Golden State at Connecticut: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Aug 26, 2026 7:00 pm - Uncasville, CT
Odds: Golden State by 14.5, Total Points: 152.5

Matchup Menu: GSV @ CON

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NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSV CON
Points 85.4 70.1
Total Points   155.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 30.2 17.2
Points From Free Throws 17.2 15.7
Shooting GSV CON
Field Goals Made 29.1 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 65.8 63.1
Field Goal % 44.2% 38.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 43.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 43.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 17.2 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 21.9
Free Throw % 78.7% 71.6%
Ball Control GSV CON
Rebounds 41.9 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.3 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 10.6
Turnovers 11.4 13.9
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.9
Steals 7.4 5.8
Fouls 17.8 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: Connecticut

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSV CON
Total Possessions 79.8
Effective Scoring Chances 78.9 76.5
% of Possessions with GSV CON
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 21.6%
Player Fouled 24.4% 22.3%
Turnover 14.3% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSV CON
Shot Blocked 6.4% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 25.3%