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Boston at Miami: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Apr 1, 2026 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Boston by 4.5, Total Points: 230.5

Matchup Menu: BOS @ MIA

More Games From Apr 1, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami +4.5 Official TR Pick Miami 52% odds to cover
Miami +4.5 Power Rating Model Miami 60% odds to cover
Miami +4.5 Decision Tree Miami 52% odds to cover
Miami +4.5 Predictive Ratings Miami 61% odds to cover
Boston -4.5 Similar Games Boston 60% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record BOS adv MIA
Season 51-38-0 47-36-0
vs Division 9-14-0 12-6-0
vs Conference 33-26-0 30-23-0
Streak L3 W3
Last 5 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 4-6-0
Home 24-21-0 23-18-0
Away 27-17-0 24-18-0

Boston Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Home Philadelphia -6.0 L by 1 -7.0
10/24 Away New York +4.0 L by 10 -6.0
10/26 Away Detroit +2.5 L by 6 -3.5
10/27 Away New Orleans -4.5 W by 32 +27.5
10/29 Home Cleveland +3.5 W by 20 +23.5
10/31 Away Philadelphia -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
11/01 Home Houston +4.5 L by 27 -22.5
11/03 Home Utah -10.5 L by 2 -12.5
11/05 Home Washington -12.5 W by 29 +16.5
11/07 Away Orlando +3.5 L by 13 -9.5
11/09 Away Orlando +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
11/11 Away Philadelphia -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
11/12 Home Memphis -8.5 W by 36 +27.5
11/16 Home LA Clippers -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
11/18 Away Brooklyn -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
11/21 Home Brooklyn -14.5 L by 8 -22.5
11/23 Home Orlando -4.5 W by 9 +4.5
11/26 Home Detroit +2.5 W by 3 +5.5
11/29 Away Minnesota +5.5 L by 4 +1.5
11/30 Away Cleveland +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
12/02 Home New York +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
12/04 Away Washington -10.5 W by 45 +34.5
12/05 Home LA Lakers -8.5 W by 21 +12.5
12/07 Away Toronto -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
12/11 Away Milwaukee -9.5 L by 15 -24.5
12/15 Home Detroit -1.5 L by 7 -8.5
12/19 Home Miami -7.5 W by 13 +5.5
12/20 Away Toronto +1.5 W by 16 +17.5
12/22 Home Indiana -11.5 W by 8 -3.5
12/26 Away Indiana -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
12/28 Away Portland -7.5 L by 6 -13.5
12/30 Away Utah -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
01/01 Away Sacramento -10.5 W by 14 +3.5
01/03 Away LA Clippers +1.5 W by 31 +32.5
01/05 Home Chicago -10.5 W by 14 +3.5
01/07 Home Denver -9.5 L by 4 -13.5
01/09 Home Toronto -9.5 W by 8 -1.5
01/10 Home San Antonio +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
01/12 Away Indiana -5.5 L by 2 -7.5
01/15 Away Miami -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
01/17 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 26 +22.5
01/19 Away Detroit +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
01/21 Home Indiana -10.5 W by 15 +4.5
01/23 Away Brooklyn -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
01/24 Away Chicago -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
01/26 Home Portland -8.5 W by 8 -0.5
01/28 Home Atlanta -5.5 L by 11 -16.5
01/30 Home Sacramento -11.5 W by 19 +7.5
02/01 Home Milwaukee -13.5 W by 28 +14.5
02/03 Away Dallas -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
02/04 Away Houston +8.5 W by 21 +29.5
02/06 Home Miami -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
02/08 Home New York -3.5 L by 22 -25.5
02/11 Home Chicago -13.5 W by 19 +5.5
02/19 Away Golden State -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
02/22 Away LA Lakers -1.5 W by 22 +20.5
02/24 Away Phoenix -5.5 W by 16 +10.5
02/25 Away Denver +3.5 L by 19 -15.5
02/27 Home Brooklyn -17.5 W by 37 +19.5
03/01 Home Philadelphia -9.5 W by 16 +6.5
03/02 Away Milwaukee -2.5 W by 27 +24.5
03/04 Home Charlotte -6.5 L by 29 -35.5
03/06 Home Dallas -15.5 W by 20 +4.5
03/08 Away Cleveland +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/10 Away San Antonio +3.5 L by 9 -5.5
03/12 Away Okla City +8.5 L by 2 +6.5
03/14 Home Washington -20.5 W by 11 -9.5
03/16 Home Phoenix -8.5 W by 8 -0.5
03/18 Home Golden State -11.5 W by 21 +9.5
03/20 Away Memphis -15.5 W by 5 -10.5
03/22 Home Minnesota -10.5 L by 10 -20.5
03/25 Home Okla City +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
03/27 Home Atlanta -4.5 W by 7 +2.5
03/29 Away Charlotte +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
03/30 Away Atlanta +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
04/01 Away Miami -4.5 W by 18 +13.5
04/03 Away Milwaukee -17.5 W by 32 +14.5
04/05 Home Toronto -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
04/07 Home Charlotte -4.5 W by 11 +6.5
04/09 Away New York +4.5 L by 6 -1.5
04/10 Home New Orleans -17.5 W by 26 +8.5
04/12 Home Orlando +12.5 W by 5 +17.5
04/19 Home Philadelphia -12.5 W by 32 +19.5
04/21 Home Philadelphia -13.5 L by 14 -27.5
04/24 Away Philadelphia -8.5 W by 8 -0.5
04/26 Away Philadelphia -6.5 W by 32 +25.5
04/28 Home Philadelphia -10.5 L by 16 -26.5
04/30 Away Philadelphia -6.5 L by 13 -19.5
05/02 Home Philadelphia -3.5 L by 9 -12.5

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
10/24 Away Memphis +3.0 W by 32 +35.0
10/26 Home New York +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
10/28 Home Charlotte -6.5 W by 27 +20.5
10/30 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/03 Away LA Clippers +8.0 W by 1 +9.0
11/05 Away Denver +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/07 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 18 +10.5
11/08 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/10 Home Cleveland +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
11/12 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 14 -19.5
11/14 Away New York +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
11/17 Home New York -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/19 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
11/21 Away Chicago +2.5 W by 36 +38.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
11/24 Home Dallas -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
11/29 Home Detroit -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers -6.5 W by 17 +10.5
12/03 Away Dallas -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/05 Away Orlando +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
12/06 Home Sacramento -8.5 L by 16 -24.5
12/09 Away Orlando +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
12/15 Home Toronto -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
12/19 Away Boston +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
12/21 Away New York +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
12/23 Home Toronto -5.5 L by 21 -26.5
12/26 Away Atlanta +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
12/27 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 26 +19.5
12/29 Home Denver +1.5 W by 24 +25.5
01/01 Away Detroit +4.5 W by 6 +10.5
01/03 Home Minnesota +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/04 Home New Orleans -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
01/06 Away Minnesota +5.5 L by 28 -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana -6.5 L by 24 -30.5
01/11 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 12 +3.5
01/13 Home Phoenix -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/15 Home Boston +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City +11.5 W by 2 +13.5
01/19 Away Golden State +5.5 L by 23 -17.5
01/20 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
01/22 Away Portland +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
01/24 Away Utah -6.5 W by 31 +24.5
01/25 Away Phoenix +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/28 Home Orlando -3.5 L by 9 -12.5
01/29 Away Chicago -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
01/31 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
02/01 Home Chicago -5.5 W by 43 +37.5
02/03 Home Atlanta -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
02/06 Away Boston +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
02/08 Away Washington -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
02/09 Home Utah -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/11 Away New Orleans +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
02/20 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 31 +27.5
02/21 Home Memphis -11.5 W by 16 +4.5
02/24 Away Milwaukee -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/26 Away Philadelphia +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
02/28 Home Houston +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
03/03 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 26 +13.5
03/05 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 16 +3.5
03/06 Away Charlotte +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
03/08 Home Detroit +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/10 Home Washington -15.5 W by 21 +5.5
03/12 Home Milwaukee -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/14 Home Orlando -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
03/17 Away Charlotte +5.5 L by 30 -24.5
03/19 Home LA Lakers -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
03/21 Away Houston +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
03/23 Home San Antonio +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
03/25 Away Cleveland +2.5 W by 17 +19.5
03/27 Away Cleveland +5.5 L by 21 -15.5
03/29 Away Indiana -8.5 L by 17 -25.5
03/30 Home Philadelphia +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
04/01 Home Boston +4.5 L by 18 -13.5
04/04 Home Washington -17.5 W by 16 -1.5
04/07 Away Toronto +1.5 L by 26 -24.5
04/09 Away Toronto +3.5 L by 14 -10.5
04/10 Away Washington -15.5 W by 23 +7.5
04/12 Home Atlanta -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
04/14 Away Charlotte +6.5 L by 1 +5.5