Dallas at Los Angeles: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Aug 20, 2025 10:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Los Angeles by 8.5, Total Points: 182.5

Matchup Menu: DAL @ LAS

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NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL LAS
Points 93.8 84.9
Total Points   178.8
Points From 2-Pointers 54.9 47.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 24.0
Points From Free Throws 13.8 13.9
Shooting DAL LAS
Field Goals Made 35.8 31.5
Field Goals Attempted 72.6 69.4
Field Goal % 49.4% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 48.0 44.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 13.8 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 18.0
Free Throw % 80.0% 76.9%
Ball Control DAL LAS
Rebounds 42.2 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 31.4 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 8.4
Turnovers 11.5 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.6
Steals 7.4 5.8
Fouls 17.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL LAS
Total Possessions 84.1
Effective Scoring Chances 83.4 80.1
% of Possessions with DAL LAS
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 26.6%
Player Fouled 19.4% 21.2%
Turnover 13.6% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL LAS
Shot Blocked 3.9% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 21.2%