Dallas at Portland: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jun 13, 2026 8:30 pm - Portland, OR
Odds: Dallas by 3.5, Total Points: 167.5

Matchup Menu: DAL @ PDX

More Games From Jun 13, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL PDX
Points 93.7 87.2
Total Points   180.8
Points From 2-Pointers 51.9 43.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 28.9
Points From Free Throws 16.1 14.4
Shooting DAL PDX
Field Goals Made 34.5 31.6
Field Goals Attempted 70.5 67.6
Field Goal % 49.0% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 26.0 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 45.5 40.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 16.1 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 17.6
Free Throw % 79.8% 81.8%
Ball Control DAL PDX
Rebounds 40.5 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 29.5 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.0
Turnovers 11.0 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.9
Steals 6.8 5.2
Fouls 16.3 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL PDX
Total Possessions 82.9
Effective Scoring Chances 82.9 78.0
% of Possessions with DAL PDX
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 29.5%
Player Fouled 21.6% 19.6%
Turnover 13.2% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL PDX
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 21.2%