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Denver at Sacramento: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Dec 11, 2025 10:00 pm - Sacramento, CA
Odds: Denver by 10.5, Total Points: 239.5

Matchup Menu: DEN @ SAC

More Games From Dec 11, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Sacramento +10.5 Official TR Pick Sacramento 51% odds to cover
Sacramento +10.5 Power Rating Model Sacramento 58% odds to cover
Sacramento +10.5 Decision Tree Sacramento 50% odds to cover
Sacramento +10.5 Predictive Ratings Sacramento 54% odds to cover
Denver -10.5 Similar Games Denver 62% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record DEN adv SAC
Season 46-42-0 36-46-0
vs Division 11-11-0 6-10-0
vs Conference 30-28-0 22-30-0
Streak L1 W3
Last 5 1-4-0 4-1-0
Last 10 4-6-0 7-3-0
Home 22-22-0 18-23-0
Away 24-20-0 18-23-0

Denver Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/23 Away Golden State +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
10/25 Home Phoenix -13.0 W by 22 +9.0
10/27 Away Minnesota -6.0 W by 13 +7.0
10/29 Home New Orleans -12.5 W by 34 +21.5
10/31 Away Portland -5.5 L by 2 -7.5
11/03 Home Sacramento -11.5 W by 6 -5.5
11/05 Home Miami -9.5 W by 10 +0.5
11/07 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 25 +15.5
11/08 Home Indiana -9.5 W by 17 +7.5
11/11 Away Sacramento -8.5 W by 14 +5.5
11/12 Away LA Clippers -4.5 W by 14 +9.5
11/15 Away Minnesota -1.5 W by 11 +9.5
11/17 Home Chicago -13.5 L by 3 -16.5
11/19 Away New Orleans -11.5 W by 7 -4.5
11/21 Away Houston +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
11/22 Home Sacramento -10.5 L by 5 -15.5
11/24 Away Memphis -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
11/28 Home San Antonio -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
11/29 Away Phoenix -3.5 W by 18 +14.5
12/01 Home Dallas -11.5 L by 10 -21.5
12/03 Away Indiana -8.5 W by 15 +6.5
12/05 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
12/07 Away Charlotte -10.5 W by 9 -1.5
12/11 Away Sacramento -10.5 W by 31 +20.5
12/15 Home Houston +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
12/18 Home Orlando -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
12/20 Home Houston -1.5 L by 14 -15.5
12/22 Home Utah -12.5 W by 23 +10.5
12/23 Away Dallas -6.5 L by 1 -7.5
12/25 Home Minnesota -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
12/27 Away Orlando -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
12/29 Away Miami -1.5 L by 24 -25.5
12/31 Away Toronto +7.5 W by 3 +10.5
01/02 Away Cleveland +13.5 L by 5 +8.5
01/04 Away Brooklyn -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
01/05 Away Philadelphia +14.5 W by 1 +15.5
01/07 Away Boston +9.5 W by 4 +13.5
01/09 Home Atlanta +3.5 L by 23 -19.5
01/11 Home Milwaukee +6.5 W by 4 +10.5
01/13 Away New Orleans -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/14 Away Dallas +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
01/17 Home Washington -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
01/18 Home Charlotte +2.5 L by 23 -20.5
01/20 Home LA Lakers +3.5 L by 8 -4.5
01/22 Away Washington -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
01/23 Away Milwaukee +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
01/27 Home Detroit +7.5 L by 2 +5.5
01/29 Home Brooklyn -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
01/30 Home LA Clippers +2.5 W by 13 +15.5
02/01 Home Okla City +7.5 L by 10 -2.5
02/03 Away Detroit +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
02/04 Away New York +4.5 L by 7 -2.5
02/07 Away Chicago -9.5 W by 16 +6.5
02/09 Home Cleveland -2.5 L by 2 -4.5
02/11 Home Memphis -14.5 W by 6 -8.5
02/19 Away LA Clippers -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
02/20 Away Portland -1.5 W by 54 +52.5
02/22 Away Golden State -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/25 Home Boston -3.5 W by 19 +15.5
02/27 Away Okla City +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
03/01 Home Minnesota -2.5 L by 9 -11.5
03/02 Away Utah -11.5 W by 3 -8.5
03/05 Home LA Lakers -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
03/06 Home New York -1.5 L by 39 -40.5
03/09 Away Okla City +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
03/11 Home Houston -6.5 W by 36 +29.5
03/12 Away San Antonio +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
03/14 Away LA Lakers -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
03/17 Home Philadelphia -15.5 W by 28 +12.5
03/18 Away Memphis -12.5 L by 7 -19.5
03/20 Home Toronto -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
03/22 Home Portland -8.5 W by 16 +7.5
03/24 Away Phoenix -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
03/25 Home Dallas -10.5 W by 7 -3.5
03/27 Home Utah -19.5 W by 6 -13.5
03/29 Home Golden State -11.5 W by 23 +11.5
04/01 Away Utah -17.5 W by 13 -4.5
04/04 Home San Antonio +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
04/06 Home Portland -7.5 W by 5 -2.5
04/08 Home Memphis -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
04/10 Home Okla City -2.5 W by 20 +17.5
04/12 Away San Antonio +9.5 W by 10 +19.5
04/18 Home Minnesota -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
04/20 Home Minnesota -7.5 L by 5 -12.5
04/23 Away Minnesota +1.5 L by 17 -15.5
04/25 Away Minnesota -1.5 L by 16 -17.5
04/27 Home Minnesota -11.5 W by 12 +0.5
04/30 Away Minnesota -7.5 L by 12 -19.5

Sacramento Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Phoenix +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
10/24 Home Utah -5.5 W by 1 -4.5
10/26 Home LA Lakers -3.5 L by 7 -10.5
10/28 Away Okla City +10.5 L by 6 +4.5
10/29 Away Chicago +4.5 L by 13 -8.5
11/01 Away Milwaukee +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
11/03 Away Denver +11.5 L by 6 +5.5
11/05 Home Golden State -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
11/07 Home Okla City +11.5 L by 31 -19.5
11/09 Home Minnesota +4.5 L by 27 -22.5
11/11 Home Denver +8.5 L by 14 -5.5
11/12 Home Atlanta +4.5 L by 33 -28.5
11/14 Away Minnesota +11.5 L by 14 -2.5
11/16 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 13 -7.5
11/19 Away Okla City +18.5 L by 14 +4.5
11/20 Away Memphis +3.5 L by 41 -37.5
11/22 Away Denver +10.5 W by 5 +15.5
11/24 Home Minnesota +10.5 W by 5 +15.5
11/26 Home Phoenix +4.5 L by 12 -7.5
11/28 Away Utah +2.5 L by 9 -6.5
11/30 Home Memphis +3.5 L by 8 -4.5
12/03 Away Houston +15.5 L by 26 -10.5
12/06 Away Miami +8.5 W by 16 +24.5
12/08 Away Indiana +3.5 L by 11 -7.5
12/11 Home Denver +10.5 L by 31 -20.5
12/14 Away Minnesota +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
12/18 Away Portland +8.5 L by 1 +7.5
12/20 Home Portland +4.5 L by 5 -0.5
12/21 Home Houston +12.5 W by 1 +13.5
12/23 Home Detroit +9.5 L by 9 +0.5
12/27 Home Dallas +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
12/28 Away LA Lakers +12.5 L by 24 -11.5
12/30 Away LA Clippers +10.5 L by 41 -30.5
01/01 Home Boston +10.5 L by 14 -3.5
01/02 Away Phoenix +13.5 L by 27 -13.5
01/04 Home Milwaukee +6.5 L by 17 -10.5
01/06 Home Dallas +4.5 L by 2 +2.5
01/09 Away Golden State +14.5 L by 34 -19.5
01/11 Home Houston +14.5 W by 13 +27.5
01/12 Home LA Lakers +9.5 W by 12 +21.5
01/14 Home New York +10.5 W by 11 +21.5
01/16 Home Washington -7.5 W by 13 +5.5
01/18 Home Portland +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/20 Home Miami +4.5 L by 13 -8.5
01/21 Home Toronto +5.5 L by 13 -7.5
01/23 Away Cleveland +12.5 L by 5 +7.5
01/25 Away Detroit +12.5 L by 23 -10.5
01/27 Away New York +14.5 L by 16 -1.5
01/29 Away Philadelphia +9.5 L by 2 +7.5
01/30 Away Boston +11.5 L by 19 -7.5
02/01 Away Washington -1.0 L by 4 -5.0
02/04 Home Memphis -2.5 L by 4 -6.5
02/06 Home LA Clippers +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
02/07 Home Cleveland +13.5 L by 6 +7.5
02/09 Away New Orleans +9.5 L by 26 -16.5
02/11 Away Utah +5.5 L by 28 -22.5
02/19 Home Orlando +8.5 L by 37 -28.5
02/21 Away San Antonio +18.5 L by 17 +1.5
02/23 Away Memphis +2.5 W by 9 +11.5
02/25 Away Houston +13.5 L by 31 -17.5
02/26 Away Dallas +7.5 W by 9 +16.5
03/01 Away LA Lakers +12.5 L by 24 -11.5
03/03 Home Phoenix +9.5 L by 11 -1.5
03/05 Home New Orleans +6.5 L by 10 -3.5
03/08 Home Chicago +4.5 W by 16 +20.5
03/10 Home Indiana -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
03/11 Home Charlotte +14.5 L by 8 +6.5
03/14 Away LA Clippers +13.5 W by 9 +22.5
03/15 Home Utah -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
03/17 Home San Antonio +13.5 L by 28 -14.5
03/19 Home Philadelphia +2.5 L by 21 -18.5
03/22 Home Brooklyn -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
03/24 Away Charlotte +17.5 L by 44 -26.5
03/26 Away Orlando +15.5 L by 4 +11.5
03/28 Away Atlanta +13.5 L by 10 +3.5
03/29 Away Brooklyn +1.5 L by 17 -15.5
04/01 Away Toronto +12.5 W by 8 +20.5
04/03 Home New Orleans +5.5 W by 4 +9.5
04/05 Home LA Clippers +13.5 L by 29 -15.5
04/07 Away Golden State +14.5 L by 5 +9.5
04/10 Home Golden State +10.5 W by 6 +16.5
04/12 Away Portland +18.5 L by 12 +6.5