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Miami at Atlanta: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Dec 26, 2025 7:00 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Atlanta by 2.5, Total Points: 250.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ ATL

More Games From Dec 26, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami +3.5 Official TR Pick Miami 51% odds to cover
Miami +3.5 Power Rating Model Miami 64% odds to cover
Miami +3.5 Decision Tree Miami 51% odds to cover
Miami +3.5 Similar Games Miami 54% odds to cover
Miami +3.5 Predictive Ratings Miami 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv ATL
Season 47-36-0 46-42-0
vs Division 12-6-0 8-8-0
vs Conference 30-23-0 27-31-0
Streak W3 L3
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 3-7-0
Home 23-18-0 22-22-0
Away 24-18-0 24-20-0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
10/24 Away Memphis +3.0 W by 32 +35.0
10/26 Home New York +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
10/28 Home Charlotte -6.5 W by 27 +20.5
10/30 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/03 Away LA Clippers +8.0 W by 1 +9.0
11/05 Away Denver +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/07 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 18 +10.5
11/08 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/10 Home Cleveland +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
11/12 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 14 -19.5
11/14 Away New York +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
11/17 Home New York -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/19 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
11/21 Away Chicago +2.5 W by 36 +38.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
11/24 Home Dallas -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
11/29 Home Detroit -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers -6.5 W by 17 +10.5
12/03 Away Dallas -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/05 Away Orlando +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
12/06 Home Sacramento -8.5 L by 16 -24.5
12/09 Away Orlando +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
12/15 Home Toronto -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
12/19 Away Boston +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
12/21 Away New York +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
12/23 Home Toronto -5.5 L by 21 -26.5
12/26 Away Atlanta +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
12/27 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 26 +19.5
12/29 Home Denver +1.5 W by 24 +25.5
01/01 Away Detroit +4.5 W by 6 +10.5
01/03 Home Minnesota +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/04 Home New Orleans -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
01/06 Away Minnesota +5.5 L by 28 -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana -6.5 L by 24 -30.5
01/11 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 12 +3.5
01/13 Home Phoenix -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/15 Home Boston +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City +11.5 W by 2 +13.5
01/19 Away Golden State +5.5 L by 23 -17.5
01/20 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
01/22 Away Portland +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
01/24 Away Utah -6.5 W by 31 +24.5
01/25 Away Phoenix +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/28 Home Orlando -3.5 L by 9 -12.5
01/29 Away Chicago -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
01/31 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
02/01 Home Chicago -5.5 W by 43 +37.5
02/03 Home Atlanta -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
02/06 Away Boston +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
02/08 Away Washington -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
02/09 Home Utah -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/11 Away New Orleans +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
02/20 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 31 +27.5
02/21 Home Memphis -11.5 W by 16 +4.5
02/24 Away Milwaukee -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/26 Away Philadelphia +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
02/28 Home Houston +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
03/03 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 26 +13.5
03/05 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 16 +3.5
03/06 Away Charlotte +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
03/08 Home Detroit +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/10 Home Washington -15.5 W by 21 +5.5
03/12 Home Milwaukee -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/14 Home Orlando -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
03/17 Away Charlotte +5.5 L by 30 -24.5
03/19 Home LA Lakers -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
03/21 Away Houston +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
03/23 Home San Antonio +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
03/25 Away Cleveland +2.5 W by 17 +19.5
03/27 Away Cleveland +5.5 L by 21 -15.5
03/29 Away Indiana -8.5 L by 17 -25.5
03/30 Home Philadelphia +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
04/01 Home Boston +4.5 L by 18 -13.5
04/04 Home Washington -17.5 W by 16 -1.5
04/07 Away Toronto +1.5 L by 26 -24.5
04/09 Away Toronto +3.5 L by 14 -10.5
04/10 Away Washington -15.5 W by 23 +7.5
04/12 Home Atlanta -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
04/14 Away Charlotte +6.5 L by 1 +5.5

Atlanta Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Home Toronto -5.5 L by 20 -25.5
10/24 Away Orlando +6.0 W by 4 +10.0
10/25 Home Okla City +8.5 L by 17 -8.5
10/27 Away Chicago -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
10/29 Away Brooklyn -8.0 W by 5 -3.0
10/31 Away Indiana -2.5 W by 20 +17.5
11/02 Away Cleveland +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
11/04 Home Orlando +3.5 W by 15 +18.5
11/07 Home Toronto -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
11/08 Home LA Lakers +5.5 W by 20 +25.5
11/10 Away LA Clippers +4.5 W by 3 +7.5
11/12 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 33 +28.5
11/13 Away Utah -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
11/16 Away Phoenix +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
11/18 Home Detroit +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
11/20 Away San Antonio +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
11/22 Away New Orleans -9.5 W by 17 +7.5
11/23 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
11/25 Away Washington -10.5 L by 19 -29.5
11/28 Home Cleveland +6.5 W by 7 +13.5
11/30 Away Philadelphia +2.5 W by 8 +10.5
12/01 Away Detroit +9.5 L by 1 +8.5
12/03 Home LA Clippers -1.5 L by 23 -24.5
12/05 Home Denver +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
12/06 Away Washington -9.5 W by 15 +5.5
12/12 Away Detroit +6.5 L by 27 -20.5
12/14 Home Philadelphia -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
12/18 Away Charlotte -4.5 L by 7 -11.5
12/19 Home San Antonio +3.5 L by 28 -24.5
12/21 Home Chicago -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
12/23 Home Chicago -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
12/26 Home Miami -2.5 L by 15 -17.5
12/27 Home New York +6.5 L by 3 +3.5
12/29 Away Okla City +16.5 L by 11 +5.5
12/31 Home Minnesota +5.5 W by 24 +29.5
01/02 Away New York +4.5 W by 12 +16.5
01/03 Away Toronto +5.5 L by 17 -11.5
01/05 Away Toronto +2.5 L by 18 -15.5
01/07 Home New Orleans -10.5 W by 17 +6.5
01/09 Away Denver -3.5 W by 23 +19.5
01/11 Away Golden State +7.5 W by 13 +20.5
01/13 Away LA Lakers +1.5 L by 25 -23.5
01/15 Away Portland -3.5 L by 16 -19.5
01/17 Home Boston +3.5 L by 26 -22.5
01/19 Home Milwaukee -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
01/21 Away Memphis +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
01/23 Home Phoenix +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
01/26 Home Indiana -5.5 W by 16 +10.5
01/28 Away Boston +5.5 W by 11 +16.5
01/29 Home Houston +6.5 L by 18 -11.5
01/31 Away Indiana -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
02/03 Away Miami +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
02/05 Home Utah -8.5 W by 2 -6.5
02/07 Home Charlotte +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
02/09 Away Minnesota +8.5 L by 22 -13.5
02/11 Away Charlotte +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
02/19 Away Philadelphia +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
02/20 Home Miami +3.5 L by 31 -27.5
02/22 Home Brooklyn -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
02/24 Home Washington -12.5 W by 21 +8.5
02/26 Home Washington -10.5 W by 30 +19.5
03/01 Home Portland -6.5 W by 34 +27.5
03/04 Away Milwaukee +1.5 W by 18 +19.5
03/07 Home Philadelphia -6.5 W by 9 +2.5
03/10 Home Dallas -9.5 W by 12 +2.5
03/12 Home Brooklyn -15.5 W by 11 -4.5
03/14 Home Milwaukee -10.5 W by 23 +12.5
03/16 Home Orlando -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
03/18 Away Dallas -8.5 W by 15 +6.5
03/20 Away Houston +2.5 L by 22 -19.5
03/21 Home Golden State -7.5 W by 16 +8.5
03/23 Home Memphis -13.5 W by 39 +25.5
03/25 Away Detroit +2.5 W by 1 +3.5
03/27 Away Boston +4.5 L by 7 -2.5
03/28 Home Sacramento -13.5 W by 10 -3.5
03/30 Home Boston -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
04/01 Away Orlando -3.5 W by 29 +25.5
04/03 Away Brooklyn -16.5 W by 34 +17.5
04/06 Home New York -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
04/08 Away Cleveland +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
04/10 Home Cleveland -8.5 W by 22 +13.5
04/12 Away Miami +10.5 L by 26 -15.5
04/18 Away New York +6.5 L by 11 -4.5
04/20 Away New York +6.5 W by 1 +7.5
04/23 Home New York +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
04/25 Home New York +2.5 L by 16 -13.5
04/28 Away New York +6.5 L by 29 -22.5
04/30 Home New York +3.5 L by 51 -47.5