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Wednesday Dec 3, 2025 8:30 pm -
Dallas, TX
Odds:
Miami by 4.5,
Total Points:
238.5
| Game Winner Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
| Miami |
|
| MIA |
62.0% |
| DAL |
38.0% |
| ATS Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
DAL +4.5 |
|
| MIA |
49.7% |
| DAL |
50.3% |
| Totals Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Under 238.5 |
|
| Over |
48.3% |
| Under |
51.7% |
| Money Line Value Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Lay Off |
|
| MIA |
-3.5% |
| DAL |
-1.2% |
| Final Score Projection |
Vegas Implied | Actual |
| MIA |
121.0 |
121.5 | 108 |
| DAL |
116.6 |
117.0 | 118 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MIA |
DAL |
| Points/Game |
120.9 |
114.1 |
| Avg Score Margin |
+2.3 |
-5.5 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm |
18.4 |
17.8 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm |
54.7 |
52.8 |
| Assists/Game |
29.0 |
25.3 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm |
55.0 |
54.3 |
| Effective FG % |
54.2% |
52.7% |
| Off Rebound % |
25.3% |
23.2% |
| FTA/FGA |
0.266 |
0.287 |
| Turnover % |
11.4% |
12.5% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MIA |
DAL |
| Opp Points/Game |
118.6 |
119.6 |
| Opp Effective FG % |
54.0% |
54.6% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm |
52.0 |
56.2 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm |
11.8 |
10.5 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm |
34.5 |
34.2 |
| Blocks/Game |
4.3 |
5.2 |
| Steals/Game |
8.6 |
7.5 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm |
18.7 |
18.4 |