Miami at Tampa Bay: Recap

Saturday May 16, 2026 4:10 pm - St. Petersburg, FL
Odds: Tampa Bay by 1.5, Total Points: 8

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Tampa Bay MIA 44.8%
TB 55.2%
Run Line Pick Confidence Value
Lay Off 0.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 8.0 Over 49.2%
Under 50.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.0%
TB -2.4%
Final Score Projection Actual
MIA 3.8 10
TB 4.2 5

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Win % - All 0.494 0.608
Win % - Close 0.478 0.588
Runs/Game 4.44 4.58
At Bats/Game 33.38 33.57
Hits/Game 8.32 8.71
Home Runs/Game 1.03 1.06
Doubles/Game 1.53 1.41
Triples/Game 0.23 0.14
RBIs/Game 4.24 4.35
Walks/Game 3.41 3.22
Strikeouts/Game 8.29 6.97
Stolen Bases/Game 1.00 1.03
Total Bases/Game 13.38 13.59
Batting Avg 0.249 0.260
Slugging % 0.401 0.405
On Base % 0.326 0.329
On Base + Slugging % 0.727 0.734
Hit Into Double Plays/Game 0.73 0.84

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Run Differential +2.0 +78.0
Errors/Game 0.62 0.58
Opp Runs/Game 4.42 4.07
Opp At Bats/Game 33.19 33.44
Opp Hits/Game 7.84 7.65
Opp Home Runs/Game 1.05 1.25
Opp Doubles/Game 1.45 1.44
Opp Triples/Game 0.15 0.10
Opp RBIs/Game 4.15 3.88
Opp Walks/Game 3.48 2.49
Opp Strikeouts/Game 8.10 8.12
Opp Stolen Bases/Game 0.83 0.80
Opp Total Bases/Game 12.75 13.05
Opp Batting Avg 0.236 0.229
Opp Slugging % 0.384 0.390
Opp On Base % 0.316 0.287
Opp On Base + Slugging % 0.700 0.677
Double Plays/Game 0.70 0.62