Mississippi St at Southern Miss: Recap
Saturday Aug 30, 2025 12:00 pm -
Hattiesburg, MS
Odds:
Mississippi State by 14,
Total Points:
59.5
Matchup Menu: MSST @ USM
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi St | MSST | 85.2% | ||
| USM | 14.8% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST -14.0 | MSST | 53.0% | ||
| USM | 47.0% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 59.5 | Over | 50.3% | ||
| Under | 49.7% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST -560 | MSST | +0.3% | ||
| USM | -4.4% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSST | 37.5 | 38 | 36.8 | 34 |
| USM | 22.3 | 23 | 22.8 | 17 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MSST | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 8.4 | 3.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.676 | 0.129 |
| Rush Play % | 56.08% | 40.32% |
| Pass Play % | 43.92% | 59.68% |
| Completion % | 67.19% | 66.67% |
| 3D Conv % | 52.38% | 38.46% |
| RZ Scoring % | 90.00% | 100.00% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MSST | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.2 | 7.2 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.193 | 0.506 |
| Opp Completion % | 61.84% | 60.61% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 24.14% | 46.67% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 50.00% | 60.00% |