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Miami at Sacramento: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Jan 20, 2026 10:00 pm - Sacramento, CA
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 238.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ SAC

More Games From Jan 20, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami -4.5 Official TR Pick Miami 52% odds to cover
Miami -4.5 Decision Tree Miami 52% odds to cover
Miami -4.5 Similar Games Miami 53% odds to cover
Miami -4.5 Predictive Ratings Miami 52% odds to cover
Sacramento +4.5 Power Rating Model Sacramento 54% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv SAC
Season 47-36-0 36-46-0
vs Division 12-6-0 6-10-0
vs Conference 30-23-0 22-30-0
Streak W3 W3
Last 5 3-2-0 4-1-0
Last 10 4-6-0 7-3-0
Home 23-18-0 18-23-0
Away 24-18-0 18-23-0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
10/24 Away Memphis +3.0 W by 32 +35.0
10/26 Home New York +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
10/28 Home Charlotte -6.5 W by 27 +20.5
10/30 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/03 Away LA Clippers +8.0 W by 1 +9.0
11/05 Away Denver +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/07 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 18 +10.5
11/08 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/10 Home Cleveland +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
11/12 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 14 -19.5
11/14 Away New York +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
11/17 Home New York -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/19 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
11/21 Away Chicago +2.5 W by 36 +38.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
11/24 Home Dallas -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
11/29 Home Detroit -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers -6.5 W by 17 +10.5
12/03 Away Dallas -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/05 Away Orlando +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
12/06 Home Sacramento -8.5 L by 16 -24.5
12/09 Away Orlando +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
12/15 Home Toronto -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
12/19 Away Boston +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
12/21 Away New York +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
12/23 Home Toronto -5.5 L by 21 -26.5
12/26 Away Atlanta +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
12/27 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 26 +19.5
12/29 Home Denver +1.5 W by 24 +25.5
01/01 Away Detroit +4.5 W by 6 +10.5
01/03 Home Minnesota +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/04 Home New Orleans -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
01/06 Away Minnesota +5.5 L by 28 -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana -6.5 L by 24 -30.5
01/11 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 12 +3.5
01/13 Home Phoenix -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/15 Home Boston +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City +11.5 W by 2 +13.5
01/19 Away Golden State +5.5 L by 23 -17.5
01/20 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
01/22 Away Portland +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
01/24 Away Utah -6.5 W by 31 +24.5
01/25 Away Phoenix +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/28 Home Orlando -3.5 L by 9 -12.5
01/29 Away Chicago -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
01/31 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
02/01 Home Chicago -5.5 W by 43 +37.5
02/03 Home Atlanta -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
02/06 Away Boston +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
02/08 Away Washington -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
02/09 Home Utah -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/11 Away New Orleans +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
02/20 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 31 +27.5
02/21 Home Memphis -11.5 W by 16 +4.5
02/24 Away Milwaukee -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/26 Away Philadelphia +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
02/28 Home Houston +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
03/03 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 26 +13.5
03/05 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 16 +3.5
03/06 Away Charlotte +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
03/08 Home Detroit +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/10 Home Washington -15.5 W by 21 +5.5
03/12 Home Milwaukee -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/14 Home Orlando -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
03/17 Away Charlotte +5.5 L by 30 -24.5
03/19 Home LA Lakers -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
03/21 Away Houston +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
03/23 Home San Antonio +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
03/25 Away Cleveland +2.5 W by 17 +19.5
03/27 Away Cleveland +5.5 L by 21 -15.5
03/29 Away Indiana -8.5 L by 17 -25.5
03/30 Home Philadelphia +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
04/01 Home Boston +4.5 L by 18 -13.5
04/04 Home Washington -17.5 W by 16 -1.5
04/07 Away Toronto +1.5 L by 26 -24.5
04/09 Away Toronto +3.5 L by 14 -10.5
04/10 Away Washington -15.5 W by 23 +7.5
04/12 Home Atlanta -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
04/14 Away Charlotte +6.5 L by 1 +5.5

Sacramento Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Phoenix +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
10/24 Home Utah -5.5 W by 1 -4.5
10/26 Home LA Lakers -3.5 L by 7 -10.5
10/28 Away Okla City +10.5 L by 6 +4.5
10/29 Away Chicago +4.5 L by 13 -8.5
11/01 Away Milwaukee +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
11/03 Away Denver +11.5 L by 6 +5.5
11/05 Home Golden State -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
11/07 Home Okla City +11.5 L by 31 -19.5
11/09 Home Minnesota +4.5 L by 27 -22.5
11/11 Home Denver +8.5 L by 14 -5.5
11/12 Home Atlanta +4.5 L by 33 -28.5
11/14 Away Minnesota +11.5 L by 14 -2.5
11/16 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 13 -7.5
11/19 Away Okla City +18.5 L by 14 +4.5
11/20 Away Memphis +3.5 L by 41 -37.5
11/22 Away Denver +10.5 W by 5 +15.5
11/24 Home Minnesota +10.5 W by 5 +15.5
11/26 Home Phoenix +4.5 L by 12 -7.5
11/28 Away Utah +2.5 L by 9 -6.5
11/30 Home Memphis +3.5 L by 8 -4.5
12/03 Away Houston +15.5 L by 26 -10.5
12/06 Away Miami +8.5 W by 16 +24.5
12/08 Away Indiana +3.5 L by 11 -7.5
12/11 Home Denver +10.5 L by 31 -20.5
12/14 Away Minnesota +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
12/18 Away Portland +8.5 L by 1 +7.5
12/20 Home Portland +4.5 L by 5 -0.5
12/21 Home Houston +12.5 W by 1 +13.5
12/23 Home Detroit +9.5 L by 9 +0.5
12/27 Home Dallas +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
12/28 Away LA Lakers +12.5 L by 24 -11.5
12/30 Away LA Clippers +10.5 L by 41 -30.5
01/01 Home Boston +10.5 L by 14 -3.5
01/02 Away Phoenix +13.5 L by 27 -13.5
01/04 Home Milwaukee +6.5 L by 17 -10.5
01/06 Home Dallas +4.5 L by 2 +2.5
01/09 Away Golden State +14.5 L by 34 -19.5
01/11 Home Houston +14.5 W by 13 +27.5
01/12 Home LA Lakers +9.5 W by 12 +21.5
01/14 Home New York +10.5 W by 11 +21.5
01/16 Home Washington -7.5 W by 13 +5.5
01/18 Home Portland +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/20 Home Miami +4.5 L by 13 -8.5
01/21 Home Toronto +5.5 L by 13 -7.5
01/23 Away Cleveland +12.5 L by 5 +7.5
01/25 Away Detroit +12.5 L by 23 -10.5
01/27 Away New York +14.5 L by 16 -1.5
01/29 Away Philadelphia +9.5 L by 2 +7.5
01/30 Away Boston +11.5 L by 19 -7.5
02/01 Away Washington -1.0 L by 4 -5.0
02/04 Home Memphis -2.5 L by 4 -6.5
02/06 Home LA Clippers +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
02/07 Home Cleveland +13.5 L by 6 +7.5
02/09 Away New Orleans +9.5 L by 26 -16.5
02/11 Away Utah +5.5 L by 28 -22.5
02/19 Home Orlando +8.5 L by 37 -28.5
02/21 Away San Antonio +18.5 L by 17 +1.5
02/23 Away Memphis +2.5 W by 9 +11.5
02/25 Away Houston +13.5 L by 31 -17.5
02/26 Away Dallas +7.5 W by 9 +16.5
03/01 Away LA Lakers +12.5 L by 24 -11.5
03/03 Home Phoenix +9.5 L by 11 -1.5
03/05 Home New Orleans +6.5 L by 10 -3.5
03/08 Home Chicago +4.5 W by 16 +20.5
03/10 Home Indiana -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
03/11 Home Charlotte +14.5 L by 8 +6.5
03/14 Away LA Clippers +13.5 W by 9 +22.5
03/15 Home Utah -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
03/17 Home San Antonio +13.5 L by 28 -14.5
03/19 Home Philadelphia +2.5 L by 21 -18.5
03/22 Home Brooklyn -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
03/24 Away Charlotte +17.5 L by 44 -26.5
03/26 Away Orlando +15.5 L by 4 +11.5
03/28 Away Atlanta +13.5 L by 10 +3.5
03/29 Away Brooklyn +1.5 L by 17 -15.5
04/01 Away Toronto +12.5 W by 8 +20.5
04/03 Home New Orleans +5.5 W by 4 +9.5
04/05 Home LA Clippers +13.5 L by 29 -15.5
04/07 Away Golden State +14.5 L by 5 +9.5
04/10 Home Golden State +10.5 W by 6 +16.5
04/12 Away Portland +18.5 L by 12 +6.5