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Boston at Houston: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Feb 4, 2026 8:00 pm - Houston, TX
Odds: Houston by 8.5, Total Points: 211.5

Matchup Menu: BOS @ HOU

More Games From Feb 4, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 211.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 211.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Over 211.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	BOS	HOU
Season	32-57-0	41-46-1
vs Division	9-14-0	8-8-0
vs Conference	20-39-0	26-32-0
Streak	Ov 1	Un 2
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	5-5-0
Home	16-29-0	18-25-1
Away	16-28-0	23-21-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Boston Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Philadelphia	229.5	116-117	Over	+3.5
10/24	Away	New York	231.5	95-105	Under	-31.5
10/26	Away	Detroit	227.0	113-119	Over	+5.0
10/27	Away	New Orleans	231.5	122-90	Under	-19.5
10/29	Home	Cleveland	233.5	125-105	Under	-3.5
10/31	Away	Philadelphia	234.0	109-108	Under	-17.0
11/01	Home	Houston	226.0	101-128	Over	+3.0
11/03	Home	Utah	233.0	103-105	Under	-25.0
11/05	Home	Washington	232.5	136-107	Over	+10.5
11/07	Away	Orlando	226.5	110-123	Over	+6.5
11/09	Away	Orlando	227.5	111-107	Under	-9.5
11/11	Away	Philadelphia	230.5	100-102	Under	-28.5
11/12	Home	Memphis	227.5	131-95	Under	-1.5
11/16	Home	LA Clippers	219.5	121-118	Over	+19.5
11/18	Away	Brooklyn	223.5	113-99	Under	-11.5
11/21	Home	Brooklyn	222.5	105-113	Under	-4.5
11/23	Home	Orlando	220.5	138-129	Over	+46.5
11/26	Home	Detroit	232.5	117-114	Under	-1.5
11/29	Away	Minnesota	228.5	115-119	Over	+5.5
11/30	Away	Cleveland	235.5	117-115	Under	-3.5
12/02	Home	New York	230.5	123-117	Over	+9.5
12/04	Away	Washington	231.5	146-101	Over	+15.5
12/05	Home	LA Lakers	227.5	126-105	Over	+3.5
12/07	Away	Toronto	224.5	121-113	Over	+9.5
12/11	Away	Milwaukee	223.5	101-116	Under	-6.5
12/15	Home	Detroit	231.5	105-112	Under	-14.5
12/19	Home	Miami	232.5	129-116	Over	+12.5
12/20	Away	Toronto	221.5	112-96	Under	-13.5
12/22	Home	Indiana	225.5	103-95	Under	-27.5
12/26	Away	Indiana	222.5	140-122	Over	+39.5
12/28	Away	Portland	231.5	108-114	Under	-9.5
12/30	Away	Utah	243.5	129-119	Over	+4.5
01/01	Away	Sacramento	229.5	120-106	Under	-3.5
01/03	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	146-115	Over	+40.5
01/05	Home	Chicago	236.5	115-101	Under	-20.5
01/07	Home	Denver	230.5	110-114	Under	-6.5
01/09	Home	Toronto	224.5	125-117	Over	+17.5
01/10	Home	San Antonio	231.5	95-100	Under	-36.5
01/12	Away	Indiana	227.5	96-98	Under	-33.5
01/15	Away	Miami	235.5	119-114	Under	-2.5
01/17	Away	Atlanta	231.5	132-106	Over	+6.5
01/19	Away	Detroit	223.5	103-104	Under	-16.5
01/21	Home	Indiana	226.5	119-104	Under	-3.5
01/23	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	130-126	Over	+39.5
01/24	Away	Chicago	232.5	111-114	Under	-7.5
01/26	Home	Portland	222.5	102-94	Under	-26.5
01/28	Home	Atlanta	232.5	106-117	Under	-9.5
01/30	Home	Sacramento	216.5	112-93	Under	-11.5
02/01	Home	Milwaukee	217.5	107-79	Under	-31.5
02/03	Away	Dallas	223.5	110-100	Under	-13.5
02/04	Away	Houston	211.5	114-93	Under	-4.5
02/06	Home	Miami	227.5	98-96	Under	-33.5
02/08	Home	New York	214.5	89-111	Under	-14.5
02/11	Home	Chicago	226.5	124-105	Over	+2.5
02/19	Away	Golden State	210.5	121-110	Over	+20.5
02/22	Away	LA Lakers	229.5	111-89	Under	-29.5
02/24	Away	Phoenix	206.5	97-81	Under	-28.5
02/25	Away	Denver	228.5	84-103	Under	-41.5
02/27	Home	Brooklyn	209.5	148-111	Over	+49.5
03/01	Home	Philadelphia	219.5	114-98	Under	-7.5
03/02	Away	Milwaukee	216.5	108-81	Under	-27.5
03/04	Home	Charlotte	215.5	89-118	Under	-8.5
03/06	Home	Dallas	226.5	120-100	Under	-6.5
03/08	Away	Cleveland	224.5	109-98	Under	-17.5
03/10	Away	San Antonio	221.5	116-125	Over	+19.5
03/12	Away	Okla City	217.5	102-104	Under	-11.5
03/14	Home	Washington	233.5	111-100	Under	-22.5
03/16	Home	Phoenix	216.5	120-112	Over	+15.5
03/18	Home	Golden State	216.5	120-99	Over	+2.5
03/20	Away	Memphis	230.5	117-112	Under	-1.5
03/22	Home	Minnesota	222.5	92-102	Under	-28.5
03/25	Home	Okla City	221.5	119-109	Over	+6.5
03/27	Home	Atlanta	224.5	109-102	Under	-13.5
03/29	Away	Charlotte	216.5	114-99	Under	-3.5
03/30	Away	Atlanta	226.5	102-112	Under	-12.5
04/01	Away	Miami	230.5	147-129	Over	+45.5
04/03	Away	Milwaukee	217.5	133-101	Over	+16.5
04/05	Home	Toronto	220.5	115-101	Under	-4.5
04/07	Home	Charlotte	221.5	113-102	Under	-6.5
04/09	Away	New York	211.5	106-112	Over	+6.5
04/10	Home	New Orleans	227.5	144-118	Over	+34.5
04/12	Home	Orlando	222.5	113-108	Under	-1.5
04/19	Home	Philadelphia	215.5	123-91	Under	-1.5
04/21	Home	Philadelphia	218.5	97-111	Under	-10.5
04/24	Away	Philadelphia	215.5	108-100	Under	-7.5
04/26	Away	Philadelphia	213.5	128-96	Over	+10.5
04/28	Home	Philadelphia	214.5	97-113	Under	-4.5
04/30	Away	Philadelphia	214.5	93-106	Under	-15.5
05/02	Home	Philadelphia	205.5	100-109	Over	+3.5

Houston Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/21	Away	Okla City	226.0	124-125	Over	+23.0
10/24	Home	Detroit	226.0	111-115	Push	0.0
10/27	Home	Brooklyn	225.0	137-109	Over	+21.0
10/29	Away	Toronto	234.5	139-121	Over	+25.5
11/01	Away	Boston	226.0	128-101	Over	+3.0
11/03	Home	Dallas	226.0	110-102	Under	-14.0
11/05	Away	Memphis	232.5	124-109	Over	+0.5
11/07	Away	San Antonio	224.5	110-121	Over	+6.5
11/09	Away	Milwaukee	232.5	122-115	Over	+4.5
11/12	Home	Washington	236.5	135-112	Over	+10.5
11/14	Home	Portland	236.5	140-116	Over	+19.5
11/16	Home	Orlando	224.5	117-113	Over	+5.5
11/19	Away	Cleveland	233.5	114-104	Under	-15.5
11/21	Home	Denver	234.5	109-112	Under	-13.5
11/24	Away	Phoenix	224.5	114-92	Under	-18.5
11/26	Away	Golden State	224.5	104-100	Under	-20.5
11/30	Away	Utah	233.5	129-101	Under	-3.5
12/01	Away	Utah	234.5	125-133	Over	+23.5
12/03	Home	Sacramento	230.5	121-95	Under	-14.5
12/05	Home	Phoenix	219.5	117-98	Under	-4.5
12/06	Away	Dallas	221.5	109-122	Over	+9.5
12/11	Home	LA Clippers	221.5	115-113	Over	+6.5
12/15	Away	Denver	236.5	125-128	Over	+16.5
12/18	Away	New Orleans	235.5	128-133	Over	+25.5
12/20	Away	Denver	235.5	115-101	Under	-19.5
12/21	Away	Sacramento	223.5	124-125	Over	+25.5
12/23	Away	LA Clippers	219.5	108-128	Over	+16.5
12/25	Away	LA Lakers	231.5	119-96	Under	-16.5
12/27	Home	Cleveland	232.5	117-100	Under	-15.5
12/29	Home	Indiana	223.5	126-119	Over	+21.5
01/01	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	120-96	Under	-0.5
01/03	Away	Dallas	228.5	104-110	Under	-14.5
01/05	Home	Phoenix	222.5	100-97	Under	-25.5
01/07	Away	Portland	222.5	102-103	Under	-17.5
01/09	Away	Portland	222.5	105-111	Under	-6.5
01/11	Away	Sacramento	223.5	98-111	Under	-14.5
01/13	Home	Chicago	224.5	119-113	Over	+7.5
01/15	Home	Okla City	221.5	91-111	Under	-19.5
01/16	Home	Minnesota	221.5	110-105	Under	-6.5
01/18	Home	New Orleans	232.5	119-110	Under	-3.5
01/20	Home	San Antonio	220.5	111-106	Under	-3.5
01/22	Away	Philadelphia	221.5	122-128	Over	+28.5
01/23	Away	Detroit	217.5	111-104	Under	-2.5
01/26	Home	Memphis	226.5	108-99	Under	-19.5
01/28	Home	San Antonio	219.5	99-111	Under	-9.5
01/29	Away	Atlanta	223.5	104-86	Under	-33.5
01/31	Home	Dallas	222.5	111-107	Under	-4.5
02/02	Away	Indiana	218.5	118-114	Over	+13.5
02/04	Home	Boston	211.5	93-114	Under	-4.5
02/05	Home	Charlotte	218.5	99-109	Under	-10.5
02/07	Away	Okla City	213.5	112-106	Over	+4.5
02/10	Home	LA Clippers	214.5	102-95	Under	-17.5
02/11	Home	LA Clippers	211.5	102-105	Under	-4.5
02/19	Away	Charlotte	218.5	105-101	Under	-12.5
02/21	Away	New York	220.5	106-108	Under	-6.5
02/23	Home	Utah	228.5	125-105	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Sacramento	222.5	128-97	Over	+2.5
02/26	Away	Orlando	214.5	113-108	Over	+6.5
02/28	Away	Miami	226.5	105-115	Under	-6.5
03/02	Away	Washington	225.5	123-118	Over	+15.5
03/05	Home	Golden State	214.5	113-115	Over	+13.5
03/06	Home	Portland	221.5	106-99	Under	-16.5
03/08	Away	San Antonio	222.5	120-145	Over	+42.5
03/10	Home	Toronto	220.5	113-99	Under	-8.5
03/11	Away	Denver	231.5	93-129	Under	-9.5
03/13	Home	New Orleans	230.5	107-105	Under	-18.5
03/16	Home	LA Lakers	223.5	92-100	Under	-31.5
03/18	Home	LA Lakers	222.5	116-124	Over	+17.5
03/20	Home	Atlanta	226.5	117-95	Under	-14.5
03/21	Home	Miami	228.5	123-122	Over	+16.5
03/23	Away	Chicago	232.5	124-132	Over	+23.5
03/25	Away	Minnesota	223.5	108-110	Under	-5.5
03/27	Away	Memphis	227.5	119-109	Over	+0.5
03/29	Away	New Orleans	226.5	134-102	Over	+9.5
03/31	Home	New York	217.5	111-94	Under	-12.5
04/01	Home	Milwaukee	215.5	119-113	Over	+16.5
04/03	Home	Utah	233.5	140-106	Over	+12.5
04/05	Away	Golden State	226.5	117-116	Over	+6.5
04/07	Away	Phoenix	220.5	119-105	Over	+3.5
04/09	Home	Philadelphia	226.5	113-102	Under	-11.5
04/10	Home	Minnesota	227.5	132-136	Over	+40.5
04/12	Home	Memphis	230.5	132-101	Over	+2.5
04/18	Away	LA Lakers	207.5	98-107	Under	-2.5
04/21	Away	LA Lakers	209.5	94-101	Under	-14.5
04/24	Home	LA Lakers	206.5	108-112	Over	+13.5
04/26	Home	LA Lakers	206.5	115-96	Over	+4.5
04/29	Away	LA Lakers	209.5	99-93	Under	-17.5
05/01	Home	LA Lakers	204.5	78-98	Under	-28.5