Golden State at Seattle: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jun 12, 2026 10:00 pm - Seattle, WA
Odds: Golden State by 9.5, Total Points: 157.5

Matchup Menu: GSV @ SEA

More Games From Jun 12, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSV SEA
Points 83.5 73.4
Total Points   157.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 31.8 24.6
Points From Free Throws 16.5 15.0
Shooting GSV SEA
Field Goals Made 28.2 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 71.1 65.4
Field Goal % 39.7% 38.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 30.7%
Free Throws Made 16.5 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 18.9
Free Throw % 78.3% 79.2%
Ball Control GSV SEA
Rebounds 45.5 41.6
Rebounds - Defensive 32.1 31.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 9.9
Turnovers 10.5 14.1
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.8
Steals 8.3 5.4
Fouls 15.4 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSV SEA
Total Possessions 81.2
Effective Scoring Chances 84.1 77.1
% of Possessions with GSV SEA
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 28.8%
Player Fouled 20.7% 18.9%
Turnover 13.0% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSV SEA
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 23.7%