Toronto at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Sep 22, 2026 8:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: TOR @ CHI

More Games From Sep 22, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR CHI
Points 88.7 92.9
Total Points   181.6
Points From 2-Pointers 43.7 49.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 24.2
Points From Free Throws 19.8 19.0
Shooting TOR CHI
Field Goals Made 30.3 32.9
Field Goals Attempted 68.9 70.8
Field Goal % 43.9% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.8 24.9
2 Pointers Attempted 42.9 46.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.1 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 19.8 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 24.7
Free Throw % 79.5% 76.8%
Ball Control TOR CHI
Rebounds 41.4 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 30.3 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.6
Turnovers 13.1 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.5
Steals 5.9 6.8
Fouls 18.6 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR CHI
Total Possessions 85.9
Effective Scoring Chances 83.9 85.5
% of Possessions with TOR CHI
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 25.1%
Player Fouled 22.2% 21.6%
Turnover 15.3% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR CHI
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 25.9%