Golden State at Las Vegas: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jun 6, 2026 3:00 pm - Paradise, NV
Odds: Las Vegas by 3.5, Total Points: 167.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSV LVA
Points 81.8 82.9
Total Points   164.6
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 32.5 24.0
Points From Free Throws 15.4 16.3
Shooting GSV LVA
Field Goals Made 27.7 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 70.1 64.2
Field Goal % 39.5% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 42.5% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 30.4 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 15.4 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 20.5
Free Throw % 77.9% 79.5%
Ball Control GSV LVA
Rebounds 40.7 40.8
Rebounds - Defensive 29.3 32.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 7.9
Turnovers 10.0 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.4
Steals 6.7 5.3
Fouls 17.7 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSV LVA
Total Possessions 80.3
Effective Scoring Chances 81.8 76.7
% of Possessions with GSV LVA
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 25.1%
Player Fouled 20.0% 22.0%
Turnover 12.4% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSV LVA
Shot Blocked 7.0% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 21.3%