Golden State at Connecticut: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jul 10, 2026 7:30 pm - Uncasville, CT
Odds: Golden State by 5.5, Total Points: 153.5

Matchup Menu: GSV @ CON

More Games From Jul 10, 2026

Box Score Projection

Scoring	GSV	CON
Points	84.4	72.1
Total Points		156.4
Points From 2-Pointers	35.8	40.6
Points From 3-Pointers	30.4	16.0
Points From Free Throws	18.2	15.5

Shooting	GSV	CON
Field Goals Made	28.0	25.6
Field Goals Attempted	65.4	63.7
Field Goal %	42.8%	40.2%
2 Pointers Made	17.9	20.3
2 Pointers Attempted	37.8	46.2
2 Point Shooting %	47.4%	44.0%
3 Pointers Made	10.1	5.3
3 Pointers Attempted	27.7	17.6
3 Point Shooting %	36.6%	30.3%
Free Throws Made	18.2	15.5
Free Throws Attempted	23.3	22.2
Free Throw %	77.9%	69.7%

Ball Control	GSV	CON
Rebounds	41.1	40.3
Rebounds - Defensive	30.3	29.1
Rebounds - Offensive	10.9	11.3
Turnovers	11.7	14.1
Blocked Shots	4.8	4.5
Steals	7.4	6.1
Fouls	17.9	20.5

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	GSV	CON
Total Possessions	80.2
Effective Scoring Chances	79.3	77.3

% of Possessions with	GSV	CON
2 Point Attempt	40.7%	49.4%
3 Point Attempt	29.8%	18.8%
Player Fouled	25.6%	22.3%
Turnover	14.6%	17.6%
Opponent Steal	7.6%	9.2%

Odds Per Shot Taken	GSV	CON
Shot Blocked	7.3%	7.5%
Offensive Rebound	27.2%	27.1%