Golden State at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Friday Aug 21, 2026 7:30 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Golden State by 6.5, Total Points: 163.5

Matchup Menu: GSV @ CHI

More Games From Aug 21, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSV CHI
Points 86.3 76.8
Total Points   163.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 28.6 21.5
Points From Free Throws 17.4 17.5
Shooting GSV CHI
Field Goals Made 29.7 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 70.2 64.5
Field Goal % 42.3% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 41.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 29.1 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 17.4 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 22.8
Free Throw % 78.7% 76.8%
Ball Control GSV CHI
Rebounds 44.3 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 32.2 30.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 8.7
Turnovers 10.4 12.8
Blocked Shots 5.2 3.8
Steals 7.1 5.1
Fouls 17.3 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSV CHI
Total Possessions 81.8
Effective Scoring Chances 83.5 77.7
% of Possessions with GSV CHI
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 24.9%
Player Fouled 22.3% 21.1%
Turnover 12.7% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSV CHI
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 21.3%