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Dallas at Golden State: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Dec 25, 2025 5:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 8.5, Total Points: 229.5

Matchup Menu: DAL @ GS

More Games From Dec 25, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Dallas +8.5 Official TR Pick Dallas 52% odds to cover
Dallas +8.5 Power Rating Model Dallas 62% odds to cover
Dallas +8.5 Predictive Ratings Dallas 54% odds to cover
Golden State -8.5 Decision Tree Golden State 51% odds to cover
Golden State -8.5 Similar Games Golden State 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record DAL adv GS
Season 36-46-0 36-48-0
vs Division 5-11-0 6-12-0
vs Conference 20-31-0 23-31-0
Streak W1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 1-4-0
Last 10 5-5-0 4-6-0
Home 20-21-0 18-23-0
Away 16-25-0 18-25-0

Dallas Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Home San Antonio -3.5 L by 33 -36.5
10/24 Home Washington -9.0 L by 10 -19.0
10/26 Home Toronto +1.0 W by 10 +11.0
10/27 Home Okla City +9.0 L by 7 +2.0
10/29 Home Indiana -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/01 Neutral Detroit +7.5 L by 12 -4.5
11/03 Away Houston +12.0 L by 8 +4.0
11/05 Home New Orleans -8.5 L by 2 -10.5
11/07 Away Memphis +4.5 L by 14 -9.5
11/08 Away Washington -4.5 W by 6 +1.5
11/10 Home Milwaukee +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
11/12 Home Phoenix +2.5 L by 9 -6.5
11/14 Home LA Clippers +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
11/16 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/17 Away Minnesota +14.5 L by 24 -9.5
11/19 Home New York +8.5 L by 2 +6.5
11/21 Home New Orleans -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
11/22 Home Memphis -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
11/24 Away Miami +7.5 L by 4 +3.5
11/28 Away LA Lakers +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/29 Away LA Clippers +8.5 W by 4 +12.5
12/01 Away Denver +11.5 W by 10 +21.5
12/03 Home Miami +4.5 W by 10 +14.5
12/05 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 21 -5.5
12/06 Home Houston +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
12/12 Home Brooklyn -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
12/15 Away Utah -1.5 L by 7 -8.5
12/18 Home Detroit +5.5 W by 2 +7.5
12/20 Away Philadelphia +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
12/22 Away New Orleans -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
12/23 Home Denver +6.5 W by 1 +7.5
12/25 Away Golden State +8.5 L by 10 -1.5
12/27 Away Sacramento -2.5 L by 6 -8.5
12/29 Away Portland +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
01/01 Home Philadelphia +2.5 L by 15 -12.5
01/03 Home Houston +8.5 W by 6 +14.5
01/06 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
01/08 Away Utah -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
01/10 Away Chicago +3.5 L by 18 -14.5
01/12 Home Brooklyn -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
01/14 Home Denver -1.5 L by 9 -10.5
01/15 Home Utah -2.5 W by 22 +19.5
01/17 Home Utah -2.5 W by 18 +15.5
01/19 Away New York +12.5 W by 17 +29.5
01/22 Home Golden State +5.5 W by 8 +13.5
01/24 Home LA Lakers +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
01/28 Home Minnesota +8.5 L by 13 -4.5
01/29 Home Charlotte +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
01/31 Away Houston +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
02/03 Home Boston +6.5 L by 10 -3.5
02/05 Home San Antonio +7.5 L by 12 -4.5
02/07 Away San Antonio +11.5 L by 13 -1.5
02/10 Away Phoenix +8.5 L by 9 -0.5
02/12 Away LA Lakers +6.5 L by 20 -13.5
02/20 Away Minnesota +14.5 L by 11 +3.5
02/22 Away Indiana -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
02/24 Away Brooklyn -1.5 W by 9 +7.5
02/26 Home Sacramento -7.5 L by 9 -16.5
02/27 Home Memphis -4.5 L by 19 -23.5
03/01 Home Okla City +16.5 L by 13 +3.5
03/03 Away Charlotte +13.5 L by 27 -13.5
03/05 Away Orlando +8.5 L by 1 +7.5
03/06 Away Boston +15.5 L by 20 -4.5
03/08 Away Toronto +9.5 L by 30 -20.5
03/10 Away Atlanta +9.5 L by 12 -2.5
03/12 Away Memphis -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/13 Home Cleveland +13.5 L by 33 -19.5
03/15 Away Cleveland +14.5 W by 10 +24.5
03/16 Away New Orleans +8.5 L by 18 -9.5
03/18 Home Atlanta +8.5 L by 15 -6.5
03/21 Home LA Clippers +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
03/23 Home Golden State +2.5 L by 6 -3.5
03/25 Away Denver +10.5 L by 7 +3.5
03/27 Away Portland +10.5 W by 7 +17.5
03/30 Home Minnesota +8.5 L by 30 -21.5
03/31 Away Milwaukee -2.5 L by 24 -26.5
04/03 Home Orlando +6.5 L by 11 -4.5
04/05 Home LA Lakers +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
04/07 Away LA Clippers +12.5 L by 13 -0.5
04/08 Away Phoenix +12.5 L by 5 +7.5
04/10 Away San Antonio +18.5 L by 19 -0.5
04/12 Home Chicago -5.5 W by 21 +15.5

Golden State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/21 Away LA Lakers -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
10/23 Home Denver -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
10/24 Away Portland -2.5 L by 20 -22.5
10/27 Home Memphis -8.0 W by 13 +5.0
10/28 Home LA Clippers +2.5 W by 19 +21.5
10/30 Away Milwaukee -7.5 L by 10 -17.5
11/01 Away Indiana -11.0 L by 5 -16.0
11/04 Home Phoenix -10.5 W by 11 +0.5
11/05 Away Sacramento +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
11/07 Away Denver +9.5 L by 25 -15.5
11/09 Home Indiana -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
11/11 Away Okla City +8.5 L by 24 -15.5
11/12 Away San Antonio +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/14 Away San Antonio +2.5 W by 1 +3.5
11/16 Away New Orleans -10.5 W by 18 +7.5
11/18 Away Orlando -2.5 L by 8 -10.5
11/19 Away Miami +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
11/21 Home Portland -10.5 L by 4 -14.5
11/24 Home Utah -13.5 W by 17 +3.5
11/26 Home Houston -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
11/29 Home New Orleans -9.5 W by 8 -1.5
12/02 Home Okla City +10.5 L by 12 -1.5
12/04 Away Philadelphia +4.5 L by 1 +3.5
12/06 Away Cleveland +9.5 W by 5 +14.5
12/07 Away Chicago -1.5 W by 32 +30.5
12/12 Home Minnesota -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
12/14 Away Portland -5.5 L by 5 -10.5
12/18 Away Phoenix -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
12/20 Home Phoenix -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
12/22 Home Orlando -6.5 W by 23 +16.5
12/25 Home Dallas -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
12/28 Away Toronto -4.5 L by 14 -18.5
12/29 Away Brooklyn -6.5 W by 13 +6.5
12/31 Away Charlotte -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
01/02 Home Okla City +13.5 L by 37 -23.5
01/03 Home Utah -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
01/05 Away LA Clippers -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
01/07 Home Milwaukee -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
01/09 Home Sacramento -14.5 W by 34 +19.5
01/11 Home Atlanta -7.5 L by 13 -20.5
01/13 Home Portland -11.5 W by 22 +10.5
01/15 Home New York -7.5 W by 13 +5.5
01/17 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 20 +12.5
01/19 Home Miami -5.5 W by 23 +17.5
01/20 Home Toronto -4.5 L by 18 -22.5
01/22 Away Dallas -5.5 L by 8 -13.5
01/25 Away Minnesota +5.5 W by 26 +31.5
01/26 Away Minnesota +8.5 L by 25 -16.5
01/28 Away Utah -8.5 W by 16 +7.5
01/30 Home Detroit -2.5 L by 7 -9.5
02/03 Home Philadelphia -4.5 L by 19 -23.5
02/05 Away Phoenix +5.5 W by 4 +9.5
02/07 Away LA Lakers +2.5 L by 6 -3.5
02/09 Home Memphis -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
02/11 Home San Antonio +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
02/19 Home Boston +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
02/22 Home Denver +6.5 W by 11 +17.5
02/24 Away New Orleans -1.5 L by 4 -5.5
02/25 Away Memphis -4.5 W by 21 +16.5
02/28 Home LA Lakers +3.5 L by 28 -24.5
03/02 Home LA Clippers +1.5 L by 13 -11.5
03/05 Away Houston +9.5 W by 2 +11.5
03/07 Away Okla City +11.5 L by 7 +4.5
03/09 Away Utah -6.0 L by 3 -9.0
03/10 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 6 -11.5
03/13 Home Minnesota +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
03/15 Away New York +14.5 L by 3 +11.5
03/16 Away Washington -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
03/18 Away Boston +11.5 L by 21 -9.5
03/20 Away Detroit +6.5 L by 14 -7.5
03/21 Away Atlanta +7.5 L by 16 -8.5
03/23 Away Dallas -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
03/25 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 3 -9.5
03/27 Home Washington -12.5 W by 5 -7.5
03/29 Away Denver +11.5 L by 23 -11.5
04/01 Home San Antonio +14.5 L by 14 +0.5
04/02 Home Cleveland +9.5 L by 7 +2.5
04/05 Home Houston +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
04/07 Home Sacramento -14.5 W by 5 -9.5
04/09 Home LA Lakers -1.5 L by 16 -17.5
04/10 Away Sacramento -10.5 L by 6 -16.5
04/12 Away LA Clippers +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
04/15 Away LA Clippers +5.5 W by 5 +10.5
04/17 Away Phoenix +2.5 L by 15 -12.5