Miami at Sacramento: Recap

Saturday Jul 4, 2026 9:40 pm - West Sacramento, CA
Odds: Miami by 1.5, Total Points: 11.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 56.0%
ATH 44.0%
Run Line Pick Confidence Value
Lay Off 0.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 11.5 Over 49.1%
Under 50.9%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.4%
ATH -1.9%
Final Score Projection Actual
MIA 5.9 7
ATH 5.5 2

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATH
Win % - All 0.497 0.400
Win % - Close 0.467 0.452
Runs/Game 4.38 4.39
At Bats/Game 33.19 33.97
Hits/Game 8.20 8.36
Home Runs/Game 1.03 1.21
Doubles/Game 1.52 1.54
Triples/Game 0.21 0.10
RBIs/Game 4.18 4.21
Walks/Game 3.46 3.29
Strikeouts/Game 8.21 8.59
Stolen Bases/Game 1.03 0.57
Total Bases/Game 13.23 13.71
Batting Avg 0.247 0.246
Slugging % 0.399 0.404
On Base % 0.326 0.319
On Base + Slugging % 0.725 0.723
Hit Into Double Plays/Game 0.74 0.87

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATH
Run Differential +10.0 -187.0
Errors/Game 0.63 0.48
Opp Runs/Game 4.31 5.68
Opp At Bats/Game 33.05 34.45
Opp Hits/Game 7.74 9.25
Opp Home Runs/Game 0.99 1.48
Opp Doubles/Game 1.46 1.83
Opp Triples/Game 0.15 0.15
Opp RBIs/Game 4.03 5.51
Opp Walks/Game 3.41 3.95
Opp Strikeouts/Game 8.09 8.44
Opp Stolen Bases/Game 0.82 0.66
Opp Total Bases/Game 12.48 15.83
Opp Batting Avg 0.234 0.268
Opp Slugging % 0.378 0.460
Opp On Base % 0.313 0.348
Opp On Base + Slugging % 0.690 0.808
Double Plays/Game 0.71 0.70