Dallas at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Monday Aug 17, 2026 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: DAL @ GSV

More Games From Aug 17, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL GSV
Points 80.4 82.6
Total Points   163.0
Points From 2-Pointers 43.0 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 28.6
Points From Free Throws 13.9 14.5
Shooting DAL GSV
Field Goals Made 29.3 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 68.3 69.6
Field Goal % 43.0% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 45.5 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 13.9 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 18.6
Free Throw % 80.1% 77.9%
Ball Control DAL GSV
Rebounds 41.5 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 31.9 30.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.5
Turnovers 10.9 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.7
Steals 4.7 5.1
Fouls 17.0 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL GSV
Total Possessions 79.9
Effective Scoring Chances 78.6 80.7
% of Possessions with DAL GSV
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 30.4%
Player Fouled 20.7% 21.3%
Turnover 13.7% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL GSV
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 24.7%