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Miami at Phoenix: Recap

Sunday Jan 25, 2026 8:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ
Odds: Phoenix by 4.5, Total Points: 225.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Phoenix MIA 38.1%
PHO 61.9%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA +4.5 MIA 50.4%
PHO 49.6%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 225.5 Over 51.2%
Under 48.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -1.3%
PHO -3.6%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 110.8 110.5 111
PHO 115.2 115.0 102

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA PHO
Points/Game 120.9 112.2
Avg Score Margin +2.3 +0.7
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 13.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 42.6
Assists/Game 29.0 24.5
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 51.8
Effective FG % 54.2% 53.7%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 28.8%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.227
Turnover % 11.4% 12.7%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA PHO
Opp Points/Game 118.6 111.5
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 54.2%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 48.5
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 12.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 30.0
Blocks/Game 4.3 4.2
Steals/Game 8.6 9.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 20.8