This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NBA season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NBA section, register for a free account.

Miami at Dallas: Recap

Wednesday Dec 3, 2025 8:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 238.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 62.0%
DAL 38.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
DAL +4.5 MIA 49.7%
DAL 50.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 238.5 Over 48.3%
Under 51.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -3.5%
DAL -1.2%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 121.0 121.5 108
DAL 116.6 117.0 118

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Points/Game 120.9 114.1
Avg Score Margin +2.3 -5.5
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 17.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 52.8
Assists/Game 29.0 25.3
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 54.3
Effective FG % 54.2% 52.7%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 23.2%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.287
Turnover % 11.4% 12.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Opp Points/Game 118.6 119.6
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 54.6%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 56.2
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 10.5
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 34.2
Blocks/Game 4.3 5.2
Steals/Game 8.6 7.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 18.4