This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NBA season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NBA section, register for a free account.

Miami at Sacramento: Recap

Tuesday Jan 20, 2026 10:00 pm - Sacramento, CA
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 238.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 64.3%
SAC 35.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -4.5 MIA 52.1%
SAC 47.9%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 238.5 Over 49.5%
Under 50.5%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -0.6%
SAC -4.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 121.6 121.5 130
SAC 116.6 117.0 117

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA SAC
Points/Game 120.9 111.0
Avg Score Margin +2.3 -10.0
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 13.7
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 50.6
Assists/Game 29.0 25.5
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 50.7
Effective FG % 54.2% 52.5%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 25.9%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.256
Turnover % 11.4% 12.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA SAC
Opp Points/Game 118.6 121.0
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 57.2%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 52.5
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 11.5
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 30.8
Blocks/Game 4.3 4.5
Steals/Game 8.6 8.0
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 19.7