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Miami at Philadelphia: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Feb 26, 2026 7:00 pm - Philadelphia, PA
Odds: Philadelphia by 2.5, Total Points: 240.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ PHI

More Games From Feb 26, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami +2.5 Official TR Pick Miami 52% odds to cover
Miami +2.5 Power Rating Model Miami 57% odds to cover
Miami +2.5 Decision Tree Miami 52% odds to cover
Miami +2.5 Predictive Ratings Miami 56% odds to cover
Philadelphia -2.5 Similar Games Philadelphia 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv PHI
Season 47-36-0 50-44-0
vs Division 12-6-0 15-12-0
vs Conference 30-23-0 36-28-0
Streak W3 L2
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 6-4-0
Home 23-18-0 22-25-0
Away 24-18-0 28-19-0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
10/24 Away Memphis +3.0 W by 32 +35.0
10/26 Home New York +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
10/28 Home Charlotte -6.5 W by 27 +20.5
10/30 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/03 Away LA Clippers +8.0 W by 1 +9.0
11/05 Away Denver +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/07 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 18 +10.5
11/08 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/10 Home Cleveland +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
11/12 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 14 -19.5
11/14 Away New York +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
11/17 Home New York -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/19 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
11/21 Away Chicago +2.5 W by 36 +38.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
11/24 Home Dallas -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
11/29 Home Detroit -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers -6.5 W by 17 +10.5
12/03 Away Dallas -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/05 Away Orlando +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
12/06 Home Sacramento -8.5 L by 16 -24.5
12/09 Away Orlando +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
12/15 Home Toronto -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
12/19 Away Boston +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
12/21 Away New York +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
12/23 Home Toronto -5.5 L by 21 -26.5
12/26 Away Atlanta +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
12/27 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 26 +19.5
12/29 Home Denver +1.5 W by 24 +25.5
01/01 Away Detroit +4.5 W by 6 +10.5
01/03 Home Minnesota +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/04 Home New Orleans -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
01/06 Away Minnesota +5.5 L by 28 -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana -6.5 L by 24 -30.5
01/11 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 12 +3.5
01/13 Home Phoenix -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/15 Home Boston +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City +11.5 W by 2 +13.5
01/19 Away Golden State +5.5 L by 23 -17.5
01/20 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
01/22 Away Portland +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
01/24 Away Utah -6.5 W by 31 +24.5
01/25 Away Phoenix +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/28 Home Orlando -3.5 L by 9 -12.5
01/29 Away Chicago -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
01/31 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
02/01 Home Chicago -5.5 W by 43 +37.5
02/03 Home Atlanta -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
02/06 Away Boston +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
02/08 Away Washington -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
02/09 Home Utah -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/11 Away New Orleans +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
02/20 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 31 +27.5
02/21 Home Memphis -11.5 W by 16 +4.5
02/24 Away Milwaukee -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/26 Away Philadelphia +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
02/28 Home Houston +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
03/03 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 26 +13.5
03/05 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 16 +3.5
03/06 Away Charlotte +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
03/08 Home Detroit +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/10 Home Washington -15.5 W by 21 +5.5
03/12 Home Milwaukee -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/14 Home Orlando -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
03/17 Away Charlotte +5.5 L by 30 -24.5
03/19 Home LA Lakers -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
03/21 Away Houston +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
03/23 Home San Antonio +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
03/25 Away Cleveland +2.5 W by 17 +19.5
03/27 Away Cleveland +5.5 L by 21 -15.5
03/29 Away Indiana -8.5 L by 17 -25.5
03/30 Home Philadelphia +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
04/01 Home Boston +4.5 L by 18 -13.5
04/04 Home Washington -17.5 W by 16 -1.5
04/07 Away Toronto +1.5 L by 26 -24.5
04/09 Away Toronto +3.5 L by 14 -10.5
04/10 Away Washington -15.5 W by 23 +7.5
04/12 Home Atlanta -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
04/14 Away Charlotte +6.5 L by 1 +5.5

Philadelphia Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Boston +6.0 W by 1 +7.0
10/25 Home Charlotte -5.0 W by 4 -1.0
10/27 Home Orlando +6.5 W by 12 +18.5
10/28 Away Washington -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
10/31 Home Boston +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
11/02 Away Brooklyn -4.5 W by 24 +19.5
11/04 Away Chicago +1.5 L by 2 -0.5
11/05 Away Cleveland +11.5 L by 11 +0.5
11/08 Home Toronto -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
11/09 Home Detroit +4.5 L by 3 +1.5
11/11 Home Boston +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
11/14 Away Detroit +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
11/17 Home LA Clippers -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/19 Home Toronto +2.5 L by 9 -6.5
11/20 Away Milwaukee -1.5 W by 9 +7.5
11/23 Home Miami -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
11/25 Home Orlando +4.5 L by 41 -36.5
11/28 Away Brooklyn -7.5 W by 12 +4.5
11/30 Home Atlanta -2.5 L by 8 -10.5
12/02 Home Washington -13.5 W by 19 +5.5
12/04 Home Golden State -4.5 W by 1 -3.5
12/05 Away Milwaukee -1.5 W by 15 +13.5
12/07 Home LA Lakers +2.5 L by 4 -1.5
12/12 Home Indiana -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
12/14 Away Atlanta +4.5 L by 3 +1.5
12/19 Away New York +6.5 W by 9 +15.5
12/20 Home Dallas -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
12/23 Home Brooklyn -9.5 L by 8 -17.5
12/26 Away Chicago -1.5 L by 7 -8.5
12/28 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 25 -9.5
12/30 Away Memphis -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
01/01 Away Dallas -2.5 W by 15 +12.5
01/03 Away New York +3.5 W by 11 +14.5
01/05 Home Denver -14.5 L by 1 -15.5
01/07 Home Washington -16.5 W by 21 +4.5
01/09 Away Orlando -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
01/11 Away Toronto -2.5 L by 1 -3.5
01/12 Away Toronto -3.5 W by 13 +9.5
01/14 Home Cleveland -1.5 L by 26 -27.5
01/16 Home Cleveland -2.5 L by 2 -4.5
01/19 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 9 +2.5
01/20 Home Phoenix +2.5 L by 6 -3.5
01/22 Home Houston +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
01/24 Home New York -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
01/26 Away Charlotte +1.5 L by 37 -35.5
01/27 Home Milwaukee -9.5 W by 17 +7.5
01/29 Home Sacramento -9.5 W by 2 -7.5
01/31 Home New Orleans -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
02/02 Away LA Clippers +1.5 W by 15 +16.5
02/03 Away Golden State +4.5 W by 19 +23.5
02/05 Away LA Lakers +2.5 L by 4 -1.5
02/07 Away Phoenix +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
02/09 Away Portland +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
02/11 Home New York +2.5 L by 49 -46.5
02/19 Home Atlanta -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
02/21 Away New Orleans -3.5 L by 15 -18.5
02/22 Away Minnesota +8.5 W by 27 +35.5
02/24 Away Indiana -10.5 W by 21 +10.5
02/26 Home Miami -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
03/01 Away Boston +9.5 L by 16 -6.5
03/03 Home San Antonio +7.5 L by 40 -32.5
03/04 Home Utah -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
03/07 Away Atlanta +6.5 L by 9 -2.5
03/09 Away Cleveland +14.5 L by 14 +0.5
03/10 Home Memphis -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
03/12 Away Detroit +14.5 L by 22 -7.5
03/14 Home Brooklyn -8.5 W by 7 -1.5
03/15 Home Portland +8.5 W by 6 +14.5
03/17 Away Denver +15.5 L by 28 -12.5
03/19 Away Sacramento -2.5 W by 21 +18.5
03/21 Away Utah -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
03/23 Home Okla City +16.5 L by 20 -3.5
03/25 Home Chicago -6.5 W by 20 +13.5
03/28 Away Charlotte +6.5 W by 4 +10.5
03/30 Away Miami -2.5 L by 10 -12.5
04/01 Away Washington -14.5 W by 22 +7.5
04/03 Home Minnesota -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
04/04 Home Detroit +3.5 L by 23 -19.5
04/06 Away San Antonio +8.5 L by 13 -4.5
04/09 Away Houston +6.5 L by 11 -4.5
04/10 Away Indiana -14.5 W by 11 -3.5
04/12 Home Milwaukee -16.5 W by 20 +3.5
04/15 Home Orlando -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
04/19 Away Boston +12.5 L by 32 -19.5
04/21 Away Boston +13.5 W by 14 +27.5
04/24 Home Boston +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
04/26 Home Boston +6.5 L by 32 -25.5
04/28 Away Boston +10.5 W by 16 +26.5
04/30 Home Boston +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
05/02 Away Boston +3.5 W by 9 +12.5
05/04 Away New York +7.5 L by 39 -31.5
05/06 Away New York +10.5 L by 6 +4.5
05/08 Home New York -3.5 L by 14 -17.5
05/10 Home New York +1.5 L by 30 -28.5