Miami at Tampa Bay: Recap

Saturday May 16, 2026 4:10 pm - St. Petersburg, FL
Odds: Tampa Bay by 1.5, Total Points: 8

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Tampa Bay MIA 44.8%
TB 55.2%
Run Line Pick Confidence Value
Lay Off 0.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 8.0 Over 49.2%
Under 50.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.0%
TB -2.4%
Final Score Projection Actual
MIA 3.8 10
TB 4.2 5

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Win % - All 0.505 0.589
Win % - Close 0.511 0.556
Runs/Game 4.41 4.47
At Bats/Game 33.22 33.35
Hits/Game 8.33 8.62
Home Runs/Game 1.03 1.00
Doubles/Game 1.65 1.46
Triples/Game 0.23 0.16
RBIs/Game 4.24 4.24
Walks/Game 3.35 3.34
Strikeouts/Game 8.17 7.22
Stolen Bases/Game 1.10 0.94
Total Bases/Game 13.52 13.39
Batting Avg 0.251 0.258
Slugging % 0.407 0.402
On Base % 0.327 0.330
On Base + Slugging % 0.734 0.732
Hit Into Double Plays/Game 0.73 0.90

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Run Differential +6.0 +42.0
Errors/Game 0.64 0.59
Opp Runs/Game 4.36 4.07
Opp At Bats/Game 32.92 33.24
Opp Hits/Game 7.62 7.64
Opp Home Runs/Game 1.01 1.21
Opp Doubles/Game 1.44 1.55
Opp Triples/Game 0.16 0.08
Opp RBIs/Game 4.15 3.90
Opp Walks/Game 3.40 2.63
Opp Strikeouts/Game 8.35 8.05
Opp Stolen Bases/Game 0.92 0.87
Opp Total Bases/Game 12.40 13.00
Opp Batting Avg 0.232 0.230
Opp Slugging % 0.377 0.391
Opp On Base % 0.312 0.291
Opp On Base + Slugging % 0.689 0.682
Double Plays/Game 0.76 0.66