Mississippi St at Arkansas: Point Spread Line Movement

Saturday Nov 1, 2025 4:00 pm - Fayetteville, AR
Odds: Arkansas by 4.5, Total Points: 66.5

Matchup Menu: MSST @ ARK

More Games From Week 10
ARK Spread MSST Spread
ARK -4.5 Open -3.5 High -4.5
Last -3.5 Low -3.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 304 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Arkansas won the game 196 times (64.5%).
  • The team like Mississippi State won the game 108 times (35.5%).
  • The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 156-144-4 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 college football season there have been 408 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 212-191-5 (52.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -- -4.5 --
Open -- -3.5 --
History
10/31 11:55 PM -- -4.5 --
10/28 09:55 AM -- -4.5 --
10/27 03:35 PM -- -4.5 --
10/26 06:15 PM -- -4.5 --
10/26 03:35 PM -- -3.5 --