Miami at Tampa Bay: Recap

Sunday May 17, 2026 12:15 pm - St. Petersburg, FL
Odds: Tampa Bay by 1.5, Total Points: 7.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Tampa Bay MIA 42.6%
TB 57.4%
Run Line Pick Confidence Value
Lay Off 0.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 7.5 Over 48.7%
Under 51.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -1.8%
TB -2.5%
Final Score Projection Actual
MIA 3.4 3
TB 4.0 6

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Win % - All 0.497 0.599
Win % - Close 0.467 0.590
Runs/Game 4.34 4.51
At Bats/Game 33.20 33.63
Hits/Game 8.20 8.75
Home Runs/Game 1.02 1.05
Doubles/Game 1.55 1.39
Triples/Game 0.21 0.15
RBIs/Game 4.14 4.29
Walks/Game 3.45 3.18
Strikeouts/Game 8.21 6.99
Stolen Bases/Game 1.02 0.99
Total Bases/Game 13.22 13.58
Batting Avg 0.247 0.260
Slugging % 0.398 0.404
On Base % 0.325 0.328
On Base + Slugging % 0.724 0.732
Hit Into Double Plays/Game 0.74 0.86

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Run Differential +8.0 +49.0
Errors/Game 0.63 0.60
Opp Runs/Game 4.29 4.17
Opp At Bats/Game 33.00 33.53
Opp Hits/Game 7.69 7.75
Opp Home Runs/Game 1.00 1.25
Opp Doubles/Game 1.43 1.49
Opp Triples/Game 0.15 0.11
Opp RBIs/Game 4.02 3.96
Opp Walks/Game 3.40 2.51
Opp Strikeouts/Game 8.10 8.15
Opp Stolen Bases/Game 0.82 0.82
Opp Total Bases/Game 12.43 13.21
Opp Batting Avg 0.233 0.231
Opp Slugging % 0.377 0.394
Opp On Base % 0.312 0.289
Opp On Base + Slugging % 0.688 0.683
Double Plays/Game 0.70 0.63