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Milwaukee at Golden State: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Jan 7, 2026 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 6.5, Total Points: 229.5

Matchup Menu: MIL @ GS

More Games From Jan 7, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 229.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 229.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Over 229.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MIL	GS
Season	39-43-0	49-35-0
vs Division	7-9-0	7-11-0
vs Conference	24-28-0	32-22-0
Streak	Ov 3	Un 1
Last 5	4-1-0	2-3-0
Last 10	7-3-0	4-6-0
Home	24-17-0	25-16-0
Away	15-26-0	24-19-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Milwaukee Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Washington	228.0	133-120	Over	+25.0
10/24	Away	Toronto	235.5	122-116	Over	+2.5
10/26	Away	Cleveland	234.0	113-118	Under	-3.0
10/28	Home	New York	229.5	121-111	Over	+2.5
10/30	Home	Golden State	228.5	120-110	Over	+1.5
11/01	Home	Sacramento	233.0	133-135	Over	+35.0
11/03	Away	Indiana	235.5	117-115	Under	-3.5
11/04	Away	Toronto	237.5	100-128	Under	-9.5
11/07	Home	Chicago	240.5	126-110	Under	-4.5
11/09	Home	Houston	232.5	115-122	Over	+4.5
11/10	Away	Dallas	229.5	116-114	Over	+0.5
11/12	Away	Charlotte	228.5	100-111	Under	-17.5
11/14	Home	Charlotte	237.5	147-134	Over	+43.5
11/15	Home	LA Lakers	229.5	95-119	Under	-15.5
11/17	Away	Cleveland	234.5	106-118	Under	-10.5
11/20	Home	Philadelphia	223.5	114-123	Over	+13.5
11/22	Home	Detroit	225.5	116-129	Over	+19.5
11/24	Home	Portland	230.5	103-115	Under	-12.5
11/26	Away	Miami	236.5	103-106	Under	-27.5
11/28	Away	New York	232.5	109-118	Under	-5.5
11/29	Home	Brooklyn	218.5	116-99	Under	-3.5
12/01	Away	Washington	232.5	126-129	Over	+22.5
12/03	Home	Detroit	228.5	113-109	Under	-6.5
12/05	Home	Philadelphia	221.5	101-116	Under	-4.5
12/06	Away	Detroit	223.5	112-124	Over	+12.5
12/11	Home	Boston	223.5	116-101	Under	-6.5
12/14	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	82-127	Under	-7.5
12/18	Home	Toronto	218.5	105-111	Under	-2.5
12/21	Away	Minnesota	226.5	100-103	Under	-23.5
12/23	Away	Indiana	217.5	111-94	Under	-12.5
12/26	Away	Memphis	227.5	104-125	Over	+1.5
12/27	Away	Chicago	234.5	112-103	Under	-19.5
12/29	Away	Charlotte	227.5	123-113	Over	+8.5
12/31	Home	Washington	234.5	113-114	Under	-7.5
01/02	Home	Charlotte	233.5	122-121	Over	+9.5
01/04	Away	Sacramento	227.5	115-98	Under	-14.5
01/07	Away	Golden State	229.5	113-120	Over	+3.5
01/09	Away	LA Lakers	228.5	105-101	Under	-22.5
01/11	Away	Denver	218.5	104-108	Under	-6.5
01/13	Home	Minnesota	229.5	106-139	Over	+15.5
01/15	Away	San Antonio	225.5	101-119	Under	-5.5
01/19	Away	Atlanta	232.5	112-110	Under	-10.5
01/21	Home	Okla City	224.5	102-122	Under	-0.5
01/23	Home	Denver	214.5	100-102	Under	-12.5
01/27	Away	Philadelphia	219.5	122-139	Over	+41.5
01/29	Away	Washington	223.5	99-109	Under	-15.5
02/01	Away	Boston	217.5	79-107	Under	-31.5
02/03	Home	Chicago	222.5	131-115	Over	+23.5
02/04	Home	New Orleans	222.5	141-137	Over	+55.5
02/06	Home	Indiana	223.5	105-99	Under	-19.5
02/09	Away	Orlando	220.5	99-118	Under	-3.5
02/11	Away	Orlando	220.5	116-108	Over	+3.5
02/12	Away	Okla City	214.5	110-93	Under	-11.5
02/20	Away	New Orleans	223.5	139-118	Over	+33.5
02/22	Home	Toronto	219.5	94-122	Under	-3.5
02/24	Home	Miami	228.5	128-117	Over	+16.5
02/25	Home	Cleveland	220.5	118-116	Over	+13.5
02/27	Home	New York	219.5	98-127	Over	+5.5
03/01	Away	Chicago	231.5	97-120	Under	-14.5
03/02	Home	Boston	216.5	81-108	Under	-27.5
03/04	Home	Atlanta	232.5	113-131	Over	+11.5
03/07	Home	Utah	231.5	113-99	Under	-19.5
03/08	Home	Orlando	217.5	91-130	Over	+3.5
03/10	Home	Phoenix	219.5	114-129	Over	+23.5
03/12	Away	Miami	234.5	105-112	Under	-17.5
03/14	Away	Atlanta	228.5	99-122	Under	-7.5
03/15	Home	Indiana	228.5	134-123	Over	+28.5
03/17	Home	Cleveland	226.5	116-123	Over	+12.5
03/19	Away	Utah	227.5	96-128	Under	-3.5
03/21	Away	Phoenix	218.5	108-105	Under	-5.5
03/23	Away	LA Clippers	221.5	96-129	Over	+3.5
03/25	Away	Portland	226.5	99-130	Over	+2.5
03/28	Home	San Antonio	226.5	95-127	Under	-4.5
03/29	Home	LA Clippers	219.5	113-127	Over	+20.5
03/31	Home	Dallas	229.5	123-99	Under	-7.5
04/01	Away	Houston	215.5	113-119	Over	+16.5
04/03	Home	Boston	217.5	101-133	Over	+16.5
04/05	Home	Memphis	228.5	131-115	Over	+17.5
04/07	Away	Brooklyn	219.5	90-96	Under	-33.5
04/08	Away	Detroit	223.5	111-137	Over	+24.5
04/10	Home	Brooklyn	218.5	125-108	Over	+14.5
04/12	Away	Philadelphia	224.5	106-126	Over	+7.5

Golden State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/21	Away	LA Lakers	227.0	119-109	Over	+1.0
10/23	Home	Denver	233.0	137-131	Over	+35.0
10/24	Away	Portland	228.5	119-139	Over	+29.5
10/27	Home	Memphis	240.0	131-118	Over	+9.0
10/28	Home	LA Clippers	225.5	98-79	Under	-48.5
10/30	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	110-120	Over	+1.5
11/01	Away	Indiana	230.0	109-114	Under	-7.0
11/04	Home	Phoenix	235.5	118-107	Under	-10.5
11/05	Away	Sacramento	224.5	116-121	Over	+12.5
11/07	Away	Denver	230.5	104-129	Over	+2.5
11/09	Home	Indiana	221.5	114-83	Under	-24.5
11/11	Away	Okla City	227.5	102-126	Over	+0.5
11/12	Away	San Antonio	232.5	125-120	Over	+12.5
11/14	Away	San Antonio	233.5	109-108	Under	-16.5
11/16	Away	New Orleans	226.5	124-106	Over	+3.5
11/18	Away	Orlando	223.5	113-121	Over	+10.5
11/19	Away	Miami	234.5	96-110	Under	-28.5
11/21	Home	Portland	236.5	123-127	Over	+13.5
11/24	Home	Utah	239.5	134-117	Over	+11.5
11/26	Home	Houston	224.5	100-104	Under	-20.5
11/29	Home	New Orleans	228.5	104-96	Under	-28.5
12/02	Home	Okla City	223.5	112-124	Over	+12.5
12/04	Away	Philadelphia	223.5	98-99	Under	-26.5
12/06	Away	Cleveland	230.5	99-94	Under	-37.5
12/07	Away	Chicago	229.5	123-91	Under	-15.5
12/12	Home	Minnesota	227.5	120-127	Over	+19.5
12/14	Away	Portland	237.5	131-136	Over	+29.5
12/18	Away	Phoenix	229.5	98-99	Under	-32.5
12/20	Home	Phoenix	226.5	119-116	Over	+8.5
12/22	Home	Orlando	227.5	120-97	Under	-10.5
12/25	Home	Dallas	229.5	126-116	Over	+12.5
12/28	Away	Toronto	227.5	127-141	Over	+40.5
12/29	Away	Brooklyn	226.5	120-107	Over	+0.5
12/31	Away	Charlotte	235.5	132-125	Over	+21.5
01/02	Home	Okla City	226.5	94-131	Under	-1.5
01/03	Home	Utah	248.5	123-114	Under	-11.5
01/05	Away	LA Clippers	221.5	102-103	Under	-16.5
01/07	Home	Milwaukee	229.5	120-113	Over	+3.5
01/09	Home	Sacramento	231.5	137-103	Over	+8.5
01/11	Home	Atlanta	236.5	111-124	Under	-1.5
01/13	Home	Portland	225.5	119-97	Under	-9.5
01/15	Home	New York	227.5	126-113	Over	+11.5
01/17	Home	Charlotte	236.5	136-116	Over	+15.5
01/19	Home	Miami	239.5	135-112	Over	+7.5
01/20	Home	Toronto	225.5	127-145	Over	+46.5
01/22	Away	Dallas	234.5	115-123	Over	+3.5
01/25	Away	Minnesota	237.5	111-85	Under	-41.5
01/26	Away	Minnesota	226.5	83-108	Under	-35.5
01/28	Away	Utah	241.5	140-124	Over	+22.5
01/30	Home	Detroit	225.5	124-131	Over	+29.5
02/03	Home	Philadelphia	223.5	94-113	Under	-16.5
02/05	Away	Phoenix	213.5	101-97	Under	-15.5
02/07	Away	LA Lakers	221.5	99-105	Under	-17.5
02/09	Home	Memphis	219.5	114-113	Over	+7.5
02/11	Home	San Antonio	220.5	113-126	Over	+18.5
02/19	Home	Boston	210.5	110-121	Over	+20.5
02/22	Home	Denver	228.5	128-117	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	New Orleans	228.5	109-113	Under	-6.5
02/25	Away	Memphis	226.5	133-112	Over	+18.5
02/28	Home	LA Lakers	226.5	101-129	Over	+3.5
03/02	Home	LA Clippers	216.5	101-114	Under	-1.5
03/05	Away	Houston	214.5	115-113	Over	+13.5
03/07	Away	Okla City	220.5	97-104	Under	-19.5
03/09	Away	Utah	225.0	116-119	Over	+10.0
03/10	Home	Chicago	226.5	124-130	Over	+27.5
03/13	Home	Minnesota	224.5	117-127	Over	+19.5
03/15	Away	New York	218.5	107-110	Under	-1.5
03/16	Away	Washington	234.5	125-117	Over	+7.5
03/18	Away	Boston	216.5	99-120	Over	+2.5
03/20	Away	Detroit	219.5	101-115	Under	-3.5
03/21	Away	Atlanta	227.5	110-126	Over	+8.5
03/23	Away	Dallas	230.5	137-131	Over	+37.5
03/25	Home	Brooklyn	218.5	109-106	Under	-3.5
03/27	Home	Washington	230.5	131-126	Over	+26.5
03/29	Away	Denver	237.5	93-116	Under	-28.5
04/01	Home	San Antonio	227.5	113-127	Over	+12.5
04/02	Home	Cleveland	229.5	111-118	Under	-0.5
04/05	Home	Houston	226.5	116-117	Over	+6.5
04/07	Home	Sacramento	233.5	110-105	Under	-18.5
04/09	Home	LA Lakers	222.5	103-119	Under	-0.5
04/10	Away	Sacramento	228.5	118-124	Over	+13.5
04/12	Away	LA Clippers	229.5	110-115	Under	-4.5
04/15	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	126-121	Over	+26.5
04/17	Away	Phoenix	219.5	96-111	Under	-12.5