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Sacramento at LA Lakers: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Dec 28, 2025 9:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Los Angeles by 12.5, Total Points: 232.5

Matchup Menu: SAC @ LAL

More Games From Dec 28, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 232.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 232.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Under 232.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	SAC	LAL
Season	43-39-0	46-46-0
vs Division	10-6-0	8-9-0
vs Conference	25-27-0	31-31-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 3
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	5-5-0
Home	22-19-0	24-22-0
Away	21-20-0	22-24-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Sacramento Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Phoenix	228.5	116-120	Over	+7.5
10/24	Home	Utah	235.0	105-104	Under	-26.0
10/26	Home	LA Lakers	225.0	120-127	Over	+22.0
10/28	Away	Okla City	227.5	101-107	Under	-19.5
10/29	Away	Chicago	237.5	113-126	Over	+1.5
11/01	Away	Milwaukee	233.0	135-133	Over	+35.0
11/03	Away	Denver	237.0	124-130	Over	+17.0
11/05	Home	Golden State	224.5	121-116	Over	+12.5
11/07	Home	Okla City	234.5	101-132	Under	-1.5
11/09	Home	Minnesota	238.5	117-144	Over	+22.5
11/11	Home	Denver	243.5	108-122	Under	-13.5
11/12	Home	Atlanta	230.5	100-133	Over	+2.5
11/14	Away	Minnesota	240.5	110-124	Under	-6.5
11/16	Away	San Antonio	242.5	110-123	Under	-9.5
11/19	Away	Okla City	232.5	99-113	Under	-20.5
11/20	Away	Memphis	234.5	96-137	Under	-1.5
11/22	Away	Denver	239.5	128-123	Over	+11.5
11/24	Home	Minnesota	238.5	117-112	Under	-9.5
11/26	Home	Phoenix	233.5	100-112	Under	-21.5
11/28	Away	Utah	242.5	119-128	Over	+4.5
11/30	Home	Memphis	233.5	107-115	Under	-11.5
12/03	Away	Houston	230.5	95-121	Under	-14.5
12/06	Away	Miami	241.5	127-111	Under	-3.5
12/08	Away	Indiana	232.5	105-116	Under	-11.5
12/11	Home	Denver	239.5	105-136	Over	+1.5
12/14	Away	Minnesota	235.5	103-117	Under	-15.5
12/18	Away	Portland	239.5	133-134	Over	+27.5
12/20	Home	Portland	235.5	93-98	Under	-44.5
12/21	Home	Houston	223.5	125-124	Over	+25.5
12/23	Home	Detroit	226.5	127-136	Over	+36.5
12/27	Home	Dallas	233.5	113-107	Under	-13.5
12/28	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	101-125	Under	-6.5
12/30	Away	LA Clippers	218.5	90-131	Over	+2.5
01/01	Home	Boston	229.5	106-120	Under	-3.5
01/02	Away	Phoenix	223.5	102-129	Over	+7.5
01/04	Home	Milwaukee	227.5	98-115	Under	-14.5
01/06	Home	Dallas	233.5	98-100	Under	-35.5
01/09	Away	Golden State	231.5	103-137	Over	+8.5
01/11	Home	Houston	223.5	111-98	Under	-14.5
01/12	Home	LA Lakers	231.5	124-112	Over	+4.5
01/14	Home	New York	229.5	112-101	Under	-16.5
01/16	Home	Washington	235.5	128-115	Over	+7.5
01/18	Home	Portland	229.5	110-117	Under	-2.5
01/20	Home	Miami	238.5	117-130	Over	+8.5
01/21	Home	Toronto	225.5	109-122	Over	+5.5
01/23	Away	Cleveland	233.5	118-123	Over	+7.5
01/25	Away	Detroit	226.5	116-139	Over	+28.5
01/27	Away	New York	225.5	87-103	Under	-35.5
01/29	Away	Philadelphia	229.5	111-113	Under	-5.5
01/30	Away	Boston	216.5	93-112	Under	-11.5
02/01	Away	Washington	227.5	112-116	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Memphis	235.5	125-129	Over	+18.5
02/06	Home	LA Clippers	222.5	111-114	Over	+2.5
02/07	Home	Cleveland	229.5	126-132	Over	+28.5
02/09	Away	New Orleans	229.5	94-120	Under	-15.5
02/11	Away	Utah	228.5	93-121	Under	-14.5
02/19	Home	Orlando	226.5	94-131	Under	-1.5
02/21	Away	San Antonio	230.5	122-139	Over	+30.5
02/23	Away	Memphis	232.5	123-114	Over	+4.5
02/25	Away	Houston	222.5	97-128	Over	+2.5
02/26	Away	Dallas	235.5	130-121	Over	+15.5
03/01	Away	LA Lakers	235.5	104-128	Under	-3.5
03/03	Home	Phoenix	224.5	103-114	Under	-7.5
03/05	Home	New Orleans	235.5	123-133	Over	+20.5
03/08	Home	Chicago	235.5	126-110	Over	+0.5
03/10	Home	Indiana	236.5	114-109	Under	-13.5
03/11	Home	Charlotte	224.5	109-117	Over	+1.5
03/14	Away	LA Clippers	231.5	118-109	Under	-4.5
03/15	Home	Utah	230.5	116-111	Under	-3.5
03/17	Home	San Antonio	233.5	104-132	Over	+2.5
03/19	Home	Philadelphia	228.5	118-139	Over	+28.5
03/22	Home	Brooklyn	219.5	126-122	Over	+28.5
03/24	Away	Charlotte	233.5	90-134	Under	-9.5
03/26	Away	Orlando	230.5	117-121	Over	+7.5
03/28	Away	Atlanta	234.5	113-123	Over	+1.5
03/29	Away	Brooklyn	217.5	99-116	Under	-2.5
04/01	Away	Toronto	226.5	123-115	Over	+11.5
04/03	Home	New Orleans	232.5	117-113	Under	-2.5
04/05	Home	LA Clippers	228.5	109-138	Over	+18.5
04/07	Away	Golden State	233.5	105-110	Under	-18.5
04/10	Home	Golden State	228.5	124-118	Over	+13.5
04/12	Away	Portland	226.5	110-122	Over	+5.5

LA Lakers Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/21	Home	Golden State	227.0	109-119	Over	+1.0
10/24	Home	Minnesota	226.0	128-110	Over	+12.0
10/26	Away	Sacramento	225.0	127-120	Over	+22.0
10/27	Home	Portland	227.5	108-122	Over	+2.5
10/29	Away	Minnesota	224.5	116-115	Over	+6.5
10/31	Away	Memphis	237.5	117-112	Under	-8.5
11/02	Home	Miami	232.5	130-120	Over	+17.5
11/03	Away	Portland	228.0	123-115	Over	+10.0
11/05	Home	San Antonio	227.5	118-116	Over	+6.5
11/08	Away	Atlanta	228.5	102-122	Under	-4.5
11/10	Away	Charlotte	230.5	121-111	Over	+1.5
11/12	Away	Okla City	229.5	92-121	Under	-16.5
11/14	Away	New Orleans	227.5	118-104	Under	-5.5
11/15	Away	Milwaukee	229.5	119-95	Under	-15.5
11/18	Home	Utah	240.5	140-126	Over	+25.5
11/23	Away	Utah	245.5	108-106	Under	-31.5
11/25	Home	LA Clippers	229.5	135-118	Over	+23.5
11/28	Home	Dallas	232.5	129-119	Over	+15.5
11/30	Home	New Orleans	228.5	133-121	Over	+25.5
12/01	Home	Phoenix	231.5	108-125	Over	+1.5
12/04	Away	Toronto	228.5	123-120	Over	+14.5
12/05	Away	Boston	227.5	105-126	Over	+3.5
12/07	Away	Philadelphia	233.5	112-108	Under	-13.5
12/10	Home	San Antonio	242.5	119-132	Over	+8.5
12/14	Away	Phoenix	231.5	116-114	Under	-1.5
12/18	Away	Utah	242.5	143-135	Over	+35.5
12/20	Away	LA Clippers	229.5	88-103	Under	-38.5
12/23	Away	Phoenix	226.5	108-132	Over	+13.5
12/25	Home	Houston	231.5	96-119	Under	-16.5
12/28	Home	Sacramento	232.5	125-101	Under	-6.5
12/30	Home	Detroit	232.5	106-128	Over	+1.5
01/02	Home	Memphis	241.5	128-121	Over	+7.5
01/04	Home	Memphis	239.5	120-114	Under	-5.5
01/06	Away	New Orleans	244.5	111-103	Under	-30.5
01/07	Away	San Antonio	233.5	91-107	Under	-35.5
01/09	Home	Milwaukee	228.5	101-105	Under	-22.5
01/12	Away	Sacramento	231.5	112-124	Over	+4.5
01/13	Home	Atlanta	233.5	141-116	Over	+23.5
01/15	Home	Charlotte	234.5	117-135	Over	+17.5
01/17	Away	Portland	223.5	116-132	Over	+24.5
01/18	Home	Toronto	227.5	110-93	Under	-24.5
01/20	Away	Denver	228.5	115-107	Under	-6.5
01/22	Away	LA Clippers	224.5	104-112	Under	-8.5
01/24	Away	Dallas	234.5	116-110	Under	-8.5
01/26	Away	Chicago	236.5	129-118	Over	+10.5
01/28	Away	Cleveland	234.5	99-129	Under	-6.5
01/30	Away	Washington	229.5	142-111	Over	+23.5
02/01	Away	New York	227.5	100-112	Under	-15.5
02/03	Away	Brooklyn	223.5	125-109	Over	+10.5
02/05	Home	Philadelphia	236.5	119-115	Under	-2.5
02/07	Home	Golden State	221.5	105-99	Under	-17.5
02/09	Home	Okla City	223.5	110-119	Over	+5.5
02/10	Home	San Antonio	225.5	108-136	Over	+18.5
02/12	Home	Dallas	237.5	124-104	Under	-9.5
02/20	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	125-122	Over	+19.5
02/22	Home	Boston	229.5	89-111	Under	-29.5
02/24	Home	Orlando	229.5	109-110	Under	-10.5
02/26	Away	Phoenix	223.5	110-113	Under	-0.5
02/28	Away	Golden State	226.5	129-101	Over	+3.5
03/01	Home	Sacramento	235.5	128-104	Under	-3.5
03/03	Home	New Orleans	242.5	110-101	Under	-31.5
03/05	Away	Denver	241.5	113-120	Under	-8.5
03/06	Home	Indiana	235.5	128-117	Over	+9.5
03/08	Home	New York	226.5	110-97	Under	-19.5
03/10	Home	Minnesota	229.5	120-106	Under	-3.5
03/12	Home	Chicago	239.5	142-130	Over	+32.5
03/14	Home	Denver	244.5	127-125	Over	+7.5
03/16	Away	Houston	223.5	100-92	Under	-31.5
03/18	Away	Houston	222.5	124-116	Over	+17.5
03/19	Away	Miami	242.5	134-126	Over	+17.5
03/21	Away	Orlando	232.5	105-104	Under	-23.5
03/23	Away	Detroit	224.5	110-113	Under	-1.5
03/25	Away	Indiana	241.5	137-130	Over	+25.5
03/27	Home	Brooklyn	224.5	116-99	Under	-9.5
03/30	Home	Washington	236.5	120-101	Under	-15.5
03/31	Home	Cleveland	234.5	127-113	Over	+5.5
04/02	Away	Okla City	232.5	96-139	Over	+2.5
04/05	Away	Dallas	234.5	128-134	Over	+27.5
04/07	Home	Okla City	220.5	87-123	Under	-10.5
04/09	Away	Golden State	222.5	119-103	Under	-0.5
04/10	Home	Phoenix	216.5	101-73	Under	-42.5
04/12	Home	Utah	239.5	131-107	Under	-1.5
04/18	Home	Houston	207.5	107-98	Under	-2.5
04/21	Home	Houston	209.5	101-94	Under	-14.5
04/24	Away	Houston	206.5	112-108	Over	+13.5
04/26	Away	Houston	206.5	96-115	Over	+4.5
04/29	Home	Houston	209.5	93-99	Under	-17.5
05/01	Away	Houston	204.5	98-78	Under	-28.5
05/05	Away	Okla City	212.5	90-108	Under	-14.5
05/07	Away	Okla City	211.5	107-125	Over	+20.5
05/09	Home	Okla City	210.5	108-131	Over	+28.5
05/11	Home	Okla City	214.5	110-115	Over	+10.5