Dallas at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday May 20, 2026 9:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Dallas by 2.5, Total Points: 169.5

Matchup Menu: DAL @ CHI

More Games From May 20, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL CHI
Points 91.3 87.1
Total Points   178.3
Points From 2-Pointers 52.5 49.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 20.2
Points From Free Throws 16.8 17.4
Shooting DAL CHI
Field Goals Made 33.6 31.5
Field Goals Attempted 73.9 70.0
Field Goal % 45.5% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 26.2 24.7
2 Pointers Attempted 50.8 49.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 16.8 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 22.7
Free Throw % 79.7% 76.6%
Ball Control DAL CHI
Rebounds 44.3 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 32.8 30.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 8.2
Turnovers 10.5 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.9
Steals 5.7 4.9
Fouls 17.8 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL CHI
Total Possessions 85.5
Effective Scoring Chances 86.5 82.8
% of Possessions with DAL CHI
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 51.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 21.6%
Player Fouled 20.5% 20.8%
Turnover 12.3% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL CHI
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 20.0%