Golden State at Washington: Box Score Simulation

Monday Jul 6, 2026 7:30 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Golden State by 7.5, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: GSV @ WAS

More Games From Jul 6, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSV WAS
Points 79.3 74.1
Total Points   153.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 31.1 17.5
Points From Free Throws 14.4 17.8
Shooting GSV WAS
Field Goals Made 27.3 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 67.5 60.0
Field Goal % 40.4% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 14.4 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 24.6
Free Throw % 78.7% 72.4%
Ball Control GSV WAS
Rebounds 36.3 44.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 32.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 11.5
Turnovers 9.6 14.8
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.2
Steals 8.1 4.1
Fouls 19.9 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSV WAS
Total Possessions 78.5
Effective Scoring Chances 78.5 75.3
% of Possessions with GSV WAS
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 34.8% 20.3%
Player Fouled 22.3% 25.4%
Turnover 12.2% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSV WAS
Shot Blocked 5.4% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 30.1%