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Miami at Cleveland: Recap

Wednesday Mar 25, 2026 7:30 pm - Cleveland, OH
Odds: Cleveland by 2.5, Total Points: 243.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Cleveland MIA 45.5%
CLE 54.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA +2.5 MIA 51.1%
CLE 48.9%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 243.5 Over 46.4%
Under 53.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MIA +125 MIA +1.1%
CLE -5.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 119.7 120.5 120
CLE 121.9 123.0 103

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA CLE
Points/Game 120.9 117.4
Avg Score Margin +2.3 +2.8
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 13.0
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 50.6
Assists/Game 29.0 27.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 53.2
Effective FG % 54.2% 55.6%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 27.1%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.278
Turnover % 11.4% 12.6%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA CLE
Opp Points/Game 118.6 114.6
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 54.3%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 46.3
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 11.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 32.1
Blocks/Game 4.3 5.0
Steals/Game 8.6 8.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 19.7