Toronto at Los Angeles: Box Score Simulation

Friday May 15, 2026 10:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Los Angeles by 7.5, Total Points: 170.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR LAS
Points 92.8 94.4
Total Points   187.2
Points From 2-Pointers 45.4 49.0
Points From 3-Pointers 31.4 29.2
Points From Free Throws 15.9 16.2
Shooting TOR LAS
Field Goals Made 33.2 34.2
Field Goals Attempted 70.0 69.6
Field Goal % 47.4% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 22.7 24.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 59.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 28.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 15.9 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 21.2
Free Throw % 80.6% 76.6%
Ball Control TOR LAS
Rebounds 39.2 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.0
Turnovers 13.8 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.0
Steals 7.7 6.9
Fouls 20.4 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR LAS
Total Possessions 85.2
Effective Scoring Chances 82.6 82.6
% of Possessions with TOR LAS
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 29.4%
Player Fouled 20.6% 23.9%
Turnover 16.2% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR LAS
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 26.2%