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Tuesday Jan 20, 2026 10:00 pm -
Sacramento, CA
Odds:
Miami by 4.5,
Total Points:
238.5
| Game Winner Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
| Miami |
|
| MIA |
64.3% |
| SAC |
35.7% |
| ATS Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
MIA -4.5 |
|
| MIA |
52.1% |
| SAC |
47.9% |
| Totals Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Under 238.5 |
|
| Over |
49.5% |
| Under |
50.5% |
| Money Line Value Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Lay Off |
|
| MIA |
-0.6% |
| SAC |
-4.3% |
| Final Score Projection |
Vegas Implied | Actual |
| MIA |
121.6 |
121.5 | 130 |
| SAC |
116.6 |
117.0 | 117 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MIA |
SAC |
| Points/Game |
120.9 |
111.0 |
| Avg Score Margin |
+2.3 |
-10.0 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm |
18.4 |
13.7 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm |
54.7 |
50.6 |
| Assists/Game |
29.0 |
25.5 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm |
55.0 |
50.7 |
| Effective FG % |
54.2% |
52.5% |
| Off Rebound % |
25.3% |
25.9% |
| FTA/FGA |
0.266 |
0.256 |
| Turnover % |
11.4% |
12.5% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MIA |
SAC |
| Opp Points/Game |
118.6 |
121.0 |
| Opp Effective FG % |
54.0% |
57.2% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm |
52.0 |
52.5 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm |
11.8 |
11.5 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm |
34.5 |
30.8 |
| Blocks/Game |
4.3 |
4.5 |
| Steals/Game |
8.6 |
8.0 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm |
18.7 |
19.7 |