Miami at Tampa Bay: Recap

Saturday May 16, 2026 4:10 pm - St. Petersburg, FL
Odds: Tampa Bay by 1.5, Total Points: 8

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Tampa Bay MIA 44.8%
TB 55.2%
Run Line Pick Confidence Value
Lay Off 0.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 8.0 Over 49.2%
Under 50.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.0%
TB -2.4%
Final Score Projection Actual
MIA 3.8 10
TB 4.2 5

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Win % - All 0.500 0.600
Win % - Close 0.475 0.586
Runs/Game 4.32 4.53
At Bats/Game 33.21 33.56
Hits/Game 8.24 8.75
Home Runs/Game 1.00 1.04
Doubles/Game 1.56 1.41
Triples/Game 0.21 0.15
RBIs/Game 4.13 4.29
Walks/Game 3.45 3.21
Strikeouts/Game 8.20 6.99
Stolen Bases/Game 1.04 0.97
Total Bases/Game 13.21 13.56
Batting Avg 0.248 0.261
Slugging % 0.398 0.404
On Base % 0.326 0.329
On Base + Slugging % 0.724 0.734
Hit Into Double Plays/Game 0.74 0.87

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Run Differential +11.0 +53.0
Errors/Game 0.63 0.59
Opp Runs/Game 4.24 4.13
Opp At Bats/Game 32.99 33.50
Opp Hits/Game 7.60 7.74
Opp Home Runs/Game 0.99 1.26
Opp Doubles/Game 1.42 1.51
Opp Triples/Game 0.15 0.10
Opp RBIs/Game 3.98 3.94
Opp Walks/Game 3.35 2.50
Opp Strikeouts/Game 8.16 8.14
Opp Stolen Bases/Game 0.80 0.83
Opp Total Bases/Game 12.29 13.24
Opp Batting Avg 0.230 0.231
Opp Slugging % 0.372 0.395
Opp On Base % 0.309 0.289
Opp On Base + Slugging % 0.682 0.684
Double Plays/Game 0.70 0.64