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Boston at Milwaukee: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 11, 2025 8:00 pm - Milwaukee, WI
Odds: Boston by 9.5, Total Points: 223.5

Matchup Menu: BOS @ MIL

More Games From Dec 11, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS MIL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BOS MIL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 89.9 85.7
Field Goal % 46.7% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 43.4 42.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 46.6 43.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 38.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 17.0
Free Throw % 79.9% 72.6%
Ball Control BOS MIL
Rebounds 54.2 45.2
Rebounds - Defensive 39.9 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 9.5
Turnovers 9.9 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.1
Steals 6.7 4.8
Fouls 15.2 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS MIL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BOS MIL
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 41.1% 39.8%
Player Fouled 16.5% 15.5%
Turnover 10.1% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS MIL
Shot Blocked 3.7% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 19.3%