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Boston at Miami: Money Line Analysis

Wednesday Apr 1, 2026 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Boston by 4.5, Total Points: 230.5

Matchup Menu: BOS @ MIA

More Games From Apr 1, 2026

Money Line Predictions

Value Pick Model Confidence
Miami +165 Official TR Pick Model shows 2% value
Miami +165 Power Rating Model Model shows 3% value
Miami +165 Predictive Ratings Model shows 7% value
Boston -200 Decision Tree Model shows 1% value

Money Line Situational Trends

Record BOS adv MIA
Season 56-26 43-39
vs Division 13-10 10-8
vs Conference 39-20 27-26
Streak L3 L1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Last 10 5-5 4-6
Home 31-14 26-15
Away 28-16 17-25

Boston Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
10/22 Home Philadelphia 116-117 L -1.0
10/24 Away New York 95-105 L -10.0
10/26 Away Detroit 113-119 L -6.0
10/27 Away New Orleans 122-90 W +32.0
10/29 Home Cleveland 125-105 W +20.0
10/31 Away Philadelphia 109-108 W +1.0
11/01 Home Houston 101-128 L -27.0
11/03 Home Utah 103-105 L -2.0
11/05 Home Washington 136-107 W +29.0
11/07 Away Orlando 110-123 L -13.0
11/09 Away Orlando 111-107 W +4.0
11/11 Away Philadelphia 100-102 L -2.0
11/12 Home Memphis 131-95 W +36.0
11/16 Home LA Clippers 121-118 W +3.0
11/18 Away Brooklyn 113-99 W +14.0
11/21 Home Brooklyn 105-113 L -8.0
11/23 Home Orlando 138-129 W +9.0
11/26 Home Detroit 117-114 W +3.0
11/29 Away Minnesota 115-119 L -4.0
11/30 Away Cleveland 117-115 W +2.0
12/02 Home New York 123-117 W +6.0
12/04 Away Washington 146-101 W +45.0
12/05 Home LA Lakers 126-105 W +21.0
12/07 Away Toronto 121-113 W +8.0
12/11 Away Milwaukee 101-116 L -15.0
12/15 Home Detroit 105-112 L -7.0
12/19 Home Miami 129-116 W +13.0
12/20 Away Toronto 112-96 W +16.0
12/22 Home Indiana 103-95 W +8.0
12/26 Away Indiana 140-122 W +18.0
12/28 Away Portland 108-114 L -6.0
12/30 Away Utah 129-119 W +10.0
01/01 Away Sacramento 120-106 W +14.0
01/03 Away LA Clippers 146-115 W +31.0
01/05 Home Chicago 115-101 W +14.0
01/07 Home Denver 110-114 L -4.0
01/09 Home Toronto 125-117 W +8.0
01/10 Home San Antonio 95-100 L -5.0
01/12 Away Indiana 96-98 L -2.0
01/15 Away Miami 119-114 W +5.0
01/17 Away Atlanta 132-106 W +26.0
01/19 Away Detroit 103-104 L -1.0
01/21 Home Indiana 119-104 W +15.0
01/23 Away Brooklyn 130-126 W +4.0
01/24 Away Chicago 111-114 L -3.0
01/26 Home Portland 102-94 W +8.0
01/28 Home Atlanta 106-117 L -11.0
01/30 Home Sacramento 112-93 W +19.0
02/01 Home Milwaukee 107-79 W +28.0
02/03 Away Dallas 110-100 W +10.0
02/04 Away Houston 114-93 W +21.0
02/06 Home Miami 98-96 W +2.0
02/08 Home New York 89-111 L -22.0
02/11 Home Chicago 124-105 W +19.0
02/19 Away Golden State 121-110 W +11.0
02/22 Away LA Lakers 111-89 W +22.0
02/24 Away Phoenix 97-81 W +16.0
02/25 Away Denver 84-103 L -19.0
02/27 Home Brooklyn 148-111 W +37.0
03/01 Home Philadelphia 114-98 W +16.0
03/02 Away Milwaukee 108-81 W +27.0
03/04 Home Charlotte 89-118 L -29.0
03/06 Home Dallas 120-100 W +20.0
03/08 Away Cleveland 109-98 W +11.0
03/10 Away San Antonio 116-125 L -9.0
03/12 Away Okla City 102-104 L -2.0
03/14 Home Washington 111-100 W +11.0
03/16 Home Phoenix 120-112 W +8.0
03/18 Home Golden State 120-99 W +21.0
03/20 Away Memphis 117-112 W +5.0
03/22 Home Minnesota 92-102 L -10.0
03/25 Home Okla City 119-109 W +10.0
03/27 Home Atlanta 109-102 W +7.0
03/29 Away Charlotte 114-99 W +15.0
03/30 Away Atlanta 102-112 L -10.0
04/01 Away Miami 147-129 W +18.0
04/03 Away Milwaukee 133-101 W +32.0
04/05 Home Toronto 115-101 W +14.0
04/07 Home Charlotte 113-102 W +11.0
04/09 Away New York 106-112 L -6.0
04/10 Home New Orleans 144-118 W +26.0
04/12 Home Orlando 113-108 W +5.0
04/19 Home Philadelphia 123-91 W +32.0
04/21 Home Philadelphia 97-111 L -14.0
04/24 Away Philadelphia 108-100 W +8.0
04/26 Away Philadelphia 128-96 W +32.0
04/28 Home Philadelphia 97-113 L -16.0
04/30 Away Philadelphia 93-106 L -13.0
05/02 Home Philadelphia 100-109 L -9.0

Miami Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
10/22 Away Orlando 121-125 L -4.0
10/24 Away Memphis 146-114 W +32.0
10/26 Home New York 115-107 W +8.0
10/28 Home Charlotte 144-117 W +27.0
10/30 Away San Antonio 101-107 L -6.0
11/02 Away LA Lakers 120-130 L -10.0
11/03 Away LA Clippers 120-119 W +1.0
11/05 Away Denver 112-122 L -10.0
11/07 Home Charlotte 126-108 W +18.0
11/08 Home Portland 136-131 W +5.0
11/10 Home Cleveland 140-138 W +2.0
11/12 Home Cleveland 116-130 L -14.0
11/14 Away New York 132-140 L -8.0
11/17 Home New York 115-113 W +2.0
11/19 Home Golden State 110-96 W +14.0
11/21 Away Chicago 143-107 W +36.0
11/23 Away Philadelphia 127-117 W +10.0
11/24 Home Dallas 106-102 W +4.0
11/26 Home Milwaukee 106-103 W +3.0
11/29 Home Detroit 135-138 L -3.0
12/01 Home LA Clippers 140-123 W +17.0
12/03 Away Dallas 108-118 L -10.0
12/05 Away Orlando 105-106 L -1.0
12/06 Home Sacramento 111-127 L -16.0
12/09 Away Orlando 108-117 L -9.0
12/15 Home Toronto 96-106 L -10.0
12/18 Away Brooklyn 106-95 W +11.0
12/19 Away Boston 116-129 L -13.0
12/21 Away New York 125-132 L -7.0
12/23 Home Toronto 91-112 L -21.0
12/26 Away Atlanta 126-111 W +15.0
12/27 Home Indiana 142-116 W +26.0
12/29 Home Denver 147-123 W +24.0
01/01 Away Detroit 118-112 W +6.0
01/03 Home Minnesota 115-125 L -10.0
01/04 Home New Orleans 125-106 W +19.0
01/06 Away Minnesota 94-122 L -28.0
01/10 Away Indiana 99-123 L -24.0
01/11 Away Okla City 112-124 L -12.0
01/13 Home Phoenix 127-121 W +6.0
01/15 Home Boston 114-119 L -5.0
01/17 Home Okla City 122-120 W +2.0
01/19 Away Golden State 112-135 L -23.0
01/20 Away Sacramento 130-117 W +13.0
01/22 Away Portland 110-127 L -17.0
01/24 Away Utah 147-116 W +31.0
01/25 Away Phoenix 111-102 W +9.0
01/28 Home Orlando 124-133 L -9.0
01/29 Away Chicago 116-113 W +3.0
01/31 Home Chicago 118-125 L -7.0
02/01 Home Chicago 134-91 W +43.0
02/03 Home Atlanta 115-127 L -12.0
02/06 Away Boston 96-98 L -2.0
02/08 Away Washington 132-101 W +31.0
02/09 Home Utah 111-115 L -4.0
02/11 Away New Orleans 123-111 W +12.0
02/20 Away Atlanta 128-97 W +31.0
02/21 Home Memphis 136-120 W +16.0
02/24 Away Milwaukee 117-128 L -11.0
02/26 Away Philadelphia 117-124 L -7.0
02/28 Home Houston 115-105 W +10.0
03/03 Home Brooklyn 124-98 W +26.0
03/05 Home Brooklyn 126-110 W +16.0
03/06 Away Charlotte 128-120 W +8.0
03/08 Home Detroit 121-110 W +11.0
03/10 Home Washington 150-129 W +21.0
03/12 Home Milwaukee 112-105 W +7.0
03/14 Home Orlando 117-121 L -4.0
03/17 Away Charlotte 106-136 L -30.0
03/19 Home LA Lakers 126-134 L -8.0
03/21 Away Houston 122-123 L -1.0
03/23 Home San Antonio 111-136 L -25.0
03/25 Away Cleveland 120-103 W +17.0
03/27 Away Cleveland 128-149 L -21.0
03/29 Away Indiana 118-135 L -17.0
03/30 Home Philadelphia 119-109 W +10.0
04/01 Home Boston 129-147 L -18.0
04/04 Home Washington 152-136 W +16.0
04/07 Away Toronto 95-121 L -26.0
04/09 Away Toronto 114-128 L -14.0
04/10 Away Washington 140-117 W +23.0
04/12 Home Atlanta 143-117 W +26.0
04/14 Away Charlotte 126-127 L -1.0