Miami at Sacramento: Recap

Saturday Jul 4, 2026 9:40 pm - West Sacramento, CA
Odds: Miami by 1.5, Total Points: 11.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 56.0%
ATH 44.0%
Run Line Pick Confidence Value
Lay Off 0.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 11.5 Over 49.1%
Under 50.9%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.4%
ATH -1.9%
Final Score Projection Actual
MIA 5.9 7
ATH 5.5 2

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATH
Win % - All 0.512 0.388
Win % - Close 0.500 0.451
Runs/Game 4.41 4.33
At Bats/Game 33.21 33.97
Hits/Game 8.32 8.26
Home Runs/Game 1.02 1.18
Doubles/Game 1.63 1.55
Triples/Game 0.22 0.09
RBIs/Game 4.23 4.15
Walks/Game 3.38 3.27
Strikeouts/Game 8.10 8.66
Stolen Bases/Game 1.03 0.55
Total Bases/Game 13.45 13.54
Batting Avg 0.251 0.243
Slugging % 0.405 0.399
On Base % 0.327 0.316
On Base + Slugging % 0.732 0.715
Hit Into Double Plays/Game 0.72 0.83

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATH
Run Differential +23.0 -180.0
Errors/Game 0.66 0.46
Opp Runs/Game 4.22 5.82
Opp At Bats/Game 32.89 34.64
Opp Hits/Game 7.56 9.36
Opp Home Runs/Game 0.99 1.58
Opp Doubles/Game 1.44 1.83
Opp Triples/Game 0.15 0.16
Opp RBIs/Game 3.99 5.64
Opp Walks/Game 3.31 3.98
Opp Strikeouts/Game 8.36 8.46
Opp Stolen Bases/Game 0.86 0.69
Opp Total Bases/Game 12.27 16.24
Opp Batting Avg 0.230 0.270
Opp Slugging % 0.373 0.469
Opp On Base % 0.308 0.350
Opp On Base + Slugging % 0.681 0.819
Double Plays/Game 0.74 0.69