Toronto at Los Angeles: Box Score Simulation

Friday May 15, 2026 10:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Los Angeles by 7.5, Total Points: 170.5

Matchup Menu: TOR @ LAS

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	TOR	LAS
Points	90.2	92.5
Total Points		182.7
Points From 2-Pointers	45.3	48.9
Points From 3-Pointers	29.4	27.8
Points From Free Throws	15.5	15.8

Shooting	TOR	LAS
Field Goals Made	32.4	33.7
Field Goals Attempted	70.2	69.5
Field Goal %	46.2%	48.5%
2 Pointers Made	22.6	24.4
2 Pointers Attempted	40.9	41.9
2 Point Shooting %	55.3%	58.4%
3 Pointers Made	9.8	9.3
3 Pointers Attempted	29.3	27.6
3 Point Shooting %	33.5%	33.5%
Free Throws Made	15.5	15.8
Free Throws Attempted	19.5	20.6
Free Throw %	79.5%	76.9%

Ball Control	TOR	LAS
Rebounds	40.1	38.0
Rebounds - Defensive	28.5	28.1
Rebounds - Offensive	11.6	9.9
Turnovers	14.0	12.7
Blocked Shots	3.0	3.1
Steals	7.4	7.4
Fouls	19.9	17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	TOR	LAS
Total Possessions	85.0
Effective Scoring Chances	82.6	82.2

% of Possessions with	TOR	LAS
2 Point Attempt	41.8%	43.6%
3 Point Attempt	29.9%	28.8%
Player Fouled	20.4%	23.4%
Turnover	16.5%	14.9%
Opponent Steal	8.7%	8.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken	TOR	LAS
Shot Blocked	4.6%	4.3%
Offensive Rebound	29.3%	25.8%