Miami at Tampa Bay: Recap

Sunday May 17, 2026 12:15 pm - St. Petersburg, FL
Odds: Tampa Bay by 1.5, Total Points: 7.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Tampa Bay MIA 42.6%
TB 57.4%
Run Line Pick Confidence Value
Lay Off 0.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 7.5 Over 48.7%
Under 51.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -1.8%
TB -2.5%
Final Score Projection Actual
MIA 3.4 3
TB 4.0 6

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Win % - All 0.504 0.593
Win % - Close 0.475 0.583
Runs/Game 4.36 4.49
At Bats/Game 33.23 33.58
Hits/Game 8.24 8.71
Home Runs/Game 1.02 1.03
Doubles/Game 1.54 1.39
Triples/Game 0.21 0.15
RBIs/Game 4.16 4.26
Walks/Game 3.43 3.20
Strikeouts/Game 8.23 6.97
Stolen Bases/Game 1.04 0.98
Total Bases/Game 13.27 13.49
Batting Avg 0.248 0.260
Slugging % 0.399 0.402
On Base % 0.326 0.328
On Base + Slugging % 0.725 0.730
Hit Into Double Plays/Game 0.74 0.86

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Run Differential +14.0 +45.0
Errors/Game 0.64 0.60
Opp Runs/Game 4.26 4.16
Opp At Bats/Game 32.97 33.53
Opp Hits/Game 7.64 7.76
Opp Home Runs/Game 1.00 1.24
Opp Doubles/Game 1.43 1.51
Opp Triples/Game 0.16 0.11
Opp RBIs/Game 4.00 3.96
Opp Walks/Game 3.36 2.51
Opp Strikeouts/Game 8.10 8.17
Opp Stolen Bases/Game 0.82 0.83
Opp Total Bases/Game 12.38 13.21
Opp Batting Avg 0.232 0.232
Opp Slugging % 0.376 0.394
Opp On Base % 0.310 0.290
Opp On Base + Slugging % 0.686 0.684
Double Plays/Game 0.70 0.63