Dallas at Washington: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jun 22, 2025 3:00 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Washington by 5.5, Total Points: 167

Matchup Menu: DAL @ WAS

More Games From Jun 22, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL WAS
Points 84.6 83.6
Total Points   168.2
Points From 2-Pointers 47.7 48.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 18.2
Points From Free Throws 14.2 17.3
Shooting DAL WAS
Field Goals Made 31.4 30.1
Field Goals Attempted 70.0 67.7
Field Goal % 44.9% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 23.9 24.0
2 Pointers Attempted 47.2 48.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 14.2 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 23.9
Free Throw % 79.1% 72.5%
Ball Control DAL WAS
Rebounds 37.4 43.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 12.0
Turnovers 10.0 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.4 3.4
Steals 6.6 4.1
Fouls 18.7 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL WAS
Total Possessions 81.9
Effective Scoring Chances 80.5 81.8
% of Possessions with DAL WAS
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 19.6%
Player Fouled 20.2% 22.8%
Turnover 12.2% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL WAS
Shot Blocked 5.1% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 29.5%