Dallas at New York: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Jul 7, 2026 8:00 pm - Brooklyn, NY
Odds: New York by 4.5, Total Points: 175.5

Matchup Menu: DAL @ NYL

More Games From Jul 7, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL NYL
Points 89.7 88.0
Total Points   177.8
Points From 2-Pointers 49.5 43.3
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 28.3
Points From Free Throws 13.4 16.4
Shooting DAL NYL
Field Goals Made 33.7 31.1
Field Goals Attempted 72.7 68.8
Field Goal % 46.4% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 24.8 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 47.9 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 28.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 13.4 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 19.3
Free Throw % 80.1% 85.1%
Ball Control DAL NYL
Rebounds 38.4 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 29.4 31.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 9.5
Turnovers 9.4 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.3
Steals 5.8 4.5
Fouls 17.3 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL NYL
Total Possessions 82.9
Effective Scoring Chances 82.5 80.4
% of Possessions with DAL NYL
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 30.1%
Player Fouled 19.0% 20.9%
Turnover 11.4% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL NYL
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 24.5%