Dallas at Seattle: Box Score Simulation

Monday Jun 22, 2026 10:00 pm - Seattle, WA
Odds: Dallas by 9.5, Total Points: 170.5

Matchup Menu: DAL @ SEA

More Games From Jun 22, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL SEA
Points 88.2 83.3
Total Points   171.5
Points From 2-Pointers 47.9 45.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 23.8
Points From Free Throws 16.3 14.2
Shooting DAL SEA
Field Goals Made 31.9 30.6
Field Goals Attempted 72.8 71.4
Field Goal % 43.9% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 24.0 22.6
2 Pointers Attempted 47.1 46.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 16.3 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 18.0
Free Throw % 80.7% 78.9%
Ball Control DAL SEA
Rebounds 44.0 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 32.6 31.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 10.0
Turnovers 10.8 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.6
Steals 6.9 5.4
Fouls 15.0 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL SEA
Total Possessions 84.4
Effective Scoring Chances 85.1 82.2
% of Possessions with DAL SEA
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 26.2%
Player Fouled 19.2% 17.7%
Turnover 12.8% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL SEA
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 23.4%