Dallas at Washington: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Aug 5, 2026 7:30 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Dallas by 2.5, Total Points: 167.5

Matchup Menu: DAL @ WAS

More Games From Aug 5, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL WAS
Points 85.0 82.4
Total Points   167.5
Points From 2-Pointers 47.9 47.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 17.8
Points From Free Throws 14.0 17.3
Shooting DAL WAS
Field Goals Made 31.7 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 69.5 66.6
Field Goal % 45.6% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 23.9 23.7
2 Pointers Attempted 46.8 48.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 14.0 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 23.8
Free Throw % 80.0% 72.6%
Ball Control DAL WAS
Rebounds 36.6 43.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 31.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 11.9
Turnovers 9.9 12.5
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.1
Steals 6.8 4.0
Fouls 19.1 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL WAS
Total Possessions 81.5
Effective Scoring Chances 79.8 80.9
% of Possessions with DAL WAS
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 19.5%
Player Fouled 20.3% 23.4%
Turnover 12.2% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL WAS
Shot Blocked 4.7% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 29.6%