Golden State at Los Angeles: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Aug 9, 2026 7:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Golden State by 6.5, Total Points: 169.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSV LAS
Points 88.8 75.8
Total Points   164.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.0 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 34.2 24.0
Points From Free Throws 13.6 14.8
Shooting GSV LAS
Field Goals Made 31.9 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 71.5 62.7
Field Goal % 44.6% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 13.6 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 19.4
Free Throw % 78.3% 76.3%
Ball Control GSV LAS
Rebounds 42.9 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 30.2 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 8.2
Turnovers 11.0 14.7
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.7
Steals 8.8 5.4
Fouls 18.7 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSV LAS
Total Possessions 80.9
Effective Scoring Chances 82.6 74.4
% of Possessions with GSV LAS
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.9% 27.9%
Player Fouled 20.7% 23.1%
Turnover 13.5% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSV LAS
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 21.3%