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We have opening and closing point spreads for 841 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 406-426-9 and covered the spread 48.8% of the time.
| Movement | # Games | Opening Fav Record | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -7 | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% |
| -6.5 | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% |
| -6 | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% |
| -5.5 | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% |
| -5 | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| -4.5 | 9 | 4-5-0 | 44.4% |
| -4 | 16 | 6-10-0 | 37.5% |
| -3.5 | 10 | 8-2-0 | 80.0% |
| -3 | 25 | 14-11-0 | 56.0% |
| -2.5 | 14 | 5-9-0 | 35.7% |
| -2 | 70 | 34-36-0 | 48.6% |
| -1.5 | 30 | 17-12-1 | 58.6% |
| -1 | 96 | 41-55-0 | 42.7% |
| -0.5 | 46 | 21-25-0 | 45.7% |
| 0 | 287 | 140-144-3 | 49.3% |
| 0.5 | 30 | 15-13-2 | 53.6% |
| 1 | 67 | 30-36-1 | 45.5% |
| 1.5 | 18 | 8-9-1 | 47.1% |
| 2 | 36 | 20-15-1 | 57.1% |
| 2.5 | 7 | 2-5-0 | 28.6% |
| 3 | 32 | 15-17-0 | 46.9% |
| 3.5 | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% |
| 4 | 13 | 9-4-0 | 69.2% |
| 4.5 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% |
| 5 | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% |
| 5.5 | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% |
| 6 | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% |
| 6.5 | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% |
| 7 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% |
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