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Miami at Philadelphia: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Nov 23, 2025 1:00 pm - Philadelphia, PA
Odds: Philadelphia by 1.5, Total Points: 240.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ PHI

More Games From Nov 23, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 240.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 240.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Under 240.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MIA	PHI
Season	47-36-0	44-50-0
vs Division	12-6-0	11-16-0
vs Conference	28-25-0	30-34-0
Streak	Ov 4	Ov 1
Last 5	4-1-0	3-2-0
Last 10	8-2-0	4-6-0
Home	23-18-0	22-25-0
Away	24-18-0	22-25-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Orlando	216.0	121-125	Over	+30.0
10/24	Away	Memphis	232.5	146-114	Over	+27.5
10/26	Home	New York	230.5	115-107	Under	-8.5
10/28	Home	Charlotte	241.5	144-117	Over	+19.5
10/30	Away	San Antonio	228.5	101-107	Under	-20.5
11/02	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	120-130	Over	+17.5
11/03	Away	LA Clippers	227.5	120-119	Over	+11.5
11/05	Away	Denver	242.5	112-122	Under	-8.5
11/07	Home	Charlotte	235.5	126-108	Under	-1.5
11/08	Home	Portland	241.5	136-131	Over	+25.5
11/10	Home	Cleveland	248.5	140-138	Over	+29.5
11/12	Home	Cleveland	238.5	116-130	Over	+7.5
11/14	Away	New York	240.5	132-140	Over	+31.5
11/17	Home	New York	244.5	115-113	Under	-16.5
11/19	Home	Golden State	234.5	110-96	Under	-28.5
11/21	Away	Chicago	250.5	143-107	Under	-0.5
11/23	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	127-117	Over	+3.5
11/24	Home	Dallas	240.5	106-102	Under	-32.5
11/26	Home	Milwaukee	236.5	106-103	Under	-27.5
11/29	Home	Detroit	239.5	135-138	Over	+33.5
12/01	Home	LA Clippers	235.5	140-123	Over	+27.5
12/03	Away	Dallas	238.5	108-118	Under	-12.5
12/05	Away	Orlando	241.5	105-106	Under	-30.5
12/06	Home	Sacramento	241.5	111-127	Under	-3.5
12/09	Away	Orlando	235.5	108-117	Under	-10.5
12/15	Home	Toronto	234.5	96-106	Under	-32.5
12/18	Away	Brooklyn	228.5	106-95	Under	-27.5
12/19	Away	Boston	232.5	116-129	Over	+12.5
12/21	Away	New York	236.5	125-132	Over	+20.5
12/23	Home	Toronto	227.5	91-112	Under	-24.5
12/26	Away	Atlanta	250.5	126-111	Under	-13.5
12/27	Home	Indiana	233.5	142-116	Over	+24.5
12/29	Home	Denver	243.5	147-123	Over	+26.5
01/01	Away	Detroit	236.5	118-112	Under	-6.5
01/03	Home	Minnesota	235.5	115-125	Over	+4.5
01/04	Home	New Orleans	246.5	125-106	Under	-15.5
01/06	Away	Minnesota	238.5	94-122	Under	-22.5
01/10	Away	Indiana	235.5	99-123	Under	-13.5
01/11	Away	Okla City	234.5	112-124	Over	+1.5
01/13	Home	Phoenix	230.5	127-121	Over	+17.5
01/15	Home	Boston	235.5	114-119	Under	-2.5
01/17	Home	Okla City	234.5	122-120	Over	+7.5
01/19	Away	Golden State	239.5	112-135	Over	+7.5
01/20	Away	Sacramento	238.5	130-117	Over	+8.5
01/22	Away	Portland	235.5	110-127	Over	+1.5
01/24	Away	Utah	245.5	147-116	Over	+17.5
01/25	Away	Phoenix	225.5	111-102	Under	-12.5
01/28	Home	Orlando	233.5	124-133	Over	+23.5
01/29	Away	Chicago	238.5	116-113	Under	-9.5
01/31	Home	Chicago	231.5	118-125	Over	+11.5
02/01	Home	Chicago	233.5	134-91	Under	-8.5
02/03	Home	Atlanta	237.5	115-127	Over	+4.5
02/06	Away	Boston	227.5	96-98	Under	-33.5
02/08	Away	Washington	236.5	132-101	Under	-3.5
02/09	Home	Utah	236.5	111-115	Under	-10.5
02/11	Away	New Orleans	233.5	123-111	Over	+0.5
02/20	Away	Atlanta	244.5	128-97	Under	-19.5
02/21	Home	Memphis	238.5	136-120	Over	+17.5
02/24	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	117-128	Over	+16.5
02/26	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	117-124	Over	+0.5
02/28	Home	Houston	226.5	115-105	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	Brooklyn	226.5	124-98	Under	-4.5
03/05	Home	Brooklyn	225.5	126-110	Over	+10.5
03/06	Away	Charlotte	230.5	128-120	Over	+17.5
03/08	Home	Detroit	231.5	121-110	Under	-0.5
03/10	Home	Washington	235.5	150-129	Over	+43.5
03/12	Home	Milwaukee	234.5	112-105	Under	-17.5
03/14	Home	Orlando	237.0	117-121	Over	+1.0
03/17	Away	Charlotte	236.5	106-136	Over	+5.5
03/19	Home	LA Lakers	242.5	126-134	Over	+17.5
03/21	Away	Houston	228.5	122-123	Over	+16.5
03/23	Home	San Antonio	244.5	111-136	Over	+2.5
03/25	Away	Cleveland	243.5	120-103	Under	-20.5
03/27	Away	Cleveland	240.5	128-149	Over	+36.5
03/29	Away	Indiana	245.5	118-135	Over	+7.5
03/30	Home	Philadelphia	243.5	119-109	Under	-15.5
04/01	Home	Boston	230.5	129-147	Over	+45.5
04/04	Home	Washington	245.5	152-136	Over	+42.5
04/07	Away	Toronto	240.5	95-121	Under	-24.5
04/09	Away	Toronto	236.5	114-128	Over	+5.5
04/10	Away	Washington	244.5	140-117	Over	+12.5
04/12	Home	Atlanta	240.5	143-117	Over	+19.5
04/14	Away	Charlotte	228.5	126-127	Over	+24.5

Philadelphia Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Boston	229.5	117-116	Over	+3.5
10/25	Home	Charlotte	237.0	125-121	Over	+9.0
10/27	Home	Orlando	228.5	136-124	Over	+31.5
10/28	Away	Washington	238.5	139-134	Over	+34.5
10/31	Home	Boston	234.0	108-109	Under	-17.0
11/02	Away	Brooklyn	233.0	129-105	Over	+1.0
11/04	Away	Chicago	240.5	111-113	Under	-16.5
11/05	Away	Cleveland	234.5	121-132	Over	+18.5
11/08	Home	Toronto	236.5	130-120	Over	+13.5
11/09	Home	Detroit	234.5	108-111	Under	-15.5
11/11	Home	Boston	230.5	102-100	Under	-28.5
11/14	Away	Detroit	228.5	105-114	Under	-9.5
11/17	Home	LA Clippers	222.5	110-108	Under	-4.5
11/19	Home	Toronto	234.5	112-121	Under	-1.5
11/20	Away	Milwaukee	223.5	123-114	Over	+13.5
11/23	Home	Miami	240.5	117-127	Over	+3.5
11/25	Home	Orlando	228.5	103-144	Over	+18.5
11/28	Away	Brooklyn	222.5	115-103	Under	-4.5
11/30	Home	Atlanta	232.5	134-142	Over	+43.5
12/02	Home	Washington	234.5	121-102	Under	-11.5
12/04	Home	Golden State	223.5	99-98	Under	-26.5
12/05	Away	Milwaukee	221.5	116-101	Under	-4.5
12/07	Home	LA Lakers	233.5	108-112	Under	-13.5
12/12	Home	Indiana	221.5	115-105	Under	-1.5
12/14	Away	Atlanta	225.5	117-120	Over	+11.5
12/19	Away	New York	230.5	116-107	Under	-7.5
12/20	Home	Dallas	226.5	121-114	Over	+8.5
12/23	Home	Brooklyn	219.5	106-114	Over	+0.5
12/26	Away	Chicago	241.5	102-109	Under	-30.5
12/28	Away	Okla City	226.5	104-129	Over	+6.5
12/30	Away	Memphis	235.5	139-136	Over	+39.5
01/01	Away	Dallas	232.5	123-108	Under	-1.5
01/03	Away	New York	234.5	130-119	Over	+14.5
01/05	Home	Denver	228.5	124-125	Over	+20.5
01/07	Home	Washington	234.5	131-110	Over	+6.5
01/09	Away	Orlando	227.5	103-91	Under	-33.5
01/11	Away	Toronto	220.5	115-116	Over	+10.5
01/12	Away	Toronto	221.5	115-102	Under	-4.5
01/14	Home	Cleveland	235.5	107-133	Over	+4.5
01/16	Home	Cleveland	233.5	115-117	Under	-1.5
01/19	Home	Indiana	229.5	113-104	Under	-12.5
01/20	Home	Phoenix	223.5	110-116	Over	+2.5
01/22	Home	Houston	221.5	128-122	Over	+28.5
01/24	Home	New York	227.5	109-112	Under	-6.5
01/26	Away	Charlotte	229.5	93-130	Under	-6.5
01/27	Home	Milwaukee	219.5	139-122	Over	+41.5
01/29	Home	Sacramento	229.5	113-111	Under	-5.5
01/31	Home	New Orleans	234.5	124-114	Over	+3.5
02/02	Away	LA Clippers	219.5	128-113	Over	+21.5
02/03	Away	Golden State	223.5	113-94	Under	-16.5
02/05	Away	LA Lakers	236.5	115-119	Under	-2.5
02/07	Away	Phoenix	225.5	109-103	Under	-13.5
02/09	Away	Portland	231.5	118-135	Over	+21.5
02/11	Home	New York	224.5	89-138	Over	+2.5
02/19	Home	Atlanta	241.5	107-117	Under	-17.5
02/21	Away	New Orleans	235.5	111-126	Over	+1.5
02/22	Away	Minnesota	239.5	135-108	Over	+3.5
02/24	Away	Indiana	234.5	135-114	Over	+14.5
02/26	Home	Miami	240.5	124-117	Over	+0.5
03/01	Away	Boston	219.5	98-114	Under	-7.5
03/03	Home	San Antonio	231.5	91-131	Under	-9.5
03/04	Home	Utah	238.5	106-102	Under	-30.5
03/07	Away	Atlanta	233.5	116-125	Over	+7.5
03/09	Away	Cleveland	226.5	101-115	Under	-10.5
03/10	Home	Memphis	228.5	139-129	Over	+39.5
03/12	Away	Detroit	223.5	109-131	Over	+16.5
03/14	Home	Brooklyn	218.5	104-97	Under	-17.5
03/15	Home	Portland	228.5	109-103	Under	-16.5
03/17	Away	Denver	236.5	96-124	Under	-16.5
03/19	Away	Sacramento	228.5	139-118	Over	+28.5
03/21	Away	Utah	228.5	126-116	Over	+13.5
03/23	Home	Okla City	226.5	103-123	Under	-0.5
03/25	Home	Chicago	241.5	157-137	Over	+52.5
03/28	Away	Charlotte	232.5	118-114	Under	-0.5
03/30	Away	Miami	243.5	109-119	Under	-15.5
04/01	Away	Washington	238.5	153-131	Over	+45.5
04/03	Home	Minnesota	234.5	115-103	Under	-16.5
04/04	Home	Detroit	226.5	93-116	Under	-17.5
04/06	Away	San Antonio	237.5	102-115	Under	-20.5
04/09	Away	Houston	226.5	102-113	Under	-11.5
04/10	Away	Indiana	234.5	105-94	Under	-35.5
04/12	Home	Milwaukee	224.5	126-106	Over	+7.5
04/15	Home	Orlando	223.5	109-97	Under	-17.5
04/19	Away	Boston	215.5	91-123	Under	-1.5
04/21	Away	Boston	218.5	111-97	Under	-10.5
04/24	Home	Boston	215.5	100-108	Under	-7.5
04/26	Home	Boston	213.5	96-128	Over	+10.5
04/28	Away	Boston	214.5	113-97	Under	-4.5
04/30	Home	Boston	214.5	106-93	Under	-15.5
05/02	Away	Boston	205.5	109-100	Over	+3.5
05/04	Away	New York	213.5	98-137	Over	+21.5
05/06	Away	New York	213.5	102-108	Under	-3.5
05/08	Home	New York	214.5	94-108	Under	-12.5
05/10	Home	New York	213.5	114-144	Over	+44.5