Golden State at Minnesota: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jun 4, 2026 9:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 3.5, Total Points: 168.5

Matchup Menu: GSV @ MIN

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	GSV	MIN
Points	82.2	82.2
Total Points		164.4
Points From 2-Pointers	33.8	39.8
Points From 3-Pointers	34.8	27.9
Points From Free Throws	13.6	14.5

Shooting	GSV	MIN
Field Goals Made	28.5	29.2
Field Goals Attempted	70.3	66.1
Field Goal %	40.5%	44.2%
2 Pointers Made	16.9	19.9
2 Pointers Attempted	36.5	41.8
2 Point Shooting %	46.3%	47.6%
3 Pointers Made	11.6	9.3
3 Pointers Attempted	33.8	24.3
3 Point Shooting %	34.3%	38.4%
Free Throws Made	13.6	14.5
Free Throws Attempted	17.4	17.8
Free Throw %	78.3%	81.5%

Ball Control	GSV	MIN
Rebounds	41.3	40.6
Rebounds - Defensive	28.2	30.4
Rebounds - Offensive	13.1	10.2
Turnovers	11.4	12.5
Blocked Shots	3.3	4.0
Steals	6.8	6.0
Fouls	14.4	15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	GSV	MIN
Total Possessions	79.4
Effective Scoring Chances	81.1	77.1

% of Possessions with	GSV	MIN
2 Point Attempt	38.8%	46.0%
3 Point Attempt	35.9%	26.7%
Player Fouled	19.6%	18.1%
Turnover	14.3%	15.7%
Opponent Steal	7.5%	8.6%

Odds Per Shot Taken	GSV	MIN
Shot Blocked	6.2%	4.8%
Offensive Rebound	30.1%	26.6%