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Miami at Atlanta: Recap

Friday Dec 26, 2025 7:00 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Atlanta by 2.5, Total Points: 250.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Atlanta MIA 42.3%
ATL 57.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA +3.5 MIA 51.1%
ATL 48.9%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 250.5 Over 48.2%
Under 51.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.1%
ATL -3.1%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 122.7 123.5 126
ATL 125.8 127.0 111

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Points/Game 120.9 117.2
Avg Score Margin +2.3 +1.1
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 17.7
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 51.1
Assists/Game 29.0 29.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 52.3
Effective FG % 54.2% 55.1%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 24.1%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.236
Turnover % 11.4% 12.2%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Opp Points/Game 118.6 116.2
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 54.7%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 52.1
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 10.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 32.2
Blocks/Game 4.3 4.7
Steals/Game 8.6 9.2
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 19.8