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Miami at Minnesota: Recap

Tuesday Jan 6, 2026 8:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 5.5, Total Points: 238.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Minnesota MIA 35.6%
MIN 64.4%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA +5.5 MIA 52.0%
MIN 48.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 238.5 Over 50.2%
Under 49.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.1%
MIN -2.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 116.8 116.5 94
MIN 121.8 122.0 122

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA MIN
Points/Game 120.9 116.8
Avg Score Margin +2.3 +2.2
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 15.3
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 50.4
Assists/Game 29.0 25.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 53.7
Effective FG % 54.2% 55.1%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 25.7%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.283
Turnover % 11.4% 12.7%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA MIN
Opp Points/Game 118.6 114.6
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 52.9%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 51.1
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 11.2
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 33.1
Blocks/Game 4.3 5.5
Steals/Game 8.6 8.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 21.6