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Miami at Chicago: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Nov 21, 2025 8:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Chicago by 2.5, Total Points: 250.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ CHI

More Games From Nov 21, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 249.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go over
Over 249.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go over
Over 249.5	Similar Games	62% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MIA	CHI
Season	47-36-0	38-44-0
vs Division	12-6-0	6-10-0
vs Conference	28-25-0	20-31-0
Streak	Ov 4	Ov 1
Last 5	4-1-0	1-4-0
Last 10	8-2-0	4-6-0
Home	23-18-0	15-26-0
Away	24-18-0	23-18-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Orlando	216.0	121-125	Over	+30.0
10/24	Away	Memphis	232.5	146-114	Over	+27.5
10/26	Home	New York	230.5	115-107	Under	-8.5
10/28	Home	Charlotte	241.5	144-117	Over	+19.5
10/30	Away	San Antonio	228.5	101-107	Under	-20.5
11/02	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	120-130	Over	+17.5
11/03	Away	LA Clippers	227.5	120-119	Over	+11.5
11/05	Away	Denver	242.5	112-122	Under	-8.5
11/07	Home	Charlotte	235.5	126-108	Under	-1.5
11/08	Home	Portland	241.5	136-131	Over	+25.5
11/10	Home	Cleveland	248.5	140-138	Over	+29.5
11/12	Home	Cleveland	238.5	116-130	Over	+7.5
11/14	Away	New York	240.5	132-140	Over	+31.5
11/17	Home	New York	244.5	115-113	Under	-16.5
11/19	Home	Golden State	234.5	110-96	Under	-28.5
11/21	Away	Chicago	250.5	143-107	Under	-0.5
11/23	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	127-117	Over	+3.5
11/24	Home	Dallas	240.5	106-102	Under	-32.5
11/26	Home	Milwaukee	236.5	106-103	Under	-27.5
11/29	Home	Detroit	239.5	135-138	Over	+33.5
12/01	Home	LA Clippers	235.5	140-123	Over	+27.5
12/03	Away	Dallas	238.5	108-118	Under	-12.5
12/05	Away	Orlando	241.5	105-106	Under	-30.5
12/06	Home	Sacramento	241.5	111-127	Under	-3.5
12/09	Away	Orlando	235.5	108-117	Under	-10.5
12/15	Home	Toronto	234.5	96-106	Under	-32.5
12/18	Away	Brooklyn	228.5	106-95	Under	-27.5
12/19	Away	Boston	232.5	116-129	Over	+12.5
12/21	Away	New York	236.5	125-132	Over	+20.5
12/23	Home	Toronto	227.5	91-112	Under	-24.5
12/26	Away	Atlanta	250.5	126-111	Under	-13.5
12/27	Home	Indiana	233.5	142-116	Over	+24.5
12/29	Home	Denver	243.5	147-123	Over	+26.5
01/01	Away	Detroit	236.5	118-112	Under	-6.5
01/03	Home	Minnesota	235.5	115-125	Over	+4.5
01/04	Home	New Orleans	246.5	125-106	Under	-15.5
01/06	Away	Minnesota	238.5	94-122	Under	-22.5
01/10	Away	Indiana	235.5	99-123	Under	-13.5
01/11	Away	Okla City	234.5	112-124	Over	+1.5
01/13	Home	Phoenix	230.5	127-121	Over	+17.5
01/15	Home	Boston	235.5	114-119	Under	-2.5
01/17	Home	Okla City	234.5	122-120	Over	+7.5
01/19	Away	Golden State	239.5	112-135	Over	+7.5
01/20	Away	Sacramento	238.5	130-117	Over	+8.5
01/22	Away	Portland	235.5	110-127	Over	+1.5
01/24	Away	Utah	245.5	147-116	Over	+17.5
01/25	Away	Phoenix	225.5	111-102	Under	-12.5
01/28	Home	Orlando	233.5	124-133	Over	+23.5
01/29	Away	Chicago	238.5	116-113	Under	-9.5
01/31	Home	Chicago	231.5	118-125	Over	+11.5
02/01	Home	Chicago	233.5	134-91	Under	-8.5
02/03	Home	Atlanta	237.5	115-127	Over	+4.5
02/06	Away	Boston	227.5	96-98	Under	-33.5
02/08	Away	Washington	236.5	132-101	Under	-3.5
02/09	Home	Utah	236.5	111-115	Under	-10.5
02/11	Away	New Orleans	233.5	123-111	Over	+0.5
02/20	Away	Atlanta	244.5	128-97	Under	-19.5
02/21	Home	Memphis	238.5	136-120	Over	+17.5
02/24	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	117-128	Over	+16.5
02/26	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	117-124	Over	+0.5
02/28	Home	Houston	226.5	115-105	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	Brooklyn	226.5	124-98	Under	-4.5
03/05	Home	Brooklyn	225.5	126-110	Over	+10.5
03/06	Away	Charlotte	230.5	128-120	Over	+17.5
03/08	Home	Detroit	231.5	121-110	Under	-0.5
03/10	Home	Washington	235.5	150-129	Over	+43.5
03/12	Home	Milwaukee	234.5	112-105	Under	-17.5
03/14	Home	Orlando	237.0	117-121	Over	+1.0
03/17	Away	Charlotte	236.5	106-136	Over	+5.5
03/19	Home	LA Lakers	242.5	126-134	Over	+17.5
03/21	Away	Houston	228.5	122-123	Over	+16.5
03/23	Home	San Antonio	244.5	111-136	Over	+2.5
03/25	Away	Cleveland	243.5	120-103	Under	-20.5
03/27	Away	Cleveland	240.5	128-149	Over	+36.5
03/29	Away	Indiana	245.5	118-135	Over	+7.5
03/30	Home	Philadelphia	243.5	119-109	Under	-15.5
04/01	Home	Boston	230.5	129-147	Over	+45.5
04/04	Home	Washington	245.5	152-136	Over	+42.5
04/07	Away	Toronto	240.5	95-121	Under	-24.5
04/09	Away	Toronto	236.5	114-128	Over	+5.5
04/10	Away	Washington	244.5	140-117	Over	+12.5
04/12	Home	Atlanta	240.5	143-117	Over	+19.5
04/14	Away	Charlotte	228.5	126-127	Over	+24.5

Chicago Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Detroit	236.5	115-111	Under	-10.5
10/25	Away	Orlando	233.0	110-98	Under	-25.0
10/27	Home	Atlanta	243.5	128-123	Over	+7.5
10/29	Home	Sacramento	237.5	126-113	Over	+1.5
10/31	Home	New York	233.5	135-125	Over	+26.5
11/02	Away	New York	235.0	116-128	Over	+9.0
11/04	Home	Philadelphia	240.5	113-111	Under	-16.5
11/07	Away	Milwaukee	240.5	110-126	Under	-4.5
11/08	Away	Cleveland	239.5	122-128	Over	+10.5
11/10	Home	San Antonio	235.5	117-121	Over	+2.5
11/12	Away	Detroit	229.5	113-124	Over	+7.5
11/16	Away	Utah	244.5	147-150	Over	+52.5
11/17	Away	Denver	240.5	130-127	Over	+16.5
11/19	Away	Portland	244.5	122-121	Under	-1.5
11/21	Home	Miami	250.5	107-143	Under	-0.5
11/22	Home	Washington	245.5	121-120	Under	-4.5
11/24	Away	New Orleans	243.5	130-143	Over	+29.5
11/28	Away	Charlotte	249.5	116-123	Under	-10.5
11/29	Away	Indiana	240.5	101-103	Under	-36.5
12/01	Away	Orlando	239.5	120-125	Over	+5.5
12/03	Home	Brooklyn	232.5	103-113	Under	-16.5
12/05	Home	Indiana	235.5	105-120	Under	-10.5
12/07	Home	Golden State	229.5	91-123	Under	-15.5
12/12	Away	Charlotte	229.5	129-126	Over	+25.5
12/14	Home	New Orleans	248.5	104-114	Under	-30.5
12/17	Home	Cleveland	242.5	127-111	Under	-4.5
12/19	Away	Cleveland	237.5	136-125	Over	+23.5
12/21	Away	Atlanta	248.5	152-150	Over	+53.5
12/23	Away	Atlanta	254.5	126-123	Under	-5.5
12/26	Home	Philadelphia	241.5	109-102	Under	-30.5
12/27	Home	Milwaukee	234.5	103-112	Under	-19.5
12/29	Home	Minnesota	243.5	101-136	Under	-6.5
12/31	Home	New Orleans	249.5	134-118	Over	+2.5
01/02	Home	Orlando	233.5	121-114	Over	+1.5
01/03	Home	Charlotte	240.5	99-112	Under	-29.5
01/05	Away	Boston	236.5	101-115	Under	-20.5
01/07	Away	Detroit	227.5	93-108	Under	-26.5
01/10	Home	Dallas	233.5	125-107	Under	-1.5
01/13	Away	Houston	224.5	113-119	Over	+7.5
01/14	Home	Utah	241.5	128-126	Over	+12.5
01/16	Away	Brooklyn	224.5	109-112	Under	-3.5
01/18	Home	Brooklyn	223.5	124-102	Over	+2.5
01/20	Home	LA Clippers	224.5	138-110	Over	+23.5
01/22	Away	Minnesota	239.5	120-115	Under	-4.5
01/24	Home	Boston	232.5	114-111	Under	-7.5
01/26	Home	LA Lakers	236.5	118-129	Over	+10.5
01/28	Away	Indiana	235.5	110-113	Under	-12.5
01/29	Home	Miami	238.5	113-116	Under	-9.5
01/31	Away	Miami	231.5	125-118	Over	+11.5
02/01	Away	Miami	233.5	91-134	Under	-8.5
02/03	Away	Milwaukee	222.5	115-131	Over	+23.5
02/05	Away	Toronto	227.5	107-123	Over	+2.5
02/07	Home	Denver	235.5	120-136	Over	+20.5
02/09	Away	Brooklyn	218.5	115-123	Over	+19.5
02/11	Away	Boston	226.5	105-124	Over	+2.5
02/19	Home	Toronto	235.5	101-110	Under	-24.5
02/21	Home	Detroit	234.5	110-126	Over	+1.5
02/22	Home	New York	233.5	99-105	Under	-29.5
02/24	Home	Charlotte	231.5	99-131	Under	-1.5
02/26	Home	Portland	234.5	112-121	Under	-1.5
03/01	Home	Milwaukee	231.5	120-97	Under	-14.5
03/03	Home	Okla City	231.5	108-116	Under	-7.5
03/05	Away	Phoenix	224.5	105-103	Under	-16.5
03/08	Away	Sacramento	235.5	110-126	Over	+0.5
03/10	Away	Golden State	226.5	130-124	Over	+27.5
03/12	Away	LA Lakers	239.5	130-142	Over	+32.5
03/13	Away	LA Clippers	235.5	108-119	Under	-8.5
03/16	Home	Memphis	243.5	132-107	Under	-4.5
03/18	Home	Toronto	237.5	109-139	Over	+10.5
03/19	Home	Cleveland	236.5	110-115	Under	-11.5
03/23	Home	Houston	232.5	132-124	Over	+23.5
03/25	Away	Philadelphia	241.5	137-157	Over	+52.5
03/27	Away	Okla City	240.5	113-131	Over	+3.5
03/28	Away	Memphis	248.5	124-125	Over	+0.5
03/30	Away	San Antonio	246.5	114-129	Under	-3.5
04/01	Home	Indiana	248.5	126-145	Over	+22.5
04/03	Away	New York	237.5	96-136	Under	-5.5
04/05	Home	Phoenix	240.5	110-120	Under	-10.5
04/07	Away	Washington	250.5	129-98	Under	-23.5
04/09	Away	Washington	249.5	119-108	Under	-22.5
04/10	Home	Orlando	246.5	103-127	Under	-16.5
04/12	Away	Dallas	250.5	128-149	Over	+26.5