.5
01/05	Away	Philadelphia	228.5	125-124	Over	+20.5
01/07	Away	Boston	230.5	114-110	Under	-6.5
01/09	Home	Atlanta	230.5	87-110	Under	-33.5
01/11	Home	Milwaukee	218.5	108-104	Under	-6.5
01/13	Away	New Orleans	235.5	122-116	Over	+2.5
01/14	Away	Dallas	224.5	118-109	Over	+2.5
01/17	Home	Washington	227.5	121-115	Over	+8.5
01/18	Home	Charlotte	226.5	87-110	Under	-29.5
01/20	Home	LA Lakers	228.5	107-115	Under	-6.5
01/22	Away	Washington	227.5	107-97	Under	-23.5
01/23	Away	Milwaukee	214.5	102-100	Under	-12.5
01/27	Home	Detroit	215.5	107-109	Over	+0.5
01/29	Home	Brooklyn	209.5	107-103	Over	+0.5
01/30	Home	LA Clippers	219.5	122-109	Over	+11.5
02/01	Home	Okla City	225.5	111-121	Over	+6.5
02/03	Away	Detroit	229.5	121-124	Over	+15.5
02/04	Away	New York	227.5	127-134	Over	+33.5
02/07	Away	Chicago	235.5	136-120	Over	+20.5
02/09	Home	Cleveland	242.5	117-119	Under	-6.5
02/11	Home	Memphis	238.5	122-116	Under	-0.5
02/19	Away	LA Clippers	226.5	114-115	Over	+2.5
02/20	Away	Portland	241.5	157-103	Over	+18.5
02/22	Away	Golden State	228.5	117-128	Over	+16.5
02/25	Home	Boston	228.5	103-84	Under	-41.5
02/27	Away	Okla City	235.5	121-127	Over	+12.5
03/01	Home	Minnesota	241.5	108-117	Under	-16.5
03/02	Away	Utah	242.5	128-125	Over	+10.5
03/05	Home	LA Lakers	241.5	120-113	Under	-8.5
03/06	Home	New York	229.5	103-142	Over	+15.5
03/09	Away	Okla City	236.5	126-129	Over	+18.5
03/11	Home	Houston	231.5	129-93	Under	-9.5
03/12	Away	San Antonio	241.5	136-131	Over	+25.5
03/14	Away	LA Lakers	244.5	125-127	Over	+7.5
03/17	Home	Philadelphia	236.5	124-96	Under	-16.5
03/18	Away	Memphis	247.5	118-125	Under	-4.5
03/20	Home	Toronto	238.5	121-115	Under	-2.5
03/22	Home	Portland	237.5	128-112	Over	+2.5
03/24	Away	Phoenix	233.5	125-123	Over	+14.5
03/25	Home	Dallas	246.5	142-135	Over	+30.5
03/27	Home	Utah	247.5	135-129	Over	+16.5
03/29	Home	Golden State	237.5	116-93	Under	-28.5
04/01	Away	Utah	249.5	130-117	Under	-2.5
04/04	Home	San Antonio	242.5	136-134	Over	+27.5
04/06	Home	Portland	236.5	137-132	Over	+32.5
04/08	Home	Memphis	247.5	136-119	Over	+7.5
04/10	Home	Okla City	222.5	127-107	Over	+11.5
04/12	Away	San Antonio	234.5	128-118	Over	+11.5
04/18	Home	Minnesota	233.5	116-105	Under	-12.5
04/20	Home	Minnesota	233.5	114-119	Under	-0.5
04/23	Away	Minnesota	232.5	96-113	Under	-23.5
04/25	Away	Minnesota	228.5	96-112	Under	-20.5
04/27	Home	Minnesota	225.5	125-113	Over	+12.5
04/30	Away	Minnesota	223.5	98-110	Under	-15.5

Sacramento Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Phoenix	228.5	116-120	Over	+7.5
10/24	Home	Utah	235.0	105-104	Under	-26.0
10/26	Home	LA Lakers	225.0	120-127	Over	+22.0
10/28	Away	Okla City	227.5	101-107	Under	-19.5
10/29	Away	Chicago	237.5	113-126	Over	+1.5
11/01	Away	Milwaukee	233.0	135-133	Over	+35.0
11/03	Away	Denver	237.0	124-130	Over	+17.0
11/05	Home	Golden State	224.5	121-116	Over	+12.5
11/07	Home	Okla City	234.5	101-132	Under	-1.5
11/09	Home	Minnesota	238.5	117-144	Over	+22.5
11/11	Home	Denver	243.5	108-122	Under	-13.5
11/12	Home	Atlanta	230.5	100-133	Over	+2.5
11/14	Away	Minnesota	240.5	110-124	Under	-6.5
11/16	Away	San Antonio	242.5	110-123	Under	-9.5
11/19	Away	Okla City	232.5	99-113	Under	-20.5
11/20	Away	Memphis	234.5	96-137	Under	-1.5
11/22	Away	Denver	239.5	128-123	Over	+11.5
11/24	Home	Minnesota	238.5	117-112	Under	-9.5
11/26	Home	Phoenix	233.5	100-112	Under	-21.5
11/28	Away	Utah	242.5	119-128	Over	+4.5
11/30	Home	Memphis	233.5	107-115	Under	-11.5
12/03	Away	Houston	230.5	95-121	Under	-14.5
12/06	Away	Miami	241.5	127-111	Under	-3.5
12/08	Away	Indiana	232.5	105-116	Under	-11.5
12/11	Home	Denver	239.5	105-136	Over	+1.5
12/14	Away	Minnesota	235.5	103-117	Under	-15.5
12/18	Away	Portland	239.5	133-134	Over	+27.5
12/20	Home	Portland	235.5	93-98	Under	-44.5
12/21	Home	Houston	223.5	125-124	Over	+25.5
12/23	Home	Detroit	226.5	127-136	Over	+36.5
12/27	Home	Dallas	233.5	113-107	Under	-13.5
12/28	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	101-125	Under	-6.5
12/30	Away	LA Clippers	218.5	90-131	Over	+2.5
01/01	Home	Boston	229.5	106-120	Under	-3.5
01/02	Away	Phoenix	223.5	102-129	Over	+7.5
01/04	Home	Milwaukee	227.5	98-115	Under	-14.5
01/06	Home	Dallas	233.5	98-100	Under	-35.5
01/09	Away	Golden State	231.5	103-137	Over	+8.5
01/11	Home	Houston	223.5	111-98	Under	-14.5
01/12	Home	LA Lakers	231.5	124-112	Over	+4.5
01/14	Home	New York	229.5	112-101	Under	-16.5
01/16	Home	Washington	235.5	128-115	Over	+7.5
01/18	Home	Portland	229.5	110-117	Under	-2.5
01/20	Home	Miami	238.5	117-130	Over	+8.5
01/21	Home	Toronto	225.5	109-122	Over	+5.5
01/23	Away	Cleveland	233.5	118-123	Over	+7.5
01/25	Away	Detroit	226.5	116-139	Over	+28.5
01/27	Away	New York	225.5	87-103	Under	-35.5
01/29	Away	Philadelphia	229.5	111-113	Under	-5.5
01/30	Away	Boston	216.5	93-112	Under	-11.5
02/01	Away	Washington	227.5	112-116	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Memphis	235.5	125-129	Over	+18.5
02/06	Home	LA Clippers	222.5	111-114	Over	+2.5
02/07	Home	Cleveland	229.5	126-132	Over	+28.5
02/09	Away	New Orleans	229.5	94-120	Under	-15.5
02/11	Away	Utah	228.5	93-121	Under	-14.5
02/19	Home	Orlando	226.5	94-131	Under	-1.5
02/21	Away	San Antonio	230.5	122-139	Over	+30.5
02/23	Away	Memphis	232.5	123-114	Over	+4.5
02/25	Away	Houston	222.5	97-128	Over	+2.5
02/26	Away	Dallas	235.5	130-121	Over	+15.5
03/01	Away	LA Lakers	235.5	104-128	Under	-3.5
03/03	Home	Phoenix	224.5	103-114	Under	-7.5
03/05	Home	New Orleans	235.5	123-133	Over	+20.5
03/08	Home	Chicago	235.5	126-110	Over	+0.5
03/10	Home	Indiana	236.5	114-109	Under	-13.5
03/11	Home	Charlotte	224.5	109-117	Over	+1.5
03/14	Away	LA Clippers	231.5	118-109	Under	-4.5
03/15	Home	Utah	230.5	116-111	Under	-3.5
03/17	Home	San Antonio	233.5	104-132	Over	+2.5
03/19	Home	Philadelphia	228.5	118-139	Over	+28.5
03/22	Home	Brooklyn	219.5	126-122	Over	+28.5
03/24	Away	Charlotte	233.5	90-134	Under	-9.5
03/26	Away	Orlando	230.5	117-121	Over	+7.5
03/28	Away	Atlanta	234.5	113-123	Over	+1.5
03/29	Away	Brooklyn	217.5	99-116	Under	-2.5
04/01	Away	Toronto	226.5	123-115	Over	+11.5
04/03	Home	New Orleans	232.5	117-113	Under	-2.5
04/05	Home	LA Clippers	228.5	109-138	Over	+18.5
04/07	Away	Golden State	233.5	105-110	Under	-18.5
04/10	Home	Golden State	228.5	124-118	Over	+13.5
04/12	Away	Portland	226.5	110-122	Over	+5.5