Miami at Tampa Bay: Recap

Saturday May 16, 2026 4:10 pm - St. Petersburg, FL
Odds: Tampa Bay by 1.5, Total Points: 8

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Tampa Bay MIA 44.8%
TB 55.2%
Run Line Pick Confidence Value
Lay Off 0.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 8.0 Over 49.2%
Under 50.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.0%
TB -2.4%
Final Score Projection Actual
MIA 3.8 10
TB 4.2 5

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Win % - All 0.504 0.597
Win % - Close 0.483 0.579
Runs/Game 4.33 4.51
At Bats/Game 33.19 33.56
Hits/Game 8.25 8.73
Home Runs/Game 1.00 1.03
Doubles/Game 1.56 1.41
Triples/Game 0.21 0.15
RBIs/Game 4.13 4.28
Walks/Game 3.44 3.22
Strikeouts/Game 8.13 6.99
Stolen Bases/Game 1.04 0.98
Total Bases/Game 13.23 13.53
Batting Avg 0.249 0.260
Slugging % 0.399 0.403
On Base % 0.326 0.329
On Base + Slugging % 0.725 0.732
Hit Into Double Plays/Game 0.74 0.87

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Run Differential +12.0 +52.0
Errors/Game 0.63 0.60
Opp Runs/Game 4.24 4.12
Opp At Bats/Game 32.96 33.47
Opp Hits/Game 7.59 7.72
Opp Home Runs/Game 0.99 1.26
Opp Doubles/Game 1.41 1.51
Opp Triples/Game 0.16 0.10
Opp RBIs/Game 3.99 3.93
Opp Walks/Game 3.36 2.49
Opp Strikeouts/Game 8.17 8.14
Opp Stolen Bases/Game 0.81 0.81
Opp Total Bases/Game 12.30 13.23
Opp Batting Avg 0.230 0.231
Opp Slugging % 0.373 0.395
Opp On Base % 0.309 0.289
Opp On Base + Slugging % 0.683 0.684
Double Plays/Game 0.70 0.64