Dallas at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jun 17, 2026 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 3.5, Total Points: 164.5

Matchup Menu: DAL @ GSV

More Games From Jun 17, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL GSV
Points 79.5 82.5
Total Points   162.1
Points From 2-Pointers 42.1 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 29.0
Points From Free Throws 14.7 14.3
Shooting DAL GSV
Field Goals Made 28.6 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 66.1 69.9
Field Goal % 43.3% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 43.0 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 29.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 14.7 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 18.2
Free Throw % 80.2% 78.7%
Ball Control DAL GSV
Rebounds 40.9 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 31.7 29.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.8
Turnovers 11.6 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.2
Steals 4.9 5.8
Fouls 16.6 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL GSV
Total Possessions 79.6
Effective Scoring Chances 77.2 80.8
% of Possessions with DAL GSV
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 31.8%
Player Fouled 20.8% 20.8%
Turnover 14.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL GSV
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 25.4%